1/3
Russia and the new US administration have the same goals, rip apart the EU by supporting extremist parties and destroying Ukraine as the last bastion and notion of the democratic world.
- Long read by Valeriy Pekar -
New Reality: A Brief Overview
It took a week to piece together the chaos surrounding us. Now, we finally have a clearer picture. While this text could be supplemented with crucial details that will emerge later, Iโm publishing it now to introduce this new reality. But firstโmake yourself some tea. Youโll need it to get through to the end.
1. The end of the old world order
The world order based on rules, agreements, and values no longer exists. It was never perfect, but it functionedโuntil now. Explaining its collapse requires a separate analysis, but in short: developed countries benefited from it, while developing ones sought to dismantle it. At some point, these developing nationsโled by Chinaโbegan catching up. Seeing this, the strongest developed nation, the U.S., decided to shift from preserving the old order to actively dismantling it. Thatโs why the American people elected Trumpโhe is not an anomaly but the embodiment of this trend.
Before, while some chipped away at the structure, others reinforced it. Now, destruction is happening from both sides, accelerating the collapse. In this โnew world without order,โ the U.S. will not protect its European or Asian allies. There are no alliances or mutual obligations anymoreโonly strong nations taking what they want and weak nations suffering the consequences. At least, this is how the new American administration sees it.
They are not isolationistsโthey are expansionists. Their claims over Greenland, Canada, or Panama should not come as a surprise.
Of course, this administration is not monolithic. It consists of various factions with different values and interests, but two key groups stand out:
- America First wants to destroy the old world order but strengthen the American state to dominate globally.
- The Tech Oligarchs (more accurately, techno-fascists) want to destroy not only the world order but also the American state itself, so their tech corporations can rule unchallenged.
These factions differ on taxes, intelligence agencies, and migration (the Tech Oligarchs need global talent, while America First opposes immigration). They will eventually clash, but for now, they are united in tearing down the old system.
The new America no longer wants to be the world's policeman. It will not defend democracy, spread education, or develop institutionsโit only wants your resources. Previously, this was Chinaโs strategy. Now, America adopts it too.
The U.S. no longer believes in multilateralism or international institutions. NATO, the WTO, or even the UN could soon face American withdrawal. Musk will argue itโs about saving U.S. funds, Trump will call these institutions dysfunctional, and the Project 2025 faction will claim America can handle aid and security without bureaucrats.
2. What this means for Europe
The security pact with EuropeโPax Americanaโis over. The U.S. no longer sees Europe as an ally but as a competing power center. America, Russia, and China all share a common interest: weakening, dividing, and dismantling the European Union. They want to break it into isolated, vulnerable markets that can be exploited.
It remains unclear how the U.S. envisions European spheres of influenceโwhether they will plunder it together or if Western Europe will be Americaโs exclusive domain while Eastern Europe is handed to Russia (as during the Cold War). But whatโs clear is that the EU must be broken apart.
To achieve this, the U.S. openly backs far-right Euroskeptics (Russia supports both the far-right and far-left). If strong individual leaders emerge in post-EU Europe, America will cooperate with them. For now, however, Washington...
1/3