Working on a boutique data marketplace for macroeconomic and environmental forecasting.

Joined June 2017
70 Photos and videos
Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.
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Counterfactuals ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ retweeted
Unemployment rate (%) forecast through the end of 2027. Joblessness is forecast to peak a high ofย 4.7% in the first half of 2026.ย  Following the 2026 peak, the rate enters a consistent downward trend. By the end of 2027, unemployment is expected to return to 4.1%.
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Counterfactuals ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ retweeted
Inflation is expected to see itโ€™s peak this quarter; and will gradually get back towards Fedโ€™s 2% target.
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Counterfactuals ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ retweeted
Projected GDP growth (2026-2036) according to CBO.
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Unemployment rate (%) forecast through the end of 2027.
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Counterfactuals ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ retweeted
2026-2027 Projected Real GDP (Year-over-Year). 2026: GDP growth is projected to peak at 2.9% in the first quarter of 2026, slowing significantly throughout the remainder of the year. 2027: Starting in 2027, the economy shows a steady incremental recovery trend.
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Philadelphia Fed forecasts that inflation is coming down in the next 12-24 months, but remain above Fedโ€™s 2% target.
The CPI forecast from the Philadelphia Fed. Good news - inflation is coming down in the next 12/24 months. Bad news - inflation remains above Fedโ€™s 2% target in the forseeable future.
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Counterfactuals ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ retweeted
The CPI forecast from the Philadelphia Fed. Good news - inflation is coming down in the next 12/24 months. Bad news - inflation remains above Fedโ€™s 2% target in the forseeable future.
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CBO projects that the U.S. population will increase from 350 million people in 2025 to 367 million people in 2055.
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Public debt is sinking the boat. The future isnโ€™t looking good either. substack.com/profile/1119587โ€ฆ

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Public debt will exceed 150% of GDP in about 20 years (source: CBO). Itโ€™s clearly an underestimate.
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Counterfactuals ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ retweeted
I was in the middle of shooting my narrowband data on this galaxy when the supernova happened so I was probably one of the first people to photograph it!
PSA: When I post my photos in this format, itโ€™s because I want you to save them and use them as phone wallpapers. Anyways, hereโ€™s my photo of the pinwheel galaxy featuring a supernova. More coming ๐Ÿค“
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On Tuesday Montgomery county delayed schools in anticipation of snows (it wasnโ€™t). Today they kept regular operation anticipating normal weather ( there was snow).
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BREAKING: DOGE, the Department of Government Efficiency, has been shut down.
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Re softening jobs market an economist is saying in a podcast that thatโ€™s because they f the shortage of labor force due to restricted immigration. I donโ€™t understand their reasoning.
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Counterfactuals ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ retweeted
Europe is taxed and regulated to an extreme level that Americans just wouldnโ€™t even comprehend. โ€œLiving in Germany is tough.โ€ โ€œIf you have dreams, we are gonna destroy themโ€ฆ If you get a promotion, they will double tax you, so you make the same amount as before.โ€ โ€œThere is no way to grow and achieve anything, they just take, take, take.โ€
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Microsoft Excel is THE most user friendly program ever existed.
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