Cutting through Profits | Research at @HyperliquidX 🔬 | No Paper Hands around here | #NFA

Joined July 2013
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24 Apr 2025
You’ve seen hundreds of token launches. 99% fade once the hype dies. But not @WalletConnect because it was designed to build the next phase of onchain UX. Here’s why $WCT staking matters 🧵👇🏻
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~70 DeFi exploits in Q2: all-time high by count. $746M stolen. Drift $285M, KelpDAO $293M are 93% of April’s losses. Multisig tampering, bridge bypasses, social engineering. Code logic clean. Operational layer broke. Smart contract audits miss this, so what catches it?
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$557M subscribed on Binance for SpaceX: refunded. xStocks DeFi token launched fine: Ondo, Backpack, Kraken all live. Only the physical share handoff to Binance, Bybit and Bitget broke. Onchain worked, broker-dealer worked,the CEX share-sourcing route didn’t. What failed?
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Stablecoins settled $33T in 2025. Visa did $16.7T. The comparison landed in Armstrong's post today alongside $1T in @coinbase stablecoin movement and 160M x402 agentic payments. Google, Stripe, Visa in the x402 Foundation... The infrastructure argument is over. What's next?
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6.3% of onchain gamblers drove 91.8% of all volume since 2022. But casual bettors grew 10x in monthly volume over the same period: from $17M to $188M in four years. The whales built the floor. Retail is now building the ceiling. What does that curve will look like in 2027?
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$H post-mortem is worse than initial read: ▫️3 of 6 Gnosis Safe keys compromised from a single laptop ▫️Multisig keys that were supposed to be dispersed were backed up in one place during setup ▫️One endpoint compromise gave attackers bridge admin Setup failure or inside job?
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Season 1 of @DeFiSaver Rewards is live, with $50,000 USDC up for grabs. As far as I know, this is a first in DeFi, a single app unifying lending and perpetuals trading in one seamless experience. With HyperliquidX integrated directly into DeFi Saver, users can: • Trade perps, manage lending, and run leveraged strategies in one interface • Open and manage positions without leaving the app • Automations and real-time Telegram notifications (soon will be live) Season 1 is all about activity performance: trade, optimize, and climb the leaderboard. I’m already on it, don’t miss the opportunity to grab your share of USDC. Use the link and get started: app.defisaver.com/hyperliqui…
Season 1 of DFS Rewards is LIVE. We’re kicking off our first-ever incentives campaign with 50k USDC up for grabs. How to qualify right now: 🔹 Trade via @HyperliquidX 🔹 Use Boosts & Repays on lending protocols Full details below.👇 What will be your game plan for Season 1?
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IBIT worst four-week stretch since launch. Institutions are not bearish but they sell $BTC when Treasuries make risk-free returns look attractive. $1.34B out last week. Thesis intact. But opportunity cost clearly changed. When yields peak, does the outflow reverse as fast?
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Saylor posted the dots chart yesterday: done it before every $BTC buy. 843K BTC at $75.7K avg cost, now $62.1K. STRC dividend structure vote today. Buying below avg cost while restructuring preferred payments at the same time. Conviction or damage control here?
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apxUSD depegged to $0.90. $476M in supply. Backed by STRC: Strategy’s preferred at $100 par, now $94.60. $BTC down 17%, $11B unrealized loss on 843K BTC. 24/7 crypto vs Nasdaq-hours liquidity mismatch broke the peg. How many stablecoins have hidden BTC exposure nobody mapped?
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PumpFun bounty platform: $115K live. Another disaster… similar to livestream feature. $57K to skydive a World Cup in a memecoin suit. $25K to approach a murder victim’s family. When price momentum dies you manufacture shock. Is this the ceiling of memecoin marketing?
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Interesting part beyond the bug is the response. Zcash froze Orchard, deployed an emergency fix, then restored it with a corrected upgrade in days. Now a new proposal aims to let anyone verify supply integrity. Does stronger auditability strengthen privacy for next cycle?
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$BTC hit $61.3K: bounced 5.5% to $64.7K on ceasefire news. $617M longs liquidated in 24h. 200-week SMA at $61.8K held: marked cycle bottoms in 2015, 2018, and 2020. $50-52K in play if that SMA loses. Relief bounce or real bottom?
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Everyone’s framing this as a comeback story. I read it differently. Breaking even on a 2-month, $100M short means the trade hasn’t worked. He’s just no longer losing. The real tell is whether he adds here or closes. Flat isn’t a win, it’s a decision point.
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THIS MASSIVE TRADER JUST BROKE EVEN ON HIS $100M SHORT “pension-usdt.eth” has been shorting $100M of Bitcoin for 2 months now. He shorted $97 Million of Bitcoin at an average price of $69.42K. At the BTC price peak in May, he was down $18 MILLION. He just broke even. What's next?
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Grayscale $HYPE ETF this week. HYPG, 0.29%: undercuts 21Shares (0.30%) and Bitwise (0.34%). $140M inflows since mid-May. HYPE at $75.30 ATH, $16.7B mcap (top 10). $170B monthly perp volume. BTC ETFs bleeding 10 straight days. if this isn’t rotation, what does it look like?
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Crypto exploit losses finally dropped to $68.3M in May. Compared to $650M in April, it’s a ~90% decline. Yet bridges still accounted for 42% of losses, code flaws drove 66%, and key compromises remained a major threat. Progress, or a quieter month before the next test?
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The market is telling a clear story right now. - Stablecoins sit above $300B - Tokenized funds climbed past $32B - Tokenized commodities crossed $7B Even tokenized stocks are accelerating. If every asset eventually moves onchain, which chain captures the most value?
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All focuses on spot ETFs, but look at derivatives. @coinbase is now connecting US institutions to global crypto options and perps liquidity. Deribit alone sits at roughly $31B in BTC options OI. What happens when offshore market share starts moving onshore?
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Multiproofs is live on @base mainnet. Now, TEE & ZK provers run simultaneously, either can finalize a block independently. - $4.38B TVL - $1.37B daily DEX volume - 99% reduction in empty blocks - 5,000 TPS bursts sustained Does the path to Stage 2 actually move capital?
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Crypto card monthly volume up 230% year over year. $7.8B cumulative transactions with Visa capturing 90% through partners. Groceries, restaurants, online shopping: stablecoins paying for lunch is no longer an experiment. When does payment volume start showing up in valuations?
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$BTC at $75,500 while global equities hit record highs. The divergence is hard to ignore. Golden cross forming on BTC’s chart as 50-day approaches 200-day. $1.74B in ETF outflows past two weeks while retail adds leverage. Does the golden cross close the gap with equities?
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