Joined February 2022
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Speed map for Saturday's G1 Everest. Randwick 1200m Early Speed: Storm Boy looks the likely leader but if he does step slow he is at risk of being crossed by Growing Empire. I Am Me lands leader’s back. Bella Nipotina’s and Lady of Camelot’s gates look bad at first glance but with the lack of speed drawn directly underneath, they should be able to find cover if they don’t end up pressing right forward. Most of the runners with form settling further back have drawn next to a runner with a similar pattern, which should allow them to pair up easily. Strong tempo expected. Prediction: Still a lot to play out with how much rain Randwick receives on Friday. Looking for runners that are proven on that Soft 6-7 range. All 12 runners have won big races on Good surfaces if we end up there. Bella Nipotina is by far the most consistent horse in the field. She is in career best form and won the G1 Doomben 10 000 on a Soft 7. She is versatile enough to press forward from the wide gate and find cover. If the pattern of the day sees them getting to the wider lanes then the outside gate becomes a positive. Growing Empire is the x-factor. He was so brave going down in the shadows of the post in the Manikato when the fellow on speed runners faded. He could easily land 1 out 1 back. He brings better form than past 3yo winner Giga Kick did the year he won it in a much more even field. DM or email for full meeting of Randwick: - speed maps - tempo analysis - past meeting with same Rail position data - previous track/distance data
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For anyone that is keen to have a different look at how I go about finding a winner, have a look at my link to thesportingbase's new black book below. I have a stack of horses I have black booked from the races and trials over the last month that I will be keen to back with the right set up moving forward. I will be adding to it weekly. You can follow mine or create your own for email reminders. Hands down the smartest black book service I've used and it's free! thesportingbase.com/blackboo…
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Map and thoughts for a wide-open Stradbroke. There’s still a lot of play out conditions wise before I want to have a bet but be keen to have a go closer to jump time. Eagle Farm R8 1400m Early Speed: There’s no obvious leader in the field. It is generally a mistake to assume anything other than strong tempo in G1 Handicaps with big fields. Skyhook is unlikely to gain a start but was a clear leader setting a hot tempo over this trip 2 starts back. If he comes out then it’s really up in the air. Transatlantic has the speed to overcome the wide draw. Spicy Martini, Private Eye and Headley Grange shouldn’t be far away from the low draws. Prediction: Headley Grange is the deserving favourite. He is bomb proof handling all conditions, has 4 wins from 9 1400m starts, gets a perfect map and is really well weighted dropping 3.5kg off his impressive G1 Kingsford Smith win. Taking away his last start win, his 5: 1-0-0 G1 record is the only negative. I cannot let King of Roseau go around at the $25 mark without being on each way. He is racing in great form with 6 wins from 10 starts in the last 12 months. This is a step up in grade but he gets in really well with only 54kg. He gets map upside off his last start failure in the Kingsford Smith Cup where he just got too far back so I’m happy to put a line through that. He recorded 3 consecutive wins in the Gold Coast Magic Millions Cup, G3 Liverpool Cup and Takeover Target Stakes.
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Dustin Spriggs retweeted
$100 CHALLENGE - FINAL WEEK 🐎 2 tear away leaders battle it out on the final day & Col swings for the fences. Hopefully some winners for the team to finish off the challenge & a well deserved break before we return for the spring. GL punters #BP 🧨
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Beiwacht JLWs. Perfectly rated by Nash!
Map and thoughts for the G1 All Aged Stakes. It's a red hot field. I’m having a 2-way play on Beiwacht and Fangirl. Map Beiwacht, Briasa, Royal Patronage, Angel Capital Map – Jimmysstar, Magic Time, Kovalica, Headley Grange Early Speed: Beiwacht races best bowling along in front and looks likely to get control here. Royal Patronage holds all the answers as to how fast they will go depending on whether they contest the lead, sit outside or take a sit. Gate 10 looked a negative for Briasa at first glance but a lack of speed drawn inside could see him landing in a great spot 1 back. I have zero confidence in him running a strong 1400m after the way he threw in the towel over the final 100m in this race last year. Moderate tempo expected. Prediction: Beiwacht ticks a few boxes dropping back from 1500m a month between runs with a sharp trial in between. His 0.5L 2nd to Joliestar in the G1 Canterbury Stakes 2 starts back is good enough to win this. He is a great chance to get full control jumping from Gate 2 and was a 4.1L winner of the Golden Rose at his only ever go at 1400m. The $7.5 opening quote looks great value. Fangirl looks way undervalued opening at $9.5. She's being set up for a very different prep to what we are used to resuming in the All Aged before a possible Brisbane Winter Carnival. Her 4.2L 5th in her latest Warwick Farm trial won't jump off the page in the form guide but I thought it showed she is in great order. She settled towards the rear and was under a strong double grip from J Mac the whole way up the straight but absolutely trucked through the line the final 100m. It would’ve added more confidence to see J Mac stick but I’m sure it was a tough decision for him and it just adds extra value not paying the tax. The risk is whether she has begun to regress as a 7yo but there is enough of a price there to take it on for a mare bringing a 6: 3-1-2 Randwick G1 WFA 1400m record. Jimmysstar has been luckless this prep and hard to argue against him being opening favourite. I’ve had a pretty good run being against him when he draws low and wide of late so I can easily cop it if he is strong down the outside coming over the top of them.
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Joe Pride is a gun. Mazu wins 3rd consecutive Hall Mark since transferring from Snowden.
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Hoping for one more kick at the furlong!
$100 CHALLENGE - WEEK 10 🐎 Big days racing with the squad attacking the Quokka as the feature play today. Seems it’s Campione D🇮🇹 & Street Artist or bust for a lot of the table! Some swinging for home runs & some struggling for form late. Good luck punters go get em #BP 🧨
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I’d been waiting to see where Scintilla landed 1st up after a couple of sharp trials. She’s somewhat in the deep end in a BM88 at the backend of the carnival but gets in well with 52kg. It was easy to take confidence from Les Bridge’s interview this morning. He thinks she is better than them but will have his heart in his mouth the final 80m 1st up off a 12 month break.
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Map and thoughts for the G1 All Aged Stakes. It's a red hot field. I’m having a 2-way play on Beiwacht and Fangirl. Map Beiwacht, Briasa, Royal Patronage, Angel Capital Map – Jimmysstar, Magic Time, Kovalica, Headley Grange Early Speed: Beiwacht races best bowling along in front and looks likely to get control here. Royal Patronage holds all the answers as to how fast they will go depending on whether they contest the lead, sit outside or take a sit. Gate 10 looked a negative for Briasa at first glance but a lack of speed drawn inside could see him landing in a great spot 1 back. I have zero confidence in him running a strong 1400m after the way he threw in the towel over the final 100m in this race last year. Moderate tempo expected. Prediction: Beiwacht ticks a few boxes dropping back from 1500m a month between runs with a sharp trial in between. His 0.5L 2nd to Joliestar in the G1 Canterbury Stakes 2 starts back is good enough to win this. He is a great chance to get full control jumping from Gate 2 and was a 4.1L winner of the Golden Rose at his only ever go at 1400m. The $7.5 opening quote looks great value. Fangirl looks way undervalued opening at $9.5. She's being set up for a very different prep to what we are used to resuming in the All Aged before a possible Brisbane Winter Carnival. Her 4.2L 5th in her latest Warwick Farm trial won't jump off the page in the form guide but I thought it showed she is in great order. She settled towards the rear and was under a strong double grip from J Mac the whole way up the straight but absolutely trucked through the line the final 100m. It would’ve added more confidence to see J Mac stick but I’m sure it was a tough decision for him and it just adds extra value not paying the tax. The risk is whether she has begun to regress as a 7yo but there is enough of a price there to take it on for a mare bringing a 6: 3-1-2 Randwick G1 WFA 1400m record. Jimmysstar has been luckless this prep and hard to argue against him being opening favourite. I’ve had a pretty good run being against him when he draws low and wide of late so I can easily cop it if he is strong down the outside coming over the top of them.
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Collected a result but hoping anyone that actually used the map did it upside down. Odd.
The Q1 Queen Elizabeth looks a real tactical affair even without Pride of Jenni. Map Lindermann, Dubai Honour, Sir Delius, Light Infantry Man Map - Aeliana, Wotton Verni, Autumn Glow (obviously has the class and jockey to overcome) Early Speed: Lindermann races best when bowling along in front and is drawn perfectly to do so. I would be surprised to see the same tactics from Dubai Honour as we saw in the Tancred when he blew up wobbling about late, more likely to see him take the sit and potentially be aggressive mid race. I have him landing in the 1-1 outside Light Infantry Man. Sir Delius is an interesting one. He will no doubt be ridden a lot more positively. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him roll right forward but I have finished with him landing 2 back and 1 off from what we have see in Aus. She has the class to overcome it but the map is a slight knock on AG for me. She will have 7 jockeys riding against her and will likely be locked up on the fence 2-3 back. Prediction: Autumn Glow deserves all the attention in what is a star studded Queen Elizabeth. Her 11 wins from 11 career starts says it all. Now padded with 3 G1s. She’s the obvious winner for me but risking 5% of my bank on a horse untried at the trip and with map risks at $1.4 isn’t how I’d like to play the race. Sir Delius looks set to peak 3rd up over 2000m and set for this race. He was outstanding when 1.1L 3rd to Aeliana last start whilst being a total forgive going back to last. He will be a lot more positive in this mapping to land 1-2 back and 1 off. Dubai Honour was huge last start setting a cracking tempo over 2400m in the Tancred. He looked the winner until the final 150m where the tough run told. The blinkers going on for the first time as an 8yo is interesting. Could it spark him up? Who knows.
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Imagine taking a horse off someone over ear muffs. #IdleFlyer
Replying to @pferrari27
I know. But off the back of two wins. Surely if you own it, you just send a truck to pick it up and send it straight to Uncle Chris or Uncle Bjorn
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An intriguing map for the G1 Queen of the Turf, as is always the case with any race Pride of Jenni contests. Early Speed: Pride of Jenni will do her thing setting the tempo. Gate 1 isn’t ideal for her as she can take 100m to get through her early gears but still hard to imagine her being crossed. The drop from 2000m to 1600m 2 weeks between runs is interesting. She has done it twice before. Most recently last year going from the Aus Cup to bolting in against weaker opposition in Listed company over 1600m at Caulfield. She set a slow tempo by her standards in the G1 Champions mile in 2024 and dropped out to finish last being found to have bled post race. This was dropping back from 2040m 2 weeks after the Cox Plate. Treasurethe Moment and Perfumist look likely to play cat and mouse to fill the unwanted role of staying in touch and carting the field up to her if she does get away. Prediction: This race sets up nicely for Idle Flyer. The Smith mare looks to be forging a break out prep and the map looks great settling a pair or two forward of midfield and outside Lady Shenandoah. She was terrific stepping up to a more suitable 1500m and taking out the G2 Emancipation by 0.7L 2nd up. She has a win and a 2nd from two Randwick mile starts and the strong tempo in this will suit. Lady Shenandoah has appeal in a prep that has her being set for a mile after targeting the Everest in the spring. The map is a slight query. She’s drawn 2 with Jenni inside so J Mac will need some luck getting it done on the rail. She may have the class but enough risk at the price for me.
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Idle Flyer loves the hot tempo and gets it done by 1L. Great training effort from M Smith getting this rising mare to peak for her first G1!
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All class Tempted. Ran a slick time but not sure she beats Joliestar last week off one look. The right rein pulled.
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Dustin Spriggs retweeted
$100 CHALLENGE - WEEK 9 🐎 We’re 1 soldier down today but the groups going okay with 2 breakaway leaders who surely couldn’t lose from there? We tackle the tough QOTT as the feature & plenty to take the double of Tempted into Autumn Glow. Good luck punters 🧨
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Hard to find a knock on Gangsta Granny closing the card in the G2 Sapphire. She drops down in grade coming back from a solid 0.3L 3rd in the G3 Star Kingdom against the boys and drops 2.5kg. She held her form over the spring finishing 0.5L 2nd to Autumn Glow in the Toy Show 1st up and closing the prep with an unlucky 3rd to Stefi Magnetica in the Invitation. Gate 13 looks tricky on paper but now into 11 in a field where all but 2 of them have a midfield or worse settling pattern. She could land in the 1-1 or does have the speed to lead if need be.
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