Multiple approaches with this method:
- Small amounts over distance through automated bots — profit accumulates
- Waiting for alignment and selling the position
one8tyfive uses both methods and actively shares the process on Twitter.
A couple months ago got to talk with him — learned a lot about his approach to work.
When you see such volume and consistency, you realize: this isn't random. Makes you wonder how deep this rabbit hol
Winter arc — or how I spent 3-4 months building my own product
I've been doing sports betting arbitrage for 6 years.
Then POLYMARKET appeared — a virgin market with higher odds than any traditional bookmaker.
No tools existed, so I built my own arb scanner.
The terminal does what Polymarket should've done:
Normal match lists, familiar odds format, wallet management, multi-accounting, copy trading, PnL tracking.
The scanner monitors 8 bookmakers and alerts the second an arb appears.
4 months. 10 burnouts. Hundreds of hours.
Built a tool that didn't exist in the market.
Finalizing details before launch.
Follow for updates:
x.com/polyquant_labst.me/polyquant_labs
implied ≠ fair (because of margin)
for sportsbooks, raw implied probability is just:
1 / odds
but books add margin (vig), so raw probabilities sum > 100%.
to get fair probabilities, we remove the vig:
fair_pᵢ = (1 / oddsᵢ) / Σⱼ(1 / oddsⱼ)
example (2-way): 1.65 vs 2.40
raw: 60.61% & 41.67% → sum 102.28% (vig 2.28%)
fair (normalized): 59.29% & 40.71%
we compare these fair bookmaker probabilities with Polymarket (crowd-set) - the gap is the edge.
new days - new ways for using polyquant!
today we with team make a analyse of whole night basketball, already find few misprising that our audience also took!
stay calm, make money, @Polymarket provides opportunities for everyone
we have seriously expanded!
a complete overview of all polyquant tools:
a website with sports market analytics,
search for deviations from average coefficients, and edge detection
The tools in the telegram bot contain the same functionality, as well as:
tracking and analyzing your own profile notification of filling limit orders
notification of changes in the coefficients of the match you are interested in
tracking transactions of the profiles you are interested in
As well as much more coming soon on board! Stay tuned
try polyquant right now, make a deep analyse!