Daily answers to economic questions. Policy briefings, writing & data masterclasses & a new data hub | @econromesh @RD_Economist @csaladenes @fmcevoy_ds
Joined May 2020
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Economics Observatory retweeted
#Scorecasting previews for #WorldCup2026 matches coming up tonight & tomorrow @jjreade @EconObservatory ⚽️
economicsobservatory.com/wor…
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Economics Observatory retweeted
With only 100 matches to go in #WorldCup2026, check out the latest predictions from scorecasting economist @jjreade @EconObservatory
#ItsComingHome ??
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Economics Observatory retweeted
Co-hosts #Canada open their #WorldCup2026 campaign tonight against #BosniaHerzegovina - a 1-0 or 2-0 Canada win is most likely, followed by a 1-1 draw; Canada have a 56% chance of winning, Bosnia just 18%
@jjreade #scorecasting @EconObservatory
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Economics Observatory retweeted
#WorldCup2026: late tonight, the US will begin their campaign in what is likely to be a tight Group D; #Brazil & #Morocco will dominate Group C, so #Scotland’s match against #Haiti is key to their hopes of progressing in the tournament
@EconObservatory
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JUST PUBLISHED – World Cup 2026 previews for Groups A and B: what does scorecasting suggest?
By J. James Reade
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The Philippines experiences some of the world's most frequent seismic activity, recording over 40 earthquakes of magnitude 6.0 or greater in the past five years alone. The magnitude 7.8 earthquake that struck off Mindanao this week was the largest in this period, surpassing the previous high of 7.6 recorded in December 2023.
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Economics Observatory retweeted
#WorldCup2026 forecasts
Scorecasting economics suggests that #Argentina have a far higher probability (23%) of winning #WorldCup2026 than bookies’ co-favourites, #France (14%) & #Spain (12%); #England’s trophy-winning likelihood is 8%
@jjreade @UniofReading @EconObservatory
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Economics Observatory retweeted
Jun 9
I was a bit worried by the big number for Argentina, and whether it was down to the Elo ratings I calculate, so I put together these cross plots of the correlation between mine and @FIFAcom's, andmine and elorating.net's.
Overall they're pretty similar 😎
Scorecasting economics suggests that #Argentina have a far higher probability (23%) of winning #WorldCup2026 than bookies’ co-favourites, #France (14%) & #Spain (12%); #England’s trophy-winning likelihood is 8%
@jjreade @UniofReading @EconObservatory
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Economics Observatory retweeted
Scorecasting economics suggests that #Argentina have a far higher probability (23%) of winning #WorldCup2026 than bookies’ co-favourites, #France (14%) & #Spain (12%); #England’s trophy-winning likelihood is 8%
@jjreade @UniofReading @EconObservatory
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Economics Observatory retweeted
World Cup 2026: 30 years on, is football finally coming home?
@jjreade @EconObservatory
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Economics Observatory retweeted
Argentina favourites for World Cup glory, says supercomputer
#Scorecasting economist @jjreade @UniofReading
More #WorldCup2026 predictions & probabilities soon @EconObservatory, #IsFootballComingHome?
reading.ac.uk/news/2026/Rese…
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Digital industries make up nearly 12% of London's economy — almost double the UK average of 7.2%.
As #LondonTechWeek starts today, the latest DCMS data confirms that the capital is by far the UK's most digitally intensive regional economy.
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🔗 Visit our Data Hub to explore and create your own charts. buff.ly/2n1O3Rs
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TODAY on the Economics Observatory – Are more trains the answer to economic struggles in the North of England?
by Paul Swinney
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In their recent paper, Lambert & Schindler find that remote work, rather than AI, appears to be the main factor behind the decline in early-career hiring. Accounting for how remote a role is, the apparent AI effect fades, while the remote-work effect holds #ChartOfTheDay
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🔗 Visit our Data Hub to explore and create your own charts. buff.ly/mDceH8Q
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🌡️ London's late May bank holiday has never been so hot. In 87 years of records, none have come close. London hit 33.8°C on Monday. That is 4.3°C above the previous record set in 1944.
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🔗 Visit our Data Hub to explore and create your own charts. buff.ly/2n1O3Rs
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Non-fatal strangulation is a dangerous and under-recognised form of domestic abuse, especially since it may leave little visible injury. Legislation that makes it a standalone offence will not only reduce violence inflicted on intimate partners, but also help to prevent escalation into homicide.
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NEW on the Economics Observatory – Can strangulation laws reduce intimate partner violence and homicides?
by Sonia Oreffice & Climent Quintana-Domeque
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