My time horizon is longer than most so I’m buying things that humans will want, in time. Bitcoin and Public Equities

Joined March 2009
85 Photos and videos
Elliot retweeted
My keynote on how @XCEofficial has a unique opportunity to drive BTC business adoption 🇬🇧➡️🌍➡️🟠
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Apr 1
We might be in an environment similar to Feb 2020, but look at what Bitcoin did 6 months and 12 months later…
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Apr 1
Here’s the full episode:
Welcome Back to The Hurdle Rate. Episode 53: Bitcoin, AI and The New QE The crew is back this week discussing the growing risks around the US debt crisis and what it could mean for markets. They then explore how AI is rapidly disrupting the startup economy, before diving into debasement and how to think about portfolio construction in this environment. Finally, they debate what types of non-Bitcoin companies could still be attractive going forward. Here's the latest with @TimKotzman, @ColeMacro, @PunterJeff, and @Werkman. 0:30 - Welcome Back to The Hurdle Rate 2:15 - US Debt Crisis 18:07 - AI Disruption in The Startup Economy 31:28 - Debasement & Portfolio Construction 45:04 - Which Type of Non-Bitcoin Company Would Even Be Attractive Now?
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Feb 19
Fiat is a melting ice cube, which is a good analogy. A melting icecube can be either a pain or be put to use. Place it in the appropriate vessel and it increases the value over the sum of the parts. This is a comment about Bitcoin treasury companies.
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Feb 5
In person events are back! We might have just seeded Australia’s first Bitcoin Treasury Conference… 60 people at a bitcoin event covering bitcoin treasury companies. It was a great interview between @_DannyKnowles and @sorenstein Organised by @mineracks 👏
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Jan 29
Fixed-face-value preferreds are structured so demand is met through issuance and dividend changes rather than price movement. Trading behavior is constrained around face value by design. @GrafYves x.com/grafyves/status/201661…

@Strategy's Flywheel 2.0 isn’t just "convertibles, but different." It’s a structural upgrade. $STRC unlocks: • a vastly larger capital market • better liquidity • higher $BTC accretion • built-in demand stabilization • issuance that works even near book value The most overlooked part: when $BTC is weak, Strategy can raise the $STRC dividend and keep the flywheel spinning.
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Jan 29
This is often read as price support. It is closer to demand being redirected into new capital formation rather than expressed through trading.
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Jan 29
Income variability and funding cost uncertainty sit in the preferred. Residual variability remains with the common. BTC exposure duration is extended through repeated issuance.
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Jan 27
STRC feels broken because a “peg” is usually read as a promise. BTCTC fixed-face-value preferreds are designed as capital-formation tools, not as spot-priced assets. Different category, different intuition. x.com/grafyves/status/201587…

$MSTR bought 2,000 $BTC in a bearish market $STRC de-pegged. Dividend hike coming? 🎥👇
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Jan 24
$XCE (@btconlyscott @RichardByworth) have launched the latest innovation
Very fun interview with teammate @RichardByworth and the awesome @TimKotzman We covered some ground! From my first call to Richard, to where we are today and where XCE is heading in the future.
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Jan 24
BTC-Convertible Evolution: 1. Capital B - a fiat denominated convertible, settled in bitcoin 2. SWC - a BTC denominated convertible with fiat-denominated convert price 3. XCE - a BTC-denominated convertible, with a BTC-denominated convert price.
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Jan 21
“They have this short effective duration… the market as a whole doesn’t understand these instruments yet, so they’re pricing them as if they were high yield.” — @ColeMacro, CEO Strive (Weekly Hurdle Rate Podcast 7:36–10:37)
Welcome back to The Hurdle Rate. Episode 44: Digital Credit Clarity The crew is back to discuss @Strategy's latest, credit spreads tightening, @coinbase pulling out of the clarity act and the Bitcoin treasury podcast industrial complex. Here's the latest with @TimKotzman, @ColeMacro, @PunterJeff and @Werkman 0:30 - Welcome Back to The Hurdle Rate 1:26 - Strategy’s Latest 12:25 - Credit Spreads Tightening 30:36 - Coinbase Pulls Out of Clarity Act 44:24 - Matt Cole Corners the Bitcoin Treasury Podcast Industrial Complex
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Jan 21
The implication is expectation setting. When viewed through duration and capital behavior, stress is assessed by depth and recovery, not by the absence of price movement.
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Jan 21
This isn’t a claim about outcomes or guarantees. It’s a claim about how risk is intended to be managed within the structure.
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Jan 19
Bitcoin Treasury Company fixed-face-value preferreds are capital-formation instruments with constrained price behavior.
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Jan 19
This is often misread as arbitrary yield setting. It is a risk trade where income varies so principal does not.
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Jan 19
The structure shifts refinancing risk away from common equity (e.g. $MSTR, $ASST). The preferreds like $STRC and $SATA absorb ongoing funding and refinancing risk while the treasury strategy continues.
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