Comparison of effectiveness between Russia and Ukraine's best drone operators
I chose the largest sample sizes with detailed data. This is Russia's Rubicon centre and Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces (USF). Both regularly post videos of destroyed targets and monthly statistical breakdowns.
Rubicon has ~5000 operators, and the USF has around 27,000. Rubicon is Russia's best drone unit (it is much more than just a frontline unit), and the USF contains all of Ukraine's best specialized drone units.
In May, the Russian OSINT group Lost Armour counted 4458 enemy drones destroyed by Rubicon. Ukraine’s USF recorded destroying 9912 Russian drones.
Given that Ukraine’s USF is more than 5 times larger than Rubicon, this makes Rubicon 2.4 times more effective.
Next, tanks. This is a resource that both sides use increasingly rarely, though Russia seems to have more of them. Rubicon destroyed 8 tanks, and the USF destroyed 4. This makes Rubicon more than 10 times more effective.
Now, armored vehicles. Rubicon destroyed 203 and Ukraine’s USF, 15. This makes Rubicon 73 times more effective (!). This is particularly interesting, since Russia being on the offensive and Ukraine’s lack of industrial capacities would seemingly indicate that more Russian vehicles should be vulnerable to attack. However, Ukraine's endless counterattack operations are probably partly to blame.
The Russians are also more effective in targeting the strategic asset of radar and electronic warfare systems. Rubicon destroyed 181 such targets and the USF, 206. This makes Rubicon 4.7 times more effective.
Rubicon is also targeting enemy drone operators far more consistently. Ukraine’s USF destroyed 57 drone operators bases, and Rubicon destroyed 388. That made Rubicon 36 times more effective in this field.
Finally, manpower. This is probably a relatively even metric for comparison. Given the Ukrainian propaganda, one would expect them to kill far more Russians than vice versa. However, while Rubicon destroyed 838 enemy servicemen, the USF reported destroying 4619.
Taking the size of the two units into consideration, this makes Ukraine’s USF only about 2% more effective than Rubicon. This is also likely due to the well-known fact that Ukraine’s drone operators are incentivized to target manpower, unlike the Russians, who target enemy drones and other important equipment.
In short, Rubicon is much more effective than its Ukrainian counterparts.