Long enough have I been roaming the markets and X to know not to touch with a stick things that are unanimously becoming the darlings. This time is no different
$lmnd$rbrk$open$grab
We'll see how this goes
Newsflash:
AI is not creating stuff from thin air.
It's creating stuff from the data you feed it.
The quality of data it gets fed determines the end product
This is why most SaaS will not only survive, but thrive - they possess the data!
$DUOL$ADBE$NOW$PLTR
Bitcoin has no fundamentals so the price action is clear as day
1. Up
2. Down
Why you ask?
Cause of reasons like
1. Your neighbor has diarrhea
2. Iran was hit yesterday
$BTC$ETH
Been thinking about how many things are quietly converging for $BN over the next 18 months. Not one big catalyst. Several smaller ones stacking on top of each other
👇👇👇
None of these individually moves the needle. All three together over 18 months is a different conversation. Stock hasn't moved much lately. Sometimes that's a warning. Sometimes it's just a coiled spring. $BN
Difficult to hold something like this as the market is going parabolic.
Especially when it's 40% of your portfolio.
On the other hand, guess what happens when it finally moves
I'll be there for that
$BN$BAM#bruceflatt
I'm also furious that noone on the $ODD call followed up on the "...they estimate that we can recover 40%-60% of CPA based on their system alone.. " line, talking about $META.
What does that mean??
The problem with $ODD seems to be the following: even in a case full correction of the current algo problem they don't seem to have an alternative when it comes to customer acquisition and will always be reliant on $META.
Meaning this far away from an antifragile business
$ODD earnings disappointed.
The CEO and CFO seem to not have a solution for the algo problem.
This won't be a turnover this year. 2027 is also a big question mark
I'm selling at a 20% loss
People talk about skin in the game. Most of the time it means a CEO owns $10M of stock alongside a $50M salary package. At $BN it means something completely different
👇👇👇
Bruce Flatt — CEO of Brookfield — personally holds 75 million shares. At current prices that's $3.4 billion sitting in the same stock you own. Not options. Not RSUs vesting over 4 years. Actual shares. And it's not just Flatt. The broader insider group owns 8.68% of the company
When the people making every capital allocation decision have billions of their own money on the line — the incentive structure stops being a corporate governance checkbox and starts being something that actually matters $BN
$ODD making it hard to be adding before tomorrow's earnings...
I was seriously considering it, but now it's 6%...
Objectively zero difference if tomorrow brings what I hope it will.
Still, human mind is a mysterious thing
There's something buried in $BN's latest earnings that I haven't seen a single person talk about. From Q1 2027 they're switching from IFRS to US GAAP reporting. Sounds like an accounting admin change. It really isn't
There are trillions of dollars sitting in S&P 500 tracking vehicles. When a new name gets added, that capital flows in automatically and mechanically regardless of valuation, regardless of sentiment, regardless of macro. It's forced buying at scale.
BN won't automatically qualify just from switching to GAAP — there are other criteria like profitability thresholds and liquidity. But right now GAAP reporting is the hard blocker. From 2027 that is gone. The queue. Most people holding $BN have no idea this is even happening.