Someone who follows geopolitical and geo-economic trends and studies how national security decisions get made. All comments are personal opinions.
Joined September 2021
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Pinned Tweet
Thinking about Geo-Technology--The Golden Thread of the first six episodes of #OrbisJournal podcast #ShiftingGround. open.substack.com/pub/nikola…
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And refreshing that earlier conversation ... cftni.org/podcasts/strategic…
Tracks with what I discussed with @1796farewell ... under all of these #Hormuz is not entirely closed but it is not freely open ...
linkedin.com/posts/vali-kale…
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Tracks with what I discussed with @1796farewell ... under all of these #Hormuz is not entirely closed but it is not freely open ...
linkedin.com/posts/vali-kale…
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Feedback loop between Ukrainian hardliners and the Kremlin "party of war?" linkedin.com/posts/southshor…
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For the last several years, a number of #OrbisJournal contributors have expressed concerns about the U.S. national security decision-making process & suggested changes. Looking back at points raised by General H.R. McMaster, @NSchadlow and John Mauk ... open.substack.com/pub/nikola…
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Nikolas Gvosdev retweeted
Jun 13
This MOONRAKER (1979) scene is peak Roger Moore as James Bond, turning a life-or-death situation into a perfectly timed joke and a raised eyebrow. Nobody delivered effortless 007 charm quite like him.
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Jun 13
Sending this especially for the Greek/Hellenic/extended Byzantine commonwealth members of the network ... neoskosmos.com/en/2026/06/13…
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Jun 13
Earlier this year I posted Yan Xuetong's thoughts on the world of 2035. Even if I didn't agree with all points of his analysis, he forced me to consider trends shaping global affairs. Had the same reaction to @bneeditor piece here. Too often Americans expect they can reset ... 1/
Jun 12
Post Pax Americana interregnum
I recommend you have a look at this piece as the American empire collapses and an interregnum starts.
Empires typically collapse after 100 years and this one is clearly coming to an end. What follows is several decades of chaos intentions and possibly war.
This piece puts the flag in for the stories that’s going to occupy us for the next two decades in my humble opinion.
intellinews.com/long-read-th…
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Jun 13
international affairs back to the status quo of 1992 or 2000. This essay forces us to consider what the U.S. can still shape, versus trends that we can only mitigate moving forward. 2/
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Jun 13
Comments after reading Peter Dombrowski/Bruce Jones new report at @BrookingsInst: brookings.edu/articles/the-n…
Jun 13
A #maritime strategy has to provide the overarching framework which integrates naval military power with the corresponding diplomatic and economic strategies, and where infrastructure and industrial components matter. 1/
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Jun 13
A #maritime strategy has to provide the overarching framework which integrates naval military power with the corresponding diplomatic and economic strategies, and where infrastructure and industrial components matter. 1/
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Jun 13
And this point that we need to be thinking about continuous maritime disorder as opposed to “one big fight and all is solved” is what should be guiding strategy development, policy formulation and procurement. 2/
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Jun 12
.@CarolynKissane raises important questions about what #Hormuz disruption is doing to the energy mix … linkedin.com/posts/nikolas-g…
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Nikolas Gvosdev retweeted
"We need to take both defensive measures—stopping things such as the theft of intellectual property—and a much harder look at China’s efforts to acquire American firms." Check out the full conversation with Nadia Schadlow on #OrbisArchives. buff.ly/GiwQ2tD
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Nikolas Gvosdev retweeted
Tuesday, June 16, at 11:00 AM: In our upcoming virtual event, Eurasia Program Director Emily Holland will be joined by Fellows Suzanne Loftus and András Tóth-Czifra to discuss structural pressures on the Kremlin in military, economic, and geopolitical arenas. buff.ly/ZGUrrGj
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Jun 12
In @DefenseOne @lalaurenista on Naval Surface Warfare Center setting up the Maryland Energetics Innovation Hub to provide lab space for testing of new tech and methods of mixing, manufacturing and integrating "energetic materials" (chemical compounds) ... 1/
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Jun 12
and reflects a public/private approach about providing the space for firms to experiment and test. Overall may reflect a growing willingness to locate more commercial partnerships on military facilities. 2/ defenseone.com/technology/20…
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Nikolas Gvosdev retweeted
Macdonald Amoah, Morgan Bazilian, and Jahara Matisek tell us that "the combined demand queue from over a dozen countries, like Saudi Arabia, Germany, and Poland, represents a backlog of over 4,300 Patriot rounds." Revisit their piece on #BehindtheFront. buff.ly/3u6EpbM
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Jun 12
And this is another manifestation of #fracturedglobalization … multiple “shadow fleets” for dealing with enforcement actions of different blocks …
The Secret US "Dark Fleet": Breaking the Strait of Hormuz Blockade?
⚓Analysis of President Trump’s statements on the Strait.
⚓The role of Secretary Wright’s congressional testimony.
⚓How U.S. Navy and Marines are providing point defense for commercial tankers.
⚓The impact on Kuwaiti and Qatari oil/LNG exports.
⚓A deep dive into the "competing dark fleets" currently operating in the region.
Video: youtu.be/Ef4eGaZky0E
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Jun 12
James Davis with some extracts from commentators in Russian media ... how much of this is "hot air" and how much reflects dissatisfaction in the ranks of the Kremlin elite? linkedin.com/posts/southshor…
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