I day trade MES futures by using price action, time of day and other factors. I struggle with overtrading so I will post my setups and PnL for transparency.

Joined December 2016
Photos and videos
Lou the Trader retweeted
Jun 11
What a colossal misjudgment. Unimaginably stupid.
🚨 BREAKING: TPUSA leadership admits using AI to create the video they circulated of Charlie Kirk saying he wants Erika Kirk to replace him if he dies.
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Lou the Trader retweeted
Good Morning šŸ˜‚
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Lou the Trader retweeted
Who else still calls the Guardians the Indians?
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Lou the Trader retweeted
YOU NEED TO READ THIS IF YOU TRACE PROP FIRMS: Your 70% win rate prop account is still mathematically doomed. Not because your strategy is bad. Because of a 100-year-old math problem called Gambler’s Ruin. Let me explain, because this is the single most expensive thing traders don’t understand. Gambler’s Ruin is a proven mathematical result: when a player with a LIMITED bankroll plays against an opponent with an UNLIMITED one, the limited player will eventually go broke if they bet too large a fraction of their bankroll even when the odds favor them. Even with an edge, you can be mathematically guaranteed to blow up. The edge isn’t the problem. The bet size is. Now map it to your funded account: You are the limited player. Your bankroll isn’t your $50K account it’s your $2K trailing drawdown. The market is the unlimited player. It can stay irrational, choppy, and stop-hunty longer than your drawdown can survive. Here’s where the 70% win rate lies to you. At 1:1 risk-reward, risking $100 a trade, your expectancy is $40 per trade. Positive. Profitable. On paper, a money printer. But expectancy is an AVERAGE over thousands of trades. Your drawdown doesn’t experience the average. It experiences the SEQUENCE. And sequences contain losing streaks guaranteed. At a 30% loss rate, a 4-loss streak feels impossible. It’s not. Over 200 trades, there’s roughly an 80% chance it happens to you at least once. A 5-loss streak? About 38%. Nothing to do with bad luck. They’re scheduled appearances. So the only question that matters is: how many consecutive losses can your drawdown absorb? $2K trailing DD risking $100/trade = 20 losses of room. The streak hits, you survive, your edge keeps working. Same account risking $500/trade = 4 losses of room. The streak hits, you’re done. Same strategy. Same 70% win rate. Dead account. And prop firms add a twist Bernoulli never imagined: the TRAILING drawdown. Every dollar you make, the floor rises with you. Your buffer never grows. You’re permanently playing with the same short stack no matter how much you win(varies with some firms) The brutal conclusion: most traders don’t fail because their strategy stops working. They fail because they sized their bets for their account balance instead of their drawdown, and then a completely normal, statistically inevitable losing streak showed up on schedule. The fix is one rule: your drawdown divided by your risk per trade should be 15-20 minimum On a $2K DD, that’s $100-130 risk. One or two micros. I won’t lie - I’m not this tight with risk, but this is where the math leads Boring. Gambler’s Ruin doesn’t kill boring traders. It only kills the ones who never ran the math.
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Lou the Trader retweeted
Jose Ramirez is the first player in MLB history with at least 415 2B, 295 HR, and 310 SB through his age-33 season. He's also a one-franchise man that's slugging .500 lifetime, has never struck out more than 87 times in a season, and already has 60.0 WAR. COOPERSTOWN BECKONS
3 Sep 2024
Jose Ramirez is so good and so underrated that I may do a NEPTA post on him before long. I believe we are watching a future HOF’er. He is a switch-hitter with power and speed, a durable presence at the hot corner, a team-first guy that took a pay cut to stay in Cleveland. HOF!
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Lou the Trader retweeted
Charlie Kirk: As a man, if you need to work TWO JOBS so your wife can STAY HOME and be a mother to your kids, DO IT. Erika is wealthy. Charlie left behind everything she and her kids will ever need or want. It's insulting to Charlie's legacy and wishes to suggest that Charlie would have wanted or needed Erika Kirk to be CEO of Turning Point USA. It's common sense that Charlie did not want Erika to be CEO. No amount of gaslighting will ever change that.
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Lou the Trader retweeted
THE GATOR BAIT CHANT MAY BE COMING BACK šŸ‘€ Per 247, Dr. Stuart Bell said if confirmed as UF’s new President, he’d hold talks about reviving the fan-favorite chant. 🐊 UF banned it in 2020 citing ā€œracist imageryā€ despite no real connection between the chant and actual racism. 🤨
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Lou the Trader retweeted
If you can find an example of a more evil thing on this platform than a man announcing his plan to murder his child for being disabled, go ahead and post it. I can’t think of one.
I simply do not believe the most evil thing you’ve ever read on this platform is a guy announcing his wife terminated a pregnancy because the fetus had Down syndrome
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Lou the Trader retweeted
Time to bring back the Gator Bait chant šŸ‘€

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Lou the Trader retweeted
Dr. Stuart Bell states that he will have conversations regarding bringing back the "Gator Bait" chant if he is confirmed for the role of President of UF šŸ‘€ He also stated that he will be ā€œheavily involvedā€ in Gator athletics as well per 247 Sports 🐊
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Lou the Trader retweeted
Jose Ramirez has the highest batting average (.409) of any visiting player at Yankees Stadium, ever. Just a hair above Ty Cobb.
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Lou the Trader retweeted
Have you ever been up $162,000 within the first hour into the morning trade??? Well we have... Well not me or topstep but a Live Funded Trader trading real prop money on a @Topstep prop account is right now. Ya that’s freaking size!! Our live traders r THE BEST!!! Details 2 come
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Lou the Trader retweeted

You can’t say Derrick Rose. Name an athlete you wish had a fully healthy career.
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Lou the Trader retweeted
A month ago, I was at rock bottom with trading. I sent a message to @OkalaNQT ready to quit for good after years of failure. I expected motivation, maybe some reassurance. Instead, he gave me something much more valuable: honesty. He told me to either give trading everything I had or walk away from it completely. No shortcuts. No excuses. No false hope. I decided to take his advice and commit fully. I followed the process, stayed disciplined, and trusted the guidance inside his Discord. One month later, I’ve hit over $10,000 in payouts. My biggest change has been my mindset. I stopped looking for the next indicator or shortcut and started focusing on execution, patience, and consistency. Thank you, Okala, for being real with me when I needed it most. That conversation meant more to me than you know.Ā It wasn’t selling me a course, it was you being genuine. Not many people out there like this anymore and that’s why I’m sharing with this community This is just the beginning. #8020
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Lou the Trader retweeted
Teaching children swift and complete obedience
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Lou the Trader retweeted
We really need to more actively interact with our Guardian Angels. About 2 years ago, I made sure to include my Guardian Angel in between every decade of the Rosary I prayed. Whenever I’m in a conflict, or know of others in conflicts, I often ask everyone’s Guardian Angels to pray for us/them, that we receive the graces we need to resolve the conflict in a God and Golden Rule-honoring way. I can see much more clearly the ways in which my own Guardian Angel has protected me from so many things—even events I may perceive as disappointments at the time, but later find out I was being protected from something. Our Guardian Angels desire for us to reach heaven even more than our family and friends. Don’t forget to develop your relationship with them! ā€œIn heaven, their angels always behold the face of my Father who is in heaven.ā€ Jesus (Matt. 18:10)
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Lou the Trader retweeted
the wait is over šŸ—£ļøšŸ”„šŸ”„
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Lou the Trader retweeted
Replying to @realDonaldTrump
Look who climbed out of his Israeli echo chamber….
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Lou the Trader retweeted
🚨 PRESIDENT TRUMP "I'm right now at 99% in Israel." "I could run for prime minister! So maybe after I do this, I'll go to Israel, run for prime minister. I had poll this morning. I'm at 99%!"
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Lou the Trader retweeted
$32 million dollars and an entire administration mobilized to destroy one congressman. His crime? Demanding answers about Epstein class abuse networks, and refusing to let child predators hide behind political cover. If that level of firepower doesn't tell you who's being protected, nothing will. Go Massie!
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