❌ 82% lose money on Polymarket ✅ 18% make money on Polymarket Copying winning traders can be smart. But why not track which markets the top traders have in common? 😏🧠

Today is the 6 year anniversary of when I launched Polymarket. I’m truly grateful to be able to work on something that means so much to me. It’s been awe-inspiring to see the world catch up with this crazy idea called “information markets”. Yet there still remains a long ways to go For those curious about my headspace when starting the company, this thread is a nostalgic artifact.

Good R/R on this 👇

Week 25 listing is live 🚀 prediction markets are getting a lot more agentic this week. ai wallets, trading bots, agent APIs, smart-money trackers, leverage and parlays infra. the stack is starting to look less like a betting app and more like a full trading layer for events. some fun projects to check out this week 👇 @askginadotai: ai wallet and assistant for finding, analyzing, and acting on crypto and prediction market opportunities. @simmer_markets: prediction market platform where ai agents can discover and trade markets across polymarket and kalshi. @awenetwork_ai: framework for building autonomous ai agent worlds. @MidasHandxyz: permissionless prediction market for creating and trading almost any event. @predictionlabs: polymarket data for agents, bots, builders. full trades, order books, metadata from 2024 @TradePolyBot: telegram bot for trading polymarket, with buy/sell, copy trading, and automations. @FirePolymarket: smart-money tracker for polymarket trades. @useamplifi: leverage and margin layer for polymarket positions. @usedibs: non-custodial polymarket interface with signals and market analytics. @YosokuSolana: solana-native tool for prediction market parlays.

Crazy R/R on Spain (-2.5) spread 🔥

ANNOUNCING: $1 million in liquidity rewards for the World Cup 🤑

Miren cómo los estafan en su cara bet365: 9x (robo) polymarket: 11,44x (valor real) Las casas tradicionales son un matadero que te roba en cada cuota y te limita la cuenta en cuanto ganas dos duros pura basura Polymarket no tiene intermediarios mediocres ni límites solo liquidez infinita donde el mercado manda Yo no financio yates de bookies estafadores la barredora opera donde están los que cobran Salgan del corralito y operen con el conejo malo polymarket.com/?r=BadBunny

The comeback its possible?? 🏀🔥

Idk but TOP 1 MARKET 🤪🔥

🔥 $1.18M says the Spurs win tonight. 84% of the smart money.

🚨 “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” — NO ❌ Avg. Entry: 69.4¢ → Now: 83.5¢ Potential: 20% 📈

We're excited to announce Polymarket has facilitated the first ever on-chain, institutional block trade in the prediction market space. Institutions using Polymarket to hedge GPU compute exposure at scale give a glimpse into both the future & the promise of prediction markets.

TOP 1 MARKET BY FIRE SCORE 🔥

🚨 “US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?” - NO ❌ Avg. Entry: 77.2¢ -> Now: 81.5¢ Potential: 23% 📈 Time left: 8 days ⏳ That’s over 1000% APR 🔥

Idk who is Spencer, but seems good 🤪

🚨 “Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?” - NO ❌ Potential: 21% 📈 Time left: 14 days ⏳ 🔥 Estimated APR: 540% 🤯

💥 WIN-WIN MARKET 🔥 “Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?” - NO ❌ Potential: 21% 📈 Fire Score: 65/100

🚨 Will MicroStrategy sell any Bitcoin by May 31? - NO ❌ Potential: 53% 📈 (967% APR) Time left: ~20 days ⏳ Entry: 70.5¢ -> Now: 65.5¢ (better odds than avg.) The market is pricing in fear, but Saylor has never sold BTC. 🤷‍♂️

68c to 79c 📈

🚨 TOP #1 MARKET TODAY 💥 UFC: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev 🥊 🏆 Chimaev 📈 23% ☑️ Same odds as avg entry

🚨 TOP TRADERS of POLYMARKET dont believe that there will be a Hantavirus pandemic in 2026 ❌☠️