Markets and 🏄🏼♂️ | Options trader | Not investment advice at all
Joined June 2013
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Fire retweeted
May 28
$SPY Largest positive net GEX level is at 755. If gamma continues building, we push toward it.
If we lose 750, downside volatility could accelerate quickly.
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Fire retweeted
May 22
I call bulshit on bigbrain commentators saying Chinese ADRs are falling because of FUTU clients are selling:
75% of FUTU trading volumes is US market, and mainland customers that go through the dodgyness of opening a non-compliant brokerage account don't go to the US market to buy BABAs when they can buy them legally in HK via southbound connect.
They go there to buy Nvidias and Microns and Teslas.
Chinese ADRs are falling because of more obvious reasons, don't get too technical.
May 22
Now we know. I am building a good hit ratio on this.
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Se viene
May 21
BREAKING: Massive AIS spoofing activity is occurring in the Persian Gulf northwest of Dubai right now, with hundreds of ships transmitting false positions in the same coordinates. The same spoofing is happening simultaneously with aircraft transponders in the same location, per MarineTraffic and Flightradar24 data.
This dual-system spoofing pattern has historically preceded major military strikes shortly after and is the signature of pre-strike electronic warfare preparation.
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Fire retweeted
May 20
Not a single airplane in Iran's skies tonight 👇
FAFO coming.
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Fire retweeted
Apr 21
$CAR There's a thing called the short-swing profit rule that states if you are above a 10% holder in a company any profitable trades that were held for six months or less are due to the company. Pentwater can't sell a lot of its shares here because the profits would be owed to Avis.
But there are around 2.4mm shares they acquired last year that they can sell and not be subject to short-swing.
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$car earnings blackout. No puede hacer ATM Offering
Apr 21
$CAR
Our data shows positive gamma for buyside <~$650 and negative gamma above that due (retail?) short calls.
Pentwaters Deep-ITM calls ($85 risk reversal): $355M ~600K share-eq at Δ≈1 seems to still be on
From my understanding there can't be ATM offering due to earnings blackout ~5/11.
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Avis Budget Group $CAR hit a record high of $657 on Tuesday.
Two hedge funds, SRS Investment and Pentwater Capital, control 71% of the shares but when including their cash-settled equity swaps, their combined holding exceeds the entire outstanding supply.
This is a company that reported a $995 million net loss last year and has been struggling under a massive debt load for months.
One technical ownership glitch changed everything. The supply mismatch is so extreme that short sellers are trapped in a mathematical impossibility.
With zero shares left to borrow and the float effectively non existent, the market just gave a debt heavy rental company a 6x gain simply because the math broke.
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Ranking final al viernes. Firme en los primeros puestos 🫡
Apr 18
PRIMER SEMANA DEL MUNDIAL DE TRADING DE @CocosTRADERS Y @BYMAOficial! NO SE QUE MAGIA ESTÁ METIENDO FRAN KUIBIDA, 20% EN EN 3 RUEDAS.
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