Chelsea selling Cucurella for £50m would be one of those deals that sounds clever in a spreadsheet and looks worse the second you remember this is supposed to be a football club.
Especially when the owners are potentially judging future investment based on “profit”.
Because there’s a big difference between PSR profit and an actual transfer win.
Take Cucurella.
If Chelsea sell him for £50m (and these remain rumours), Twitter accounts will tell you it’s a book profit or an amortization profit. Sounds good, but is it?
He cost between £55m and £62m and signed a six-year deal in 2022.
Roughly, at worse, with 2 years left on his initial contract, his remaining book value would be around £18m.
Sell him for £50m and Chelsea could register around £30m in accounting profit.
So yes, from a PSR point of view, it “works”.
But that is not the same as the transfer being a success, or proof that the wider model is working.
And to be clear, this isn’t me defending BlueCo. I don’t care whether their spreadsheet gets a little gold star at the end of the financial year. I’m looking at it from a Chelsea point of view.
If this long-term, youth-based investment “plan” is supposed to work, then regular first-team players cannot be leaving for less than Chelsea paid for them. That’s the line for me.
Take the Enzo rumour.
Chelsea paid £106.8m. If
#RMCF or Manchester City want him and the club are saying £120m minimum, which is what reports are suggesting, that at least makes sense.
I may not want him sold, but financially you can see the logic. That would be a book profit and an actual profit.
If you sign, strengthen the team, play a leading role and leave for profit then at the very least you’re a net positive. Agree with it or not, that is what the model is supposed to look like.
Cucurella at £50m though? He may not be untouchable, and he didn’t have the strongest end to the season, but he is still a regular first-team player.
If Chelsea played a big game tomorrow, he is very much who we’re starting at left back.
So if he leaves for £50m, that might help PSR, but
#CFC would still be selling an important squad player for less than his bought value. That’s the difference. Accounting profit is not the same as a footballing win.
If these players flop, fine, you try to escape with minimal damage, and, as they’re young, you’ll probably be able to get your money back on them.
But if they become useful players, starters, and players big clubs want, then Chelsea should be making real profit on them, not just amortisation profit.
Otherwise the “buy young, protect value, sell high” plan becomes:
“Buy expensive, use them for a few years, then celebrate losing slightly less money than it looks like on paper.”
That is not something Chelsea fans need to be clapping.
And the bit that worries me is this:
If
#MCFC ,
#MUFC , Atlético Madrid and Barcelona are all showing interest, he has two years left on his deal, and £50m is still the ceiling, what does that say? Because if four major clubs can want one of your regular starters and you still can’t get back what you paid, then I worry about what that says for the future.