Joined April 2010
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18 Jan 2019
Let's start a cute dog thread... Whose got a pup photo they wanna share?
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The youth (under age 45) & even young GOP (!) no longer find Trump groovy on foreign policy.
His foreign policy net approval is -40pt, after beating Harris by 9pt with under 45s in 2024.
His net approval with young GOP on foreign affairs is -10pt & -14pt on the Iran War.
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Trump's "I love the inflation" is one of the most politically tone deaf statements I've ever heard.
No prez before him ever had a -50 pt or worse net approval in an inflation poll. Trump's done it 8 times.
Trump's the only prez to ever hit 80% disapproval on gas prices.
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Even without Maine, Democrats have a clear path to a Senate majority.
Polling shows them tied or slightly ahead in Ohio & Texas. Odds are in their favor in Alaska & North Carolina (big time).
The map is wide thanks to Trump's unpopularity.
youtube.com/watch?v=S1d7h9i9…
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Netanyahu's political luck might have finally run out...
Chance he's prime minister after the 2026 election is down to 33%.
-Most Israelis say ending the Iran War now would NOT be in Israel's security interests (58%)
-Most say the handling of Hezbollah has been not good (52%)
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Trump's been the most consequential this century on immigration policy. The result?
1. The GOP's more trusted than Dems on immigration by 8 pts (& up 16 with indies).
2. 59% of voters (& a majority White, Latino & Black voters) want Dems to move to the center on immigration.
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The LA mayor stuff is the dumbest conspiracy theory I've ever heard & makes no sense. Dem establishment/Bass wanted Pratt, not Raman, to advance.
Bass crushes Pratt in a 1-on-1 by 18 pt, while Raman beat Bass by 4.
Pratt's the rarity in LA less popular than the unpopular Bass!
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New Jersey & Indiana are going to have two NFL teams, if this holds up...
Thankfully, we in New York still have a team. Go Bills!... New York's team.
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Americans have one message for the Bidens: Go away.
Joe Biden left office tremendously unpopular & remains so (-19 pt net favorable).
He's by far the least popular of any former Dem prez at this point after their presidency.
Jill Biden was the least popular Dem first lady.
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Fewer Democrats (~46%) are satisfied with their party right now than they were with Biden as their nominee (53%) after the worst debate performance ever.
Dem voters "pissedoffness" has never been higher with their own party in Congress. Consistently negative ratings in Q-Pac.
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Why this time could be different for Platner.
-Google searches for him are way up in Maine & hit all-time high on Sunday
-Market odds have moved ~10 pt in Collins' direction
-Collins has long history of beating her polls by 8 pt
Hard for Dems to win the Senate without Maine.
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Re: Trump's name on govt buildings, Americans are saying "stop it" to quote Michael Jordan.
Just 9% say it's acceptable while Trump is still in office. That's less than share who say we faked the moon landing (12%).
No wonder 68% say Trump is focused on the wrong issues.
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Smells like a good weekend to rewatch 1990 and 2002 election night coverage.
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Voters who didn't cast a ballot in 2024 are pissed off, & it could reshape the midterms.
Trump's net approval with them is down 54 pt since Nov 2024 to -50 pt now!
A lot (48%) of these non-2024 voters say they're at least very likely to vote in 2026 & they favor Dems by 31 pt.
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In GOP primaries, Trump is the general & the voters are his soldiers.
Paxton's chance to win the TX Sen primary are through the roof with Trump's endorsement.
This follows Massie's loss & Cassidy putting up the worst Senate incumbent primary performance since at least WWII!
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Talarico winning in Texas is no fantasy.
He's polling better than any Dem Senate nominee at this point since 2002.
Unlike O'Rourke in 2018, Talarico's ahead now. Paxton's much less popular than Cruz was.
Trump is less popular now than in 2018.
The GOP is right to be scared.
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If the polls today were those on E-Day, a very wide range of House possibilities would exist.
GOP could hold the House with redistricting (see CNN poll) to Dems blowing the GOP of the water with 20-30 seat gain (see NYT poll).
Average: Dems favored & gaining nationally.
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The bottom has completely fallen out for Trump with Latino voters.
After winning a record share for a GOP nominee in 2024, just 28% of Latinos approve of Trump now.
The drop with Latino men is even more dramatic. He won em by 10 in 2024. His net approval now is -41 pts!
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The new CNN poll should serve as a big time reality check for Dems.
Yes, Trump isn't liked on the economy... but neither are the Dems.
Dems' lead on the generic House ballot isn't growing.
With redistricting, the race for House control is well within the margin of error.
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Netanyahu has a major problem when it comes to public opinion in the United States.
Those with no confidence in him is up from 42% to 59% in 3 years.
And this isn't just young Dems, a higher 81% of older Dems have no confidence.
Also, 58% of younger GOP have no confidence!
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Part 1 of my midterm voter series: Top 10 Trump voter groups that have turned on him
youtu.be/LeHTI660IuE?si=52LE…
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