Joined September 2025
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Welcome to GridEdge! 🏁 We're a motorsports community focused on making IndyCar profitable to watch. We offer expert bets, GridRival picks, fantasy projections, general betting advice, and more. See below on what to expect from GridEdge 👇 gridedgehq.substack.com/p/we…
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Odds are up @DKSports for Road America. My model doesn’t show value on any driver yet. No reason to force bets this early, especially with other books still to come. Feels like a week with fewer outrights/T3s and more focus on matchups and group markets.
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Gateway Recap 📊 Bets: 6.6u, 17.4% ROI (Season: 77.1u. 19.7 ROI) GR: -3u (Season: 15u, 18.9% ROI) Race Pulse Metric (RPM): 7.9/10 Pretty good profit on a pretty good race. Another winning Sunday, with a little bad luck on GR plays. Breakdown below! 👇
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The fantasy projections had a huge day. Rasmussen was the overall highest projected driver, and he finished that way (176 points). Even better if you starred him. Newgarden, Power, and McLaughlin all with great days too. Probably the best week yet for the projections!
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Race Pulse Metric (RPM): 7.9/10 IndyCar short ovals are awesome. Night races are awesome. We need more of both! The only thing pulling this down a bit is the stop/start and unknown of the weather killed the momentum a bit. But overall, 4 straight bangers from IndyCar!
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GridEdge | IndyCar retweeted
Replying to @GridEdgeHQ
Need more ovals.
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What a fantastic race. We need more night races! Recap coming tomorrow 💤
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Can't wait to see how Palou is going to steal this one!
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NO CURFEW Do the right thing @IndyCar
If they lose the track, likely would take an hour to dry. No curfew here so can wait if they want. But if don’t resume, race would be official.
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If you’re betting McLaughlin and O’Ward, I like them both down to 700 to win, 200 T3. Just in case you’re limited or can only bet on certain books, I’ll try to include the “Fair Price” my model has.
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Added a bunch of bets today, make sure you find some you like! Heavy on McLaughlin/O'Ward. My 2 fav outrights at current prices. Another day, another fade of Palou 😬 Lots of good longer shot groups/matchups. Playing into the chaos again today, similar to Detroit last week.
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Lots of good values in fantasy. O'Ward/Newgarden are top contenders to win. Power/Rasmussen are great overtake/improvement point opportunities. You can also fill your lineup in with some other short oval specialists (Malukas, McLaughlin, Ferrucci).
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Because of @GridRival's changes, I'm going to start playing more on @PrizePicks. Here are my favorite plays there, and my projection in parenthesis: Kirkwood o5.5 (9.5) Palou o2.5 (5.5) Malukas o2.5 (4.5) Rossi o9.5 (11.5) Rahal o14.5 (16.5)
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Gateway is a tough track to handicap. The fastest cars usually separate themselves, especially if the outside lane is viable. With it being a short oval, only about half the field typically finishes on the lead lap.
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That said, strategy, pit stops, and luck play a huge role here. Pit timing & clean stops are often just as important as outright speed. Even the fastest cars can get trapped a lap down by a poorly timed yellow. Probably won’t go too heavy this week, but final card coming soon!
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Adding McLaughlin>Rasmussen -140 I know this is an unpopular opinion, but I’m fully fading Ras this weekend. At least until after quals. Finished P1/P2/Quals last year 25/19/25. ECR avg. qual at Gateway: 19.4 (13/14 tracks) Never had a car qualify T10 here in the hybrid era.
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Replying to @KalshiSports
@KalshiSports Can you please bring back Top 3 and Top 10 for IndyCar like you’ve had the last 2 races? 🙏
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And Top 5 if you’re feeling generous
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Great finds by @iN8Rodgers. Cashing out and re-placing these T3 bets @theScoreBet O'Ward 200 McLaughlin 225 Adding O'Ward>Palou 110 2u
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