One of the strangest things about intelligent people is that they can spot bad information instantly in subjects they know well, then trust the next confident expert anyway.
A patient recently said something I haven't stopped thinking about: "I don't know who to trust anymore." That may be one of the defining sentences of modern life.
Every day we're flooded with health advice, AI predictions, financial forecasts, productivity systems, and people who sound absolutely certain about all of it. The problem isn't a lack of information. It's that the human brain was never designed to evaluate this much of it.
When we're overloaded, confidence starts to feel like competence. Michael Crichton described part of this phenomenon years ago with something called the Gell-Mann amnesia effect.
Once I learned the term, I started noticing it everywhere.
Essay below.