*Why your favorite TradFi firm launching perps wonât kill Hyperliquid*
Letâs establish this upfront. Perps are not just a simple payoff formula. They require a fundamental redesign of the exchange. The magic is in vertically integrating matching, margin, liquidation, and settlement into one continuous risk engine.
This provides the foundation for shared collateral pools, tight liquidation loops, 24/7 funding mechanisms, and 20-50x leverage. The resulting UX and capital efficiency is why perps decisively beat out dated futures and options products within crypto.
You canât just âlist perpsâ as if it were any other derivative. You have to reproduce the architecture. Coinbase has already demonstrated this empirically with their lackluster CFTC-regulated âperpsâ product despite plenty of talent and dollars thrown at it. As currently designed, theyâre long-dated futures with 5-year expiries, 3-10x leverage depending on the contract, and funding that only settles twice daily.
Compare that to unregulated offshore venues like Binance or blockchains like Hyperliquid and itâs obvious why the product has underwhelmed. If Coinbase canât figure it out, why should Kalshi or Polymarket, which have worse distribution for this product? If Coinbase as the most crypto-native regulated U.S. venue canât deliver a compelling product, why should CME or ICE?
The reality is that U.S. regulated incumbents have been sidelined from truly competing. Dodd-Frank and the Commodities Exchange Act mandate centralized clearing, and separation between the different layers of the trading stack. This fragmentation structurally prevents the vertical integration necessary for real perps to work. And even if they didnât, incumbents would still likely have regulatory limits on the amount of leverage they can offer to retail.
Fixing all this requires a full regulatory overhaul and infrastructure rebuild. HOOD and IBKR pumping out whatever subpar product their underlying exchange lists wouldnât change the problem.
But regulation can change right? At a conference in March, CFTC Chairman Michael Selig suggested that the agency would allow perps for crypto soon. While CME and ICE may not have the right infrastructure in place to flip on perps anytime soon, Coinbase, Kalshi, and Polymarket could in theory offer real perps on crypto within weeks of formal guidance dropping. In fact, it is my full expectation that both Kalshi and Polymarket's upcoming perps products will be real perps with no expiry, unlike what Coinbase offers.
What then would be the advantage of decentralized venues like Hyperliquid if everyone was now on a more level playing field?
Well for one U.S. guidance would likely only be for crypto perps, not the equity or commodity perps which are the fastest growing segment of the market. They also might not remove limits on retail leverage.
But letâs just ignore these qualifications for now and assume that thereâs simultaneously 1) no regulatory advantage for offshore venues anymore and 2) decentralized venues still cannot legally offer perps to U.S. retail users (despite the CFTC also working towards creating a pathway for this).
Thereâs a handful of long-term advantages decentralized venues like Hyperliquid have.
1) DEXs are structurally cheaper as they do not maintain fiat banking rails, large compliance teams, regional subsidiaries, customer support, or extensive custody and treasury operations
2) DEXs are permissionless, which provides significant scaling advantages over incumbents as anyone can launch and distribute new markets, creating a virtuous utility-and-distribution flywheel
3) DEXs are intrinsically global, enabling them to reach anyone on Earth so long as they have an internet connection
4) DEXs offer users substantially lower counterparty risk as they are real-time auditable and enable users to self custody their funds
And none of this is to mention the bigger picture concept that Hyperliquid isnât just a perps venue anymore. Rather itâs a full-fledged platform where traders soon be able to cross-margin perps, options, predictions, and tokenized equities in a unified experience. Incorporating all of this into a single risk engine takes years of iteration and refinement, and a baseline level of liquidity across all markets.
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With all this in mind, who do you think is best positioned to execute on this product? Is it really the regulatorily constrained, technologically disadvantaged, incumbents that have zero experience building this product? Or is it the pioneering team with breakneck product velocity and years of experience both trading and building these products?
Itâs not wrong to worry about competition. I do expect TradFi firms will offer decent products over the coming quarters and help grow the market.
But eventually decentralized venues will be made legal in the U.S. too and their superiority will be proven over time. So the big question in my mind is not whether TradFi will win, itâs whether another blockchain like Solana, Lighter, or Base builds a better product, or if Hyperliquid will stay the king.
Time will tell.
Once you realize Hyperliquid is building the everything exchange, and cross-margin brings it all together, you realize that every other competitor is playing a much narrower, far less defensible game.
On Hyperliquid, perps, spot, options, predictions, RWAs, and related markets are not separate products so much as expressions of a single, unified trading experience powered by a shared risk engine.
At scale, the resulting liquidity and capital-efficiency flywheel should produce a winner-take-most market structure, leaving those who didnât see the bigger picture fighting for scraps in siloed markets.
Excerpt below on the approaching
$HYPE endgame over the coming years.