Joined May 2021
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Bringing this gem back from Serenity "war" over oil down inflation expectations down hint at rate cuts AI/Robotics wave makes utilities/power/energy moon $XLU
If I had to turn $100k -> $1M in 1 year. It would be: $XLU OTM 2 year leaps 2026 is the first time in modern history markets have: - falling interest rates - AI inference buildout There's a potential ~40% for XLU (1000% OTM), from mapping. Here's my macro thesis: 1. Rate Cuts When the Fed cuts rates without a recession, utility debt becomes cheaper, and institutional rotates low-yielding cash to for utility dividends. This causes immediate valuation multiple expansion: 1995: The S&P Utilities sector returned 31.3% in 1995 and another 12.1% in 1996 - ~47% cumulative return 2019 Mid-Cycle Cut: Result: XLU generated a 25.9% total return in that single year Standard soft-landing rate-cut cycle naturally maps to a 25% to 30% baseline return. And we're entering a new rate cut cycle in 2026. 2. The Infrastructure Supercycle Capex Infra CapEx gives the sector compounding earnings growth. Following the early 2000s, utilities entered a massive CapEx cycle to modernize aging grid infrastructure. Because they were constantly spending and expanding their guaranteed rate base, XLU returned 23.5% in 2004, 16.3% in 2005, 20.8% in 2006, and 18.4% in 2007. However this time: The $800B AI buildout of 2026 makes the 2004 grid modernization look like pennies. So you have Valuation Multiple Expansion ( 15% to 20%), from rate cuts from #1. EPS growth ( 18% to 20%) from #2 from capex spend historically. Just from a history lesson. But 2026 is the most unique moment in history from AI usage. Just from my own model projections as all former estimates are likely wrong from extreme AI ramp (eg. DOE/LBNL projections): Hyperscaler CapEx Inflows (Spend) - (Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Google, Oracle) into DCs est: 2024: $220 Billion 2025: $350 Billion 2026: $550 Billion 2027: $800 Billion 2028: $1.2 Trillion (Growth: 445% over 4 years) U.S. Data Center Power Usage: 2024: 190 TWh 2025: 280 TWh 2026: 430 TWh 2027: 650 TWh 2028: 980 TWh (Growth: 415% over 4 years) % of Total U.S. Electricity Consumed by AI: 2024: 4.5% of the U.S. grid 2025: 6.6% 2026: 8.2-10.2% 2027: 13.4-15.4% 2028: 21.3-23.3% Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and the Department of Energy seem off by AI usage (they're projecting ~12% by 2028) Physical Grid Capacity Demand: 2024: 18 GW 2025: 35 GW 2026: 65 GW 2027: 105 GW 2028: 160 GW Basically you can just see 2026 into 2028 being the inflection point whereas 2024-2025 where slower years on the ramp up. Then there's the "Desperation Premium" for independent companies. Because grid capacity is sold out, tech giants are paying massive premiums to utilities to cut the line. eg. PJM Interconnection (Virginia "Data Center Alley"), capacity prices spiked from $28.92 per MW-day in 2024 to an unfathomable $329.17 per MW-day for 2026/2027. $VST or Constellation are a large weighting in the ETF as independent power producers. Across the board, you can see the extreme ramp from 2026 (now) into 2028 compared to previous years, alongside extreme capex going into building the infrastructure. 2026 is the first time in modern market history that every single thing is firing at the same time for the boring grid/power sector with AI as the biggest tailwind. And as Elon quotes it: "Billions of dollars of the most advanced hardware. Sitting dark. Not because the chips won't work. Because there's not enough electricity to run on them". Again 2026 is an absolute historical anomaly due to AI and MMs have priced in historical IV (extremely flat ~14%-16%) for OTM calls. We're seeing an explosion in AI inference (beyond previous measurements) as well as training (per OpenAI report today). So the most boring sector on earth (power/grid), might just be the start of a major rally due to hyperscaler/gov spend into grid improvements -> extreme power consumption from AI inference/training -> rate cuts and others. This is just my personal thesis, options come with risk and magnifies downside too. These are also my own projections, no certainty if they will exceed or be lower than them. But basically: 2026 is an absolute historical anomaly. New bottleneck in the US is power. There's extreme demand from AI, extreme capex, rate cuts: $XLU looks like the best trade for exposure. Time will tell if this is right or not.
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Killa hasn’t missed in 12 months
67.4-67.5K is the area to observe for $BTC Flip that level and 70.3K comes into play. We also need to take into consideration that FOMC is approaching & as always, the outcome is already priced in.
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Monaco 2027 retweeted
ANTHROPIC TO MEET WITH TRUMP ADMIN TODAY OVER MYTHOS - CNBC
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Such a drop in the bucket for people to worry about Money is not real guys
JUST IN: Nvidia aims to raise $20 billion
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feels simple on $GOLD
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Monaco 2027 retweeted
No way Josh Hokit called Michelle Obama a man 😭#UFCWhiteHouse
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Monaco 2027 retweeted
I have no idea what's going on in the world anymore.
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How is this a real tweet
NEW: With Iran rejecting Trump‘s claim that it has agreed to surrender its enrichment uranium, the IRGC has now completely closed off all access to its entire stockpile of near bomb-grade uranium, deliberately collapsing tunnels and installing hundreds of explosive mines at the entrances of Isfahan, Natanz and Fordow, per CNN. Iran is preparing for the scenario where no deal is signed and the US moves to seize the material by force. Currently Trump falsely claims there is an agreement, while the IRGC is actively mining the entrances that he claims will be used in his “peaceful” retrieval scenario. Iran is continuing the fortification and mining with large controlled explosions conducted today at Isfahan, per Tasnim.
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Monaco 2027 retweeted
Joe Rogan got his first look from the commentary desk ahead of tomorrow night’s UFC White House event and couldn’t believe how crazy the setup is "What the f*ck is this? This is so crazy, tomorrow's gonna be bananas." 😂
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Monaco 2027 retweeted
It is infinitely better for society to support trillionaires creating more millionaires than to try and tax them down to billionaire status…
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BREAKING: Iran directly rejects Trump's new claim of a deal being signed tomorrow, saying the insistence on signing the deal on specifically Sunday is engineered around his own birthday, calling it a "propaganda event" that Trump is trying to turn into a unilateral "symbolic occasion" for himself, along with his UFC White House event, per Fars. The Iranian negotiating team says it "will not permit such a media and ceremonial manoeuvre," explicitly stating that the memorandum of understanding has not been finalized and no signing will happen.
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Monaco 2027 retweeted
NEW: Amazon researchers are reportedly behind the jailbreak report that led to the U.S. crackdown on Anthropic’s top models.
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Feels like the Iran deal isn’t even priced in since no one believes it The Boy Who Cried Deal
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Never even got to try Fable
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Monaco 2027 retweeted
NEW: Options contracts on SpaceX to begin trading Tuesday.
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Long $TAO Short $QQQ (Until Monday)
The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees. The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance. Access to all other Claude models is not affected. We apologize for this disruption to our customers. We believe this is a misunderstanding and are working to restore access as soon as possible. Read our full statement: anthropic.com/news/fable-myt…
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Hyperliquid
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How many times have we had bad news on Friday after market close -> everyone thinks Black Monday -> good news drops on monday open and we moon
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Monaco 2027 retweeted
Such great marketing. Reminds me of when this shoe company got the NBA to ban their shoes for making you jump too high
The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees. The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance. Access to all other Claude models is not affected. We apologize for this disruption to our customers. We believe this is a misunderstanding and are working to restore access as soon as possible. Read our full statement: anthropic.com/news/fable-myt…
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