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Joined June 2025
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6/14 MLB HR thread 🧵 38.5 projected home runs across 15 games today. Best HR environments on the slate: SD @ BAL — 2.9 AZ @ CIN — 2.8 LAD @ CWS — 2.8 NYY @ TOR — 2.7 SEA @ WSH — 2.7 COL @ ATH — 2.7 TB @ LAA — 2.7 Baltimore, Cincy, Chicago, Toronto and Vegas all grade out well today. Game-by-game HRP leaders, value spots, weather, and matchup notes below.
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Two swings = 1 cash for the TL. $25 to a random person who comments, reposts and follows when this bangs!
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Hockey Sheets for Canes and Knights
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Bullpen Report Best full-game HR windows: ATH lefties vs COL Sugano is the main target, and COL’s pen is leaking too. Kurtz / Soderstrom / Butler get the full-game boost. LAD lefties vs CWS Fedde has the lefty leak, and the CWS bullpen is vulnerable there too. Ohtani / Muncy / Rushing / Freeman stay live late. SEA righties vs WSH Mikolas is attackable, and WSH’s pen has right-side leaks again. J-Rod / Arozarena get the late-window bump. DET lefties vs CLE Gavin Williams is already a target, and CLE’s pen also has lefty issues. Greene / Carpenter profile well full game.
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Pitcher Vulnerability Sheet Top spots I’m circling: ATH vs Tomoyuki Sugano Kurtz / Soderstrom / Butler / Langeliers all line up well. Sugano is bleeding to both sides, especially LHB. LAD lefties vs Erick Fedde Ohtani, Muncy, Rushing, Freeman all fit the weak side. DET vs Gavin Williams Greene, Carpenter, Dingler, Tork all grade well. Full stack spot. WSH vs Emerson Hancock James Wood is the main bat. García Abrams also fit. BOS/STL bats Eovaldi and Taj Bradley both show Tier 1 vulnerability. BAL vs Walker Buehler Alonso Cowser/Basallo stand out.
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6/14 MLB HR thread 🧵 38.5 projected home runs across 15 games today. Best HR environments on the slate: SD @ BAL — 2.9 AZ @ CIN — 2.8 LAD @ CWS — 2.8 NYY @ TOR — 2.7 SEA @ WSH — 2.7 COL @ ATH — 2.7 TB @ LAA — 2.7 Baltimore, Cincy, Chicago, Toronto and Vegas all grade out well today. Game-by-game HRP leaders, value spots, weather, and matchup notes below.
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TB @ LAA (4:07 PM ET) Top HRP: Zach Neto 19.5% ( 413 / 400 ESPNBet), Mike Trout 19.4% ( 416 / 355 Kalshi), Junior Caminero 18.7% ( 435 / 350 Bet365) Value Picks: Chandler Simpson 3000 Hard Rock Bet ($38.64 EV), Nick Madrigal 1400 ESPNBet ($22.08 EV), Logan O’Hoppe 625 Bet365 ($5.95 EV) ML: TB -115 | LAA 100 | O/U: 9.0 Weather: 80°F, 8 mph wind blowing out to CF, 0% rain — positive HR impact.
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TEX @ BOS (7:20 PM ET) Top HRP: Wilyer Abreu 21.6% ( 363 / 450 ESPNBet), Jake Burger 19.8% ( 404 / 426 Novig), Corey Seager 18.6% ( 437 / 525 Kalshi) Value Picks: Isiah Kiner-Falefa 3000 Hard Rock Bet ($23.51 EV), Cody Freeman 1000 ESPNBet ($7.76 EV), Masataka Yoshida 1000 DraftKings ($5.77 EV) ML: BOS -113 | TEX -105 | O/U: 9.0 Weather: 86°F, 15 mph wind blowing out to CF, 0% rain — strong positive HR impact.
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