๐ฆ๏ธ Weather Forecast for next 3 days (10th June to 12th June) across Konkan & Western Maharashtra along with
#MumbaiRains &
#PuneRains probability. ๐ด๐ฆ๏ธ
๐ Arabian Sea Monsoon current has started losing its strength. Due to which Monsoon progress will stall for next few days. The absence of any significant system over Bay of Bengal, along with weakening Monsoon current and frequent unusually southward dipping WD troughs, has paved the way for large-scale continental dry air intrusion from Northwest India. ๐ต๐จ
โ๏ธ With cloud growth already struggling due to a weak Monsoon current, this additional dry air intrusion will make matters worse by further suppressing convection and rainfall development. These dry mid-level winds will further hinder the already weak cloud growth, causing rainfall activity to gradually shrink and get pushed further southward with each passing day. โฌ๏ธ๐ง๏ธ
๐ค๏ธ Thus,
#Nashik and
#Pune districts along with
#Pune city will remain mostly dry. A few isolated showers might show up near the Ghats of these districts. โฐ๏ธ๐ฆ๏ธ
๐ฆ๏ธ
#Satara and
#Kolhapur might receive isolated spells at a few places until tomorrow. Thereafter, conditions are expected to remain mostly dry, except some parts of southern Kolhapur and adjoining South Konkan which may continue to receive an odd shower or two. ๐ด๐ง๏ธ
๐ฅต๐ฆ
#Mumbai and MMR regions,
#Palghar and
#Thane districts will continue to remain hot and humid with no major signs of relief. A significant Bay of Bengal system will likely be required to pull meaningful rainfall into the region and revive Monsoon activity. ๐๐โ
๐ฆ๏ธ A few isolated short-duration showers might show up until tomorrow, after which even these are expected to reduce significantly or disappear altogether. โ๏ธโก๏ธโ๏ธ
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#Raigad and
#Ratnagiri will mostly receive light showers with an odd moderate spell at isolated places. Rainfall probability increases as we move southwards. However, the overall rain spread is expected to gradually shift southward with each passing day. โฌ๏ธ๐ง๏ธ
๐ง๏ธ๐ด
#Sindhudurg is likely to receive light to moderate showers. However, rainfall coverage and spread are expected to keep reducing day by day as dry northwesterly winds continue pushing the rains southwards. ๐ต๐จโฌ๏ธ๐ง๏ธ
โ๐ Overall, the next 3 days are expected to be dominated by weakening Monsoon currents, suppressed cloud growth and increasing dry air intrusion, resulting in shrinking rainfall coverage and a gradual southward retreat of rain activity across Konkan & Western Maharashtra. ๐ด๐ง๏ธ
Chart Credits:
weathernerds.org, GFS