I see people & media confusing the request of arrest warrants by the prosecutor’s office and the actual issuing of arr warrants by ICC judges.
It’s the request that is probably processed & affects 3 politicians (probably ministers Ben-Gvir, Smotrich, Strook) & 2 military leaders
BREAKING: For Gaza-related allegations, the most plausible political figures would be those directly involved in the conduct of hostilities, humanitarian access restrictions, or public incitement. In that category, the names most likely are indeed, Itamar Ben-Gvir (National Security), Bezalel Smotrich (Additional MoD and Finance), and Israel Katz (MoD).
If, however, the focus is broader annexation, destruction of property, forcible transfer of protected persons and unlawful transfer of population into occupied territory, then the likely trio shifts somewhat to possibly include Yariv Levin (Justice) or Orit Strook (Settlements) instead of Katz.
Plausible Gaza-related military commanders would include Herzi Halevi (Chief of General Staff), Yaron Finkelman (Southern Command), and Ghassan Alian (COGAT), particularly regarding humanitarian access, aid restrictions, and civilian survival conditions. Yehuda Fuchs (Central Command, Military Commander of oPt) together with Alian are likely for crimes committed in the West Bank.