The best Polymarket Quant bot for copy-trading with a 99.3% win rate.
backtested strategy on 72M Polymarket/Kalshi trades to hit $805K PnL on 27,000 predictions.
bot doesn't gamble - it uses math and statistics in its algo to consistently hit 99% win rate.
his algo decoded:
1. Mispricing formula
based on 72M trades data, traders constantly overpay for cheap contracts (0.1¢–50¢)
most of the edge sits in (80¢-99¢) contracts - that's the range where the bot mostly trades
• formula: δ = actual win rate - implied probability
bot applies this to every trade to find the edge.
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2. Expected value calculation
EV tells you whether a bet is worth taking, regardless of the outcome of any single trade.
• formula: EV = (P win × Payout) - (P lose × Cost)
bot calculates it to understand if the trade is worth the risk.
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3. Kelly Criterion sizing
most powerful position sizing formula ever discovered for gambling, trading and prediction markets
it tells the algo what % of your portfolio to size into each bet to win long term.
• formula: f* = (p * b - q) / b
mispricing found → EV calced → kelly sizing → enter
profile:
polymarket.com/0x751a2b86cab…
start copy trading the bot with as little as $10 using Ares:
ares.pro/wallets/0x751a2b86c…
2 more formulas behind its algo revealed in the article below ↓