Building onchain. Fully locked in.

Joined December 2020
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open sourced it if you're trading 5min @Polymarket markets, this might change the way you trade and make your life much easier! feedback welcome @PolymarketDevs
Working on a terminal CLI for trading the 5min BTC markets on @Polymarket these days. Building it first for myself, fast, simple, with real edge. If it actually becomes useful for trading these volatile markets manually, I’ll open source it here. Still early, but getting there.
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Ismail Moazami retweeted
Pessimists sound smart.  Optimists build the world.
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One of the best use cases for AI is going to be re-engineering ourselves. Using it to select and optimize our own DNA is just crazy and magical.
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Ismail Moazami retweeted
Jun 2
Prediction markets seems like a gambling to the major part of collective the same way how it looked like when people shilled you alts in 2016 and you were never interested to listen. The time has changed now but we have seen the whole timeline of making generational money meanwhile. Same gonna happen again at 10x scale, hope you don’t get sidelined again, also hope you learn the nuances behind the purest form of crypto anarchy before calling it names out of your own ignorance because you are not simply ready to understand the the maths and philosophy behind one of the greatest financial instrument of past 100 years.
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Replying to @onchainmo
just an old research of mine
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why i am so bullish on crypto, in "defense of the ideological"- i recently watched the video of the first public appearance for jensen and elon together, which was at GTC 2015 more than ten years ago. by this time, jensen had already made his iconoclastic bet on parallel graphics processing for over twenty years, and on CUDA since 2006. musk had his hassabis moment in 2012. yet openAI was not yet founded (would be ~9 months later), and GDX-1 would be announced at GTC the following year too this is that narrow window where a revolution is visible to some but not others, in which both of these geniuses had early inklings of recognizing AIs pervasive potential, but the broad public was not yet made aware. it would take another 10 years for it reach mainstream applications of course i broadly think of the crypto industry being the same place today. just as there were brilliant minds who understood the revolution that would come from the GPU paradigm, there was simply no large scale consumer demand that required its objective superiority for decades to come. instead, it was picked up by hobbyists (ie gamers) who enjoyed a sense of self-determination by pushing the boundaries of their passion, tinkering, sharing, and researching. in a rather strange way, gamers subsidized AI's development, just like early defi subsidized the institutional tokenization development. during the GTC 2015 interview, elon tells jensen something interesting: the 0-10 mph autonomous driving is very easy to solve because the car can be stopped. the 50 mph zone is also easy to solve because there are rules of engagements at that speed that dont have as many randomness. the hardest part to solve is actually the 10-50mph, what i call the "the middle game" where a car in an urban setting with bikes, children, cones, manholes, create all kinds of need for precision and speed that sensors today need to develop further. it's fundamentally solvable, but this is the most challenging portion of fulfilling the dreams of autonomous driving this is where crypto is today. the 0-10mph was easy because people can understand why permissionless money is useful from a practical sense to start developing. the 50mph will also be really easy because by that point, onchain capital markets is going to be so obvious that you could never go back with all the benefits of self custody, capital efficiency, money velocity/rest optimizations. but its the 10-50 thats hard, where money in a pre-internet financial infrastructure is hitting AML/KYC, offshore capital conduits, discretionary bank risk models, lagging reporting regimes create all kinds of need of need for precision and speed that institutional infrastructure today needs to develop further. its fundamentally solvable, but this is the most challenging portion of fulfilling the dreams of onchain capital markets i love bitcoin. but contrary to some opinion, i believe its possible to love crypto too, because bitcoin is a monetary experiment enabled by the evolution of technology, while most of crypto is the inverse: a technology experiment enabled by the evolution of money. they are fundamentally solving different problems, though rooted in one ideal: to make its access as much of a public good as possible this is why crypto is going to be such an important force for the future during this "narrow window" for those can can see it. and while most early pioneers got into the game because of the ideology behind decentralization, it's time to admit that the winning ideology is technological financialization: it is hyperfinancialization with elements of decentralization that exports sovereign finance as a public good, decentralizes agentic rails for humanity as a public good, promote self-determination as a public good. this is worth fighting for, and im excited to recommit my focus to these ideals that began my crypto journey. this "middle game" period will be remembered as the most critical juncture for the industry and for anyone who is doubting the industry at this time, i hope reading this helps you reanchor your beliefs for what you are actually fighting for, and more importantly, know that you can play a meaningful part in the revolution too the future belongs to those who recognized it was always ideological
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Ismail Moazami retweeted
Major areas where the financial system still needs an update: 1. Tokenization of real-world assets - Real estate, stocks, bonds, funds, etc. onchain for instant settlement, fractional ownership & massive distribution. 2. 24/7 Global trading - Pooled global liquidity, every asset, every person, with great leverage and capital efficiency. 3. Next-gen payments - Near-instant, low-cost global transfers using stablecoins, including for Agentic payments. 4. AI-powered risk, credit, compliance, and advice - Better decisions, less fraud, and broader access to capital. Everyone gets access to a great financial advisor. 5. Innovation friendly regulation - Move from one-size-fits-all to risk-based rules that encourage innovation and competition instead of stifling it. 6. Expanded access - Open protocols that reduce middlemen and self-custodial wallets to expand access to everyone with a smartphone. 7. Capital formation - Low cost and turnkey for anyone to raise money for a good idea, increasing the number of startups. 8. Sound money - A refuge from inflation, when discipline is lost in fiat money. Jobs not done until we get these working for all. Will require lots of tech innovation and policy work to get there.
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May 10
ANNAPURNA, 365. 365 pieces. one for every day a body eats. food → microbiome → vagus → cortex, mapped through real data (USDA, Phenol-Explorer, DII) and ancient wisdom. every retreat week blooms gold. every grief week turns ash. every festival burns cinnabar. the gut-brain axis as a kingdom you can hold. WL: like RT, comment BADGUT. minting soon.
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Wisdom and self-awareness are the rarest traits in the world. There are many brilliant and successful people with no wisdom or common sense. Self-awareness is understanding that your brain and beliefs and understanding of the world are nothing but a flawed map of reality, not reality itself. For many people what is in their head is indistinguishable from reality and so they view a shadow of the world their whole life. It's from these two root problems that most other major problems in the world come.
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Normalize disappearing for an extended period of time to do a factory reset on your focus and creativity.
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"Surprisingly, occupations with higher exposure to AI have grown faster than least-exposed ones, not slower." Not surprising! Productivity growth -> economic growth -> job growth.
Is AI killing jobs? New data shows that, more than three years after the release of ChatGPT, there is no evidence for a significant impact of AI on overall employment in the UK. In our new report, we break down the labour force into different occupations and use four measures of AI exposure to determine how likely they are to be affected by the technology. Surprisingly, occupations with higher exposure to AI have grown faster than least-exposed ones, not slower. This holds across all four measures, and across two different data sources. The wage picture is different. Pay in AI-exposed occupations has lagged the rest of the labour market since 2019. But that gap opened three years before ChatGPT, which makes AI an unlikely candidate for the observed wage compression. This flattening of the wage structure is visible across the within-occupation distribution and strongest at the top quartile, which is consistent with labour market dynamics that predate generative AI.
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open sourced it if you're trading 5min @Polymarket markets, this might change the way you trade and make your life much easier! feedback welcome @PolymarketDevs
Working on a terminal CLI for trading the 5min BTC markets on @Polymarket these days. Building it first for myself, fast, simple, with real edge. If it actually becomes useful for trading these volatile markets manually, I’ll open source it here. Still early, but getting there.
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If you can control your emotions and follow signals, this is one of the fastest and cleanest ways to trade these markets.
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Thanks @Polymarket 🇦🇫
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Working on a terminal CLI for trading the 5min BTC markets on @Polymarket these days. Building it first for myself, fast, simple, with real edge. If it actually becomes useful for trading these volatile markets manually, I’ll open source it here. Still early, but getting there.
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Ismail Moazami retweeted
Make stuff because you want it, not because the algorithm wants it.
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This pushed me to try @agentcashdev and build something. I made an agent for Polymarket research that can decide when free/public data is not enough, then use x402 via AgentCash to pay for better data when it actually matters. ngl this really feels like the future repo below
Apr 11
only way to apply is to use @agentcashdev to send me what you built at shafu@merit.systems if you can't figure it out you are not a good fit
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I wanted to use @FarzaTV’s freewrite, but it was Mac-only. So I built a Linux version using Codex, honestly an amazing experience. Ended up building something really useful for myself. Freewriting is one of the best ways to think clearly. thanks @FarzaTV for the inspiration.
introducing freewrite. a mac app i made for myself. one simple, clean place to write without distraction. all in native swift. no subscription. all local. free. enjoy.
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