Oxford lecturer and statistician who just wants to tell the world about numbers. Especially when causality is involved.

Joined May 2012
135 Photos and videos
**Poster Alert** Generalizability is a common problem in causality, as we often want to generalize causal findings from one domain to another. However, current metrics like MSE can only do model comparison rather than answer directly whether a model is generalizable.
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Please join us at our UAI virtual poster on: Testing generalizability in causal inference July 22nd, Poster session 1, 16:00-18:30 BRT, 19:00-21:30 UTZ
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With Daniel Manela and Linying Yang!
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Excited to share our latest research: Marginal Causal Flows for Validation and Inference. We introduce Frugal Flows—a normalising flows based generative model that directly parameterises causal effects, enabling realistic causal dataset simulation. arxiv.org/abs/2411.01295
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Frugal Flows generate synthetic datasets with: •Realistic data patterns •Customisable ATEs and treatment heterogeneity •Unobserved confounding effects These features make them ideal for benchmarking causal models.
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Validating causal models often relies on simplified assumptions. Frugal Flows address this by using normalising flows to generate datasets that exactly meet user-defined causal constraints, ensuring rigorous benchmarking.
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What’s purple and commutes? An abelian grape.
What's your favorite math joke?
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What's your favorite math joke?
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Everyone knows it’s gold!
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The question of identity that is tearing the Lib Dems apart: is the party yellow or orange? All Britons Yellow: 57% Orange: 24% Lib Dem voters Yellow: 55% Orange: 41% ygo-assets-websites-editoria…
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Postdoc positions in Oxford to work with me, @cwcyau, Chris Holmes, George Nicholson and others. Very exciting project! (Advertised through psychiatry, but jobs not tied to that area!)
New Oxford-Aarhus-Copenhagen collaboration - not yet launched - 2 postdocs, 2 senior postdocs and postdoc coordinator in Oxford. Jobs 173031-3 at jobs.ox.ac.uk Methods-focussed in group Holmes, Visscher, Evans, Nicholson, @cwcyau, @ten_photo etc, Denmark ads soon
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Robin Evans retweeted
New Oxford-Aarhus-Copenhagen collaboration - not yet launched - 2 postdocs, 2 senior postdocs and postdoc coordinator in Oxford. Jobs 173031-3 at jobs.ox.ac.uk Methods-focussed in group Holmes, Visscher, Evans, Nicholson, @cwcyau, @ten_photo etc, Denmark ads soon
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Half term fun @MuseumofOxford !
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Keeping your eyes open can help you fall asleep faster. Here’s why sciencefocus.com/the-human-b… Delighted to provide the science behind paradoxical intention. A so called ‘sleep hack’? I don’t think so, you can’t take credit for human nature! @UniofOxford @OxSCNi @wearebighealth @NHSEngland @scotgov @ESRS_Sleep @AASMorg @ResearchSleep @BritishSleepSoc @TheSleepCharity
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In related news...I'll be hiring soon! Please get in touch if you are a looking for a post doc position broadly in the area of in AI for Health!
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We invite proposals for tutorials at #UAI2024 by March 15th. Topics include, not limited to - Causal Inference/Discovery - Uncertainty Quantification - Optimization - Fairness, Interpretability, Reproducibility in ML - RL - DL and more. For instructions: auai.org/uai2024/call_for_tu…
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