After a quick skim, here is my take on these changes & effects
@NEARProtocol aims to have:
First-Order Impacts:
- Lower sell pressure from validators/stakers as emissions are cut in half (will this 50% cut lead to an exodus of validators/stakers or will the other incentive mechanism through governance keep them?)
- Direct
$NEAR demand created by Intents fee denomination (partners and frontends are paid in
$NEAR, so they need to acquire or hold it)
- Token buyback program started
- Intents' $13B in settled volume is now a revenue-generating asset rather than just a growth metric
Second Order Impacts:
- If the deflationary flywheel kicks in,
$NEAR supply dynamics start resembling a commodity with usage-driven scarcity rather than a typical inflationary L1
- Revenue-sharing in
$NEAR incentivizes wallets, dApps, and distribution partners to actively promote Intents usage (they get paid more if volume grows), creating a self-reinforcing distribution network
- NEAR AI pricing compute and agent transactions in
$NEAR ties a potentially massive agentic economy to token demand (will agents choose to use NEAR or stables as their default payment method?)
- The stablecoin transport play (STP being built on Intents) could make NEAR the settlement rail for institutional stablecoin flows (if that scales toward the projected $2T stablecoin market, fee generation could dwarf current Intents revenue. I need to dive deeper on this tho to see who else is involved)
Overall, these should be net bullish changes in the long run as the transitions to an agent-focused world continue.
The next era of NEAR tokenomics is unfolding!
5 years on mainnet. 100% uptime.
Fully unlocked supply.
Inflation halved.
Onchain governance live.
Real product revenue.
Now: increasing value capture 🧵