Co-founded Positive Equity in 2008. Built alongside partners and traders who raised the bar. Still here. Risk first. Ego last.
Joined February 2026
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The goal in trading isn’t to win today.
It’s to still be here in 20 years.
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What Lukas said 👍💪
Jun 9
Happy official book release to all Market Wizards!
Proud to have been part of history with a majority of friends.
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Time to sell? Caught myself checking P&L too much this week. Never a great sign.
When traders start watching net worth instead of process, things can get a little bubbly.
Anybody else seeing signs?
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Spoke with a trainee today fighting for his seat.
Expected bad trading. Found edge and consistency.
Problem is he trades almost everything the same size. Great setup appears… nothing changes.
Consistency keeps you alive.
Sizing properly is what changes your life.
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Vol traders have had a great run since March.
But markets change.
Easy trades disappear.
Small losers start showing up first.
That’s usually the signal.
I’ve slowed down and gone back to grind mode.
Some are still swinging hard.
Are you adjusting, or fighting the tape?
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Speaking to traders today:
Vol down. Big trades done.
Small losing days creeping in.
Short bull run — less chaos, less opportunity.
In-between market.
Don’t force it.
Don’t dig holes.
Keep the powder dry.
Be ready to attack if things shift.
Until then, grind it out.
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From recent conversations with traders I’m mentoring: Simulation is an amazing tool. It costs you nothing but time. The mistake? Going live too early. You can never go live too late—but rushing early? That’s when people overestimate their edge. Build consistency first. No rush.
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Excellent.
We have trainees sim for 9–12 months before going live. Thousands of trades. Thousands of data points on what works and what doesn’t.
By the time they go live, they’re executing, not experimenting.
Mar 18
The moment you add a new variable in live trading, you are no longer executing.
You are starting research with money at risk.
Live is not where you find a better system.
Live is where you run the version that was already defined, tested, and practiced through your own hands.
The sample size in live is far too small for testing.
So you will end up changing things based on wins and losses.
That means randomness is now controlling your behavior.
That is how you enter an endless loop of improvement.
The only thing you should be improving in live is your execution.
Why did you fail to follow the rule.
Why could you not do what was already decided in advance.
Focus on that process, not on the trade result.
For that to happen, your testing and practice must already be finished.
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Amen Mr Boxes, I hear so much “sim is useless, sim isnt real, sim is no proxy for real markets.” That is rubbish. That is impatience talking. Now if you are running some HFT app, ok maybe, but for retail, point and click, prop, its awesome. Free education.
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75% right.
Without edge, this is just well-managed losing.
Build/develop your edge first. Everything else sits on top.
Mar 18
To become a successful trader you must act like one:
✅ Only take A setups
✅ Manage your risk impeccably
✅ Never break your trading rules
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Well said.
A lot of what looks like difficulty is just lack of edge.
With enough screen time, good setups repeat and the strike rate should reflect that over time.
The rest is execution… and dodging the occasional steamroller.
It sure seems like every online trader is a fraud and that this whole industry needs to burn. The big-name influencers are frauds, the funded trader affiliates are frauds, even the small nobodies are frauds.
There is one point that I think is very important to underscore:
This dynamic exists because being consistently profitable at trading is THAT hard. Not even to make millions, but to just make $200k/yr consistently.
So if you EVER see someone only posting wins or selling a lifestyle or talking about how their followers are all banking…. RUN FOR YOUR FUCKING LIFE!
And if you ARE able to make a consistent living trading, even with the ups and downs, know that YOU ARE FAR MORE TALENTED THAN YOU IMAGINE!
If you feel inferior but are able to support you and your family by trading, know that you are a FUCKING HERO!
Every pro trader I know struggles. Tends to have 1-2 months per year of drawdown. Tends to have a <70% daily win-rate.
Yet go ahead, ask Grok to analyze what percent of pnl posts by Patrick Wieland or Matt Coward are wins. The response is all you need to know. 95% .
When you see the funded trader influencers or any trader only posting wins, just know:
IT IS ALL AN ILLUSION DUE TO BROKEN INCENTIVES BECAUSE REAL TRADING IS THAT HARD!
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If anyone has trading questions, post them below.
Happy to let you pick my brain a bit.
Just not too much… I still need it for trading, my wife, helping my kid with algebra homework, and working with the trainees and traders at @Positive_Equity
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I still sometimes pay the high or sell the low in a move. Sometimes my stop is exactly where the market turns.
That happens to everybody.
The goal is not perfecion, its survival.
Keep losses small. Stay in the game. Long career.
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Its NFP Friday.
I don’t protect the week.
I protect the process.
Cut losers. Run winners. Size correctly. Trade only when I have definable edge.
The market doesn’t care what day it is.
Happy Friday. See you Monday.
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Geopolitical headlines mean volatile markets.
You can cut the trade fast and still lose too much if the size was wrong when you entered.
In volatile markets:
SIZE DOWN.
Small losses Control your PnL = Long careers.
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25 years trading.
Five small losing months. No down years.
Not brilliance. Fear.
Fear of breaking rules:
– Hard loss limits
– Monthly caps per strategy
– Strict daily limits
– No averaging
– No hero trades
Sounds boring?
Compounding for 25 years isn’t
Small losses. Repeat
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The goal in trading isn’t to win today.
It’s to still be here in 20 years.
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Small losses are tuition.
Large losses are ego.
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Cut losers.
Protect capital.
Repeat. For 25 years.
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