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nok expected to move even lower as oil falls. USDNOK can see more gains, but EURNOK or other pairs can be even more attractive then..

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UK/EU Session Update: Crunch time for #USDJPY All eyes are on the yen this week and particularly USDJPY, as we have both the BOJ (tomorrow) and the Fed (Weds). USDJPY already looks problematic as it bounces back from the Iran dip, while USD holds weaker in other pairs. Specs increased yen shorts last week to 146k vs 130k (CFTC data). The intervention risk is high. If the BOJ hikes and we see any yen strength quickly dissipating, that intervention risk is going to rise, and then if the Fed gets USD going higher, that risk increases further, unless they yen is strengthening in the crosses. The 160 area remains a massive level and the intervention risk really comes down to what side we're on after both events, and to what degree. Keep an eye on the BOJ Yendex as a guide (last at 72.55 and near all time lows) but the MOF might not wait for that if the PA is showing fast and larger weakening.

UK/EU Session Update: Brent crude #oil is happy with the deal so far. Still no pen to paper and 5 days for things to go wrong again but oil markets seem not to care. Friday's headline rollercoaster saw a blip back above 88.50, which ran into trouble at 90.00, and now we;ve gapped down below the 86.20 level. Support is around 81.50-82.50, then into 80.00. After that, next support is into 79.00. A lot of these support levels are drawn off the price action back in 2025 and further back, so we're getting out of the 'war' price action.

UK/EU Session Update: Another jump in #SPX on another Trump promise. Back to ATH's we go? Friday saw us struggling around the 7455/60 area but we've gapped above there above 7514/20. That and the 7500 level are the close supports. Expect some resistance at 7540, otherwise, it's the 7555/70 area, the 7600.

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UK/EU Session Update: Two test zones approaching in #EURUSD if this bounce finds legs now the US-Iran MOU is expected to be signed this Friday. 1.1630/40 and 1.1665/90 are waiting on top. Clearing these over the course of the week would paint a pretty bullish picture. Especially if it would happen through/after/despite the #FOMC meeting on Wednesday. In the meantime 1.1570/85 turns into the nearest support. Losing this would bring 1.1500 back into view.

UK/EU Session Update: #GBPUSD is entering an important week. Not only will be get #FOMC and #BOE on resp the 17th and 18th but we also have the Makerfield by-elections and the small mattter of a possible Iran-#US MOU signing on Friday. All of this will spice up the second part of the week. In the meantime 1.3465 and 1.3480 resistances have come closer and deserve close monitoring. Above there skies may open a bit. Downside 1.3380/85 and 1.3330/40 are the frst supports before the bigger 1.3300/10.

UK/EU Session Update: #AUDUSD cleared 0.7050/55, coming closer to the 38.2 of the May/June decline at 0.7093. That needs to be cleared for AUD to move back into the 0.7110-20/25 area. 0.7055 down to 40 support to start the week. a break back below would bring 0.7000 and 0.6980 back onto the table.

UK/EU Session Update: #XAUUSD spikes back above the broken TL on this week's open. 4260/75 needs close attention on a retest if seen. Not holding it could spell a bit of trouble. In the meantime 4395/10 is the resistance which, if broken, would grant 4500.

UK/EU Session Update: #XAGUSD rally continues. Next resistance 71.80, then the bigger 75-75.25 which would be very positive if cleared.. 69.50-68.30 and 67 the supports. Letting go of the latter wouldn't look good in turn.

UK/EU Session Update: Very little impact from the Swiss vote, yet #EURCHF is still below the 200DMA and inside the wider triangle view. 0.9230/50 major resistance. A break should mean a longer term change of approach. Back below 0.9200 on the day but especially 0.9155/60 could see a more pronounced retracement set in.

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