PENN - ILLINOIS BEST BET
Michael Zanoni O 9.5 Points (-122 FD / PLP / PP) - 0.35u - Penn
🧑🍳 w/
@KadeBets
WE ARE 7-2 TO START THE TOURNAMENT SO FAR! GET THE VALUE ->
WHOP.COM/THE-SLIP-CLUB
Zanoni, the son of two Illini alumni, will play in his first tournament game tonight, coincidentally against Illinois and his former teammate (Mercer) Jake Davis. Penn will be without leading scorer Ethan Roberts, and potentially even 2nd leading scorer TJ Power, who did not practice Wednesday due to illness. Even if Power plays, its likely his condition will positively benefit Zanoni, along with Roberts' absence. Without Penn's leading scorer active, Zanoni has 8, 11, 23, 23, 12, 9 points on 7, 15, 17, 14, 12, 10 combined FGA/FTA. To add context to the two misses, he only played 25 minutes in the game with 8 points and TJ Power nuked with 44 points in the game with 9 points. Neither will happen today.
Diving deeper into Zanoni's season, he has averaged 11.6 pts/game, but this number jumps to 15.9 in games where he plays at least 30 minutes, a mark he achieved in 5/6 games without Roberts (37 in all 5 such games). Earlier this year, Zanoni scored 30pts vs Providence and 23 vs GMU, both games vs more talented opponents.
Illinois has struggled all year to stop off-ball screens, which Zanoni is heavily involved in, and he loves to take the mid range shots (99th %ile FGA) that Illinois wants and allows opponents to take. In games without Roberts, Zanoni has taken almost 1/5 of Penn's FGA as a team, averaging 9.7 non-paint FGA per game (11.4 FGA/game incl. paint shots).