Exposed long, but:
- Disgusted at token dilution
- Know 2025 is a net sell
- Aware of game theory
- Don’t trust crackrock
- Think memes are end symbols
- Predict an alt infinity loop to 0
- Know it will be invisible & slow
And that the acceptance of 99% of crypto being a scam is currently at ATH.
Once, we traded vapor with the open secret that maybe, perhaps it’s not vapor—
Or at the very least that the barriers to entry were guarded by token creation & branding that gave the illusion of a coded, plugged-in, anonymous team & therefore brand.
Now?
Everyone knows it’s bluntly, unapologetically, obviously, dogshit vapor & we’re competing inside a PVP Fortnite arena without respect for the narrowing deadzone/storm—alongside the slowly reducing long-term player count.
Which, in this regard, is translated to... 'How many deep pockets are willing to long-term bet, under the obvious symbol that the clouds are beginning to turn red'
Especially when the carrying thesis for their liquidity is intimately tied to how much dumb money is willing to buy tops (who all believe they're trading scams)
So far to date, the alt market has only been upkept by 4 things:
1. The consistently replenishing delusion that maybe it *is* something (raw speculation/self-fulfilling prophecy).
2. Increasing retail opinion to attract and therefore plunge from.
3. Deep pockets willing to hold supply, thus helping a chart squeeze.
4. Market makers marking up charts to offload inventory.
The problem is, this leap in bluntness—from 'maybe it’s vapor' to 'it’s absolutely vapor'—is invisibly eroding 1, 2, 3, & 4.
- AI agents, cool.
- Memes, cool.
- GameFi, cool.
- DeFi and Trump, cool.
- AI, cool.
- NFTS, cool.
- RWAS, cool.
- Yield generating tokens, cool.
- Infrastructure, cool
I’m not saying you can’t make a fuckton of money here. Far from it.
Go and get it.
What I *am* saying here is that no matter what your TikTok algorithms feed you on their snippets of podcast interviews, about how Crypto is *the* industry to plunge for $10k a month trading ALTS or the matrix escape key—
Please remember something:
When normies thought the entirety of crypto was a scam, you had an edge.
However, now that normies are in acceptance of the idea of crypto & that our industry is flashing extreme symbolic warning signs—
A perfect divergence has formed.
One that is capable of taking all of your hard-earned money away.
Either because the market dilutes to the point where it travels downwards, in slow 5% monthly death loops, until volume dies down and no exchange wants to support your coin anymore, a kind of nightmare mode for those that have shiny object syndrome...
Or because you got so lost in the news that you forgot your own wisdom.
Severe pumps inside a multi trillion dollar marketcap for alts are not a signal to party.
When the first atomic bomb was tested in the Mexican desert, they never told local neighboring towns that they were testing it.
Shortly after, it started raining.
The children, mistaking the toxic fallout for fresh rain, went out in it to kick around, shout in joy & party.
Few of them lived past 30.
If you want to continue to gamble, why not? Do it. But if you have tons of unrealized profit and a bank that needs filling?
Fill it, then, reload your exchange with a portion of it & run it back up.
Lean into your own self-belief rather than your own greed.
If you keep banking and reloading like this, the fallout is less likely to catch you.
Do not rely on your logic to spot it. Our brains, unless you live like a stoic machine, like to protect twisted logic that serves our own truths, not necessarily the logic that leads to *the* truth.
Every single alt investor and trader I know or read of is calling the top to occur before 2026 and mostly in 2025, yet, the market is a game of liq.
Not everyone can be right & only 5% will make it out alive.
This my opening statement for 2025. You can make it, but be wise.
Good luck and god bless ❤️