Stuff I wish I knew when I was younger: 1. Doing something poorly and consistently is better than doing it in a world class manner occasionally 2. Other people tell you to take risks bc they want to see what happens or have a free option if you win not bc they think it’s a good idea 3. Most people don’t think about you at all. But some people think about you a lot. If someone who is a baller takes an interest in you for no particular reason just run with it. One trick to vastly improve your relationship outcomes is spend time w people who like you (not ppl who ignore you or treat you poorly). 4. Everything in your life you can categorize as 1) addictive 2) enjoyable. And if you do a bunch of non addictive enjoyable things it’s quite likely you’ll be happier. If you stop doing that basket you’ll burn out, predictably 5. It’s a lot easier to deal directly with negative thoughts than it is to deal with the life circumstances generating them and most of the time you can actually deal w the circumstances more effectively if you’re not tilted 6. Most of the economy is a cartel defined by proximity to central banks, the government, and a small elite. The reason “contrarian” ideas work isn’t because they’re good. It’s bc they’re “king made”. It’s decided in advance who is going to win. You need to decide if you’re going to play or not. There is no halfway 7. Being mad about the system being rigged is a waste of time it’s a lot better to just bet on it, or invest with that as an edge bc most people aren’t blackpilled enough. 8. Most studies - especially social science studies have criminally low r sq or poor methodology. Such that most things you read online don’t actually work. At the same time - your own response to things is fairly predictable. So if you find something that works - you can just go back to that - a lot more easily than optimizing something new 9. Life getting worse after 30 is a scam. Actually - it might genuinely get worse for most people. But it doesn’t have to. The people who most loudly tell you what you need to be happy are the least happy people 10. Over time your outcomes are mostly determined by the quality of your network, your investment rate of return and your tax rate. But every once in a while you can do something non linear that can be a home run. It’s best to do non linear things during asset bubbles or when you have a hot hand. It’s not a good idea to do non linear things when there isn’t strong investor appetite for risk taking 11. Your behaviors will tell you stuff you’re not dealing with. If you’re overeating or sleeping poorly it’s probably bc there’s something you haven’t acknowledged or faced or are putting off 12. As you move towards a singularity , accelerating progress or a purported societal shift the predictability decreases - rather than increasing. People are the most certain at maximum acceleration when the very nature of acceleration or complexity suggests they should do the opposite. If AGI is coming start thinking 1 week out not 3 years out

Zero to fully set up. In one video. Charts. Orderflow. Heatmaps. Companion. Templates. Execution. Layout manager. Drawing tools. Audio Flow. Everything MMT has explained from scratch. New MMT Labs video is live👇

dating is spiritually ugly and contrary to human dignity no matter how much virtue you imbue into the practice. the disgust we feel but rarely name is a burden on our souls if we’re merely open to it in a serious capacity. you repeatedly must evaluate others and be evaluated yourself like livestock. sensitive souls recognize this as a deeply wrong way of seeing people that only exists in dating and job interviews. however, the sane recognize it as unavoidable; it’s unwise to waste time or heartbreak on someone who doesn’t meet our bare minimum requirements for a spouse. measuring someone’s potential value in your life in such a black-and-white way—even though we know it’s necessary and important to exclude the too old, too young, those who don’t share our faith, the bums, the unstable, those with contradictory lifestyles, and so on—conjures images of culling farm animals for their various ailments and inadequacies. we don’t hate the runt rabbit or the cow that doesn’t produce milk, but what must be done must be done. every time we open up to someone we’re romantically involved with, we’re putting our worth on a scale for them to measure. are we hot enough to be worth tolerating our quirks? are we fun enough during the good times to make the bad times worth enduring? is the baggage worth unpacking together, or is it better to roll the dice and hope for a better one next dm slide? our infinite personhood with all of its complexity and depth is distilled into a subjective, simplified pro-con list that can be expressed and conveyed over a short period of time. who you are is what they perceive you to be. no matter how incomplete or inaccurate, that perception takes precedence over reality. when things end, as they do more often than they don’t, anything shared or built together is now supposed to be entirely meaningless. the connection, any understanding, the conversations, the jokes, the pleasant memories, the unique human being before you made in the image of God, all meant to be unceremoniously discarded like takeout you find a hair in. none of those things will ever be replaced or recovered because people aren’t objects we can order a different brand of with slightly different specifications off of amazon. regardless of the flaws that led to things not working out, all of the goodness we found in that person is gone from our lives forever. on top of that, you know that these things are all worthless to the only other person who experienced them, and that you and your wholeness, too, are metaphorically a corpse disposed of in a landfill. this is part of the curse, i think. dating didn’t exist in eden. in the same way we respond to the sufferings of toil and childbirth, we often either turn a blind eye the horribleness of it or reject the goodness of the intended positive outcome. i don’t believe that it’s healthy or otherwise beneficial to either ignore how inherently contrary to truth, beauty, charity, and goodness this is, or to opt out out solely for fear of suffering these humiliations.

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TRADERS! Today it is going to happen, we are launching MMT V2 😱 CYBER MONDAY is your last chance to grab it at an incredible discount! To celebrate this we are giving away 4 yearly PRO subscriptions 🤯. To enter: - follow us - share this post - comment why you need MMT We got you!

The legendary @tradingview Black Friday Sale is here! I’m giving away 2 annual TradingView subscriptions — one Ultimate and one Premium To enter: 1. Follow me and @tradingview 2. Like and Repost this post 3. Tag 1 friend/trader Winners will be announced on Monday. Good luck! 🫡

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Nemesis Ticket collection page is out on Opensea: opensea.io/collection/nemesi… Which one is your favorite? Comment it below👇 Nemesis.

Today, we unveil Nemesis Tickets, a 2,100 limited edition NFT collection✦ Each ticket is your key to the $NEMESIS whitelist (0.05 ETH allocation). Programmatically generated. Greek-Roman aesthetics. Zero duplicates. Let's dive into the traits and rarity tiers🧵

Welcome to the Arena: wl.nemesis.trade Nemesis.

Today, we announced our upcoming token name change. Here is everything you need to know about $NEMESIS. A remade thread🧵

Sharing this for a friend. Like, follow, and retweet this and I will pick 5 random accounts to give away $1000 in Bitcoin or Eth.

Our summer break isch over and we will open the doors one more time this year for Summer Camp The group runs until September FOMC and starts next week with the usual daily voice calls & presentations discord.gg/fQBe3W9EEF 1 spot will be given away, Like/RT to be eligible 60% renewed their membership and empty spots will be filled until we reach back to original size What will you get? - Educational presentations, weekly outlooks for swing trading Crypto & TradFi by @abetrade - Daily BTC TPO by @FynnJL - Small group so everyone has a chance for Q&A - Daily pre market live calls, previews/sum ups of macro and several markets (SPX, Metals, Bonds, Single Stock) - Daily SPX & 0dte levels - All trades auto forwarded when opened/closed (we actually trade lol) - Daily & weekly previews and summaries - Cheat sheets and guidance of how to trade around macro events (FOMC/CPI/PCE/NFP etc.) - Presentations of different topics like Options for beginners, OpEx, Bond auctions and BTC order flow... all recorded so nobody gets penalized for being afk - Institutional research data, easy and understandable explained What will you learn? - How to read econ data and its implications for the market - News trading macro - Dealer hedging dynamics - Option flow & Greeks - How CTA, Vol funds and other systematics work or impact the market - How to take advantage of mechanical, algo driven and position based moves - Charmboy John and other flows - How to interpret FOMC & Fed speak - TGA/QRA, Fed´s balance sheet, Earnings & GeoPol Cheers!

One of the most important shifts in my thinking was learning to detach from individual outcomes. In domains where skill and randomness are both in play, any single result is just one point in a much larger distribution. Outcomes are noisy. A good decision can lead to a bad result, and a bad decision can still be rewarded. That makes it fundamentally different from games of pure skill, like chess, where every move can be evaluated independently of luck. In trading, randomness obscures the connection between decision and result, which makes it uniquely hard: when outcomes tilt more toward luck, they can shake your confidence in a sound system — or, worse, reinforce a flawed one. The key is to stop judging based on immediate feedback and instead commit to a process you trust. Over time, a well-designed process will edge the probabilities in your favor. That’s a statistical inevitability.

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