Why the bottom for
$BTC is not in
Bitcoin's Realised Price is the average cost basis for all holders
Currently it is 53.6k
Bitcoin has NEVER bottomed in a cycle without trading below the Realised Price
2011 → BTC bottomed at $2.1, about 58% below the Realised Price of $5
2015 → BTC bottomed at $152, about 49% below the Realised Price of $300
2018 → BTC bottomed at $3.2k, about 47% below the Realised Price of $6k
2022 → BTC bottomed at $15.4k about 34% below the Realised Price of $23.3k
58%, 49%, 47%, 34% – see a pattern forming?
My prediction for the next Bitcoin bottom is the Realised Price minus 20-30%
In other words → 37.5k-42.8k
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