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Kwery @KweryAPI

Shutdown for the foreseeable future

Joined May 2022
  • Tweets 148
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  • Followers 103
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Kwery@KweryAPI
Mar 7
👋 Meet Kwery, the data layer for prediction market trading. A unified REST API for historical market data, reconstructed orderbooks, and ML-ready data sets across prediction and crypto markets. Built for traders, quants, and ML engineers. 1/🧵
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And under the surface, spreads are wide. ETH / SOL: Double-digit funding gaps between venues That’s not random. That’s structural inefficiency. Where there’s disagreement, there’s opportunity. GN
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Now look at where signals actually matter. Venue agreement: • BTC → only ~32% divergence → both sides agree (short) • ETH → 54% divergence → constant disagreement • SOL → mixed • XRP → relatively consistent Cleanest signal in the market right now = BTC crowd bias.
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This BTC setup has a pattern. Funding drops Price doesn’t Translation: Shorts are piling in without price confirmation
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Zoom out tho and the WHOLE market looks fractured. Liquidations: All assets → longs getting wiped Funding: • BTC → both venues short • ETH / SOL / XRP → split signals
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But BTC is doing something people usually miss 🧐 Price: Holding ~$74.5K Funding: Falling hard → now ~-17% APR
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XRP just got a massive real-world rollout. → 44M users unlocked → 5M merchant locations At the exact same time: → 25x long liquidation imbalance → ~$867K longs wiped vs ~$35K shorts
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If you strip all the noise out, this is what’s left: • Longs getting wiped across every asset • Funding split across venues • Sentiment still bearish • Attention clustering around XRP GN folks
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ETH is the cleanest example of the disconnect as shown here They disagree over half the time. So which side is right?
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Sentiment is still stuck in fear... BTC: 3.8K off the lows Yet Fear & Greed = 11 Six straight weeks of extreme fear… while price recovers. People aren’t positioned for strength. They’re still reacting to the last drop.
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The funding is telling quite the story tho BTC: Both venues negative → clear short bias ETH / SOL / XRP: Split signals → venues disagree
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Buut at the same time, oddly XRP is dominating attention. 100x more Kalshi open interest than BTC Major real-world rollout (Rakuten payments live) So now you’ve got: Heavy attention Heavy positioning Heavy liquidations 🧐
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SOL just printed a 98x liquidation imbalance.. Currently heres the rest of the board: • XRP: 25x • ETH: 8.6x • BTC: 6.9x longs are getting crushed.
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Kwery retweeted
Kwery@KweryAPI
Apr 11
All 4 majors just flipped. BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP — all positive funding now. Last week: crowd was short This week: crowd is long Full market regime shift in ~7 days.
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All 4 majors just flipped. BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP — all positive funding now. Last week: crowd was short This week: crowd is long Full market regime shift in ~7 days.
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This is the real takeaway: You can track the entire flip programmatically. Last week → all SHORT bias Now → all LONG bias Same system. Different output. No opinions needed.
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