So hereās the issue you get influencers like this guy have a quarter million followers and they claim they donāt know why it is declining⦠itās because they donāt understand basic mechanics of price discovery.
They donāt understand that the marginal buyers or the float determines price they think the onchain bitcoin is that is the price discovery
Well, it was once upon a time but now..
Once you can synthetically manufacture the supply, the asset is no longer scarce and once scarcity is gone, price becomes a derivatives game, not a supply-and-demand market.
This is exactly what has happened to Bitcoin.
This is the same structural break that occurred in gold, silver, oil, and eventually equities once they became derivatives-dominated.
The original premise that no longer exists
Bitcoinās entire valuation logic was built on finite supply (21M) and inability to be rehypothecated.
That died the moment:
ā¢Cash-settled futures
ā¢Perpetual swaps
ā¢Options
ā¢ETFs
ā¢Prime broker lending
ā¢Wrapped BTC
ā¢Total return swaps
were layered on top of the chain.
From that moment forward:
Bitcoin supply became theoretically infinite.
Not on-chain in price discovery.
The metric that explains the collapse
Synthetic Float Ratio (SFR)
Once you can synthetically manufacture the supply, the asset is no longer scarce ā and once scarcity is gone, price becomes a derivatives game, not a supply-and-demand market.
That is exactly what has happened to Bitcoin.
This is the same structural break that occurred in gold, silver, oil, and eventually equities once they became derivatives-dominated.
Why Wall Street can now ātrade againstā Bitcoin
They do exactly what theyāve done in every commodity market:
1.Create unlimited paper BTC
2.Short into rallies
3.Force liquidations
4.Cover lower
5.Repeat
They are not ābettingā ā they are manufacturing inventory.
The same 1 BTC can now support:
ā¢An ETF unit
ā¢A futures contract
ā¢A perpetual swap
ā¢An options delta
ā¢A broker loan
ā¢A structured note
All at once.
That is six claims on one coin.
That is not a market.
That is a fractional reserve price system.
Bitcoin actually tagged $73,000 today, which is borderline insane. Whatās remarkable is no one actually knows whatās happening and why price is going down. Itās all predicated on some BS glitch narrative from 3 months ago and the 4 year cycle which means absolutely nothing.