Dilemma for aurocrats facing protests:
▶️ crack down and risk much larger solidarisation in society, ...
▶️ or wait for protests to fizzle out and risk looking weak to your elite, parts of which could be calculating to gain from defection.
This is that moment when there is no way back. Lukashenka definitely lost trust and support. If he cracks down on people on August 9, he can stay in power, yes. But I can't imagine how it would be to live in a country where everyone hates you.