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We have been the first to call "Quadruple Digit #Silver" by 2034. If you factor in Silver's nominal ATH in 1980 at $49, it would equal approximately: Adjusted M2 growth 15 X = $680 oz Adjusted for inflation (CPLie) = $208 oz. Use sub $90 spot, to obtain Physical Silver as TUOs (Top Up Opportunities). Your last chance window is closing Q1/2026 - that I believe is another Cup & Handle forming ....... Lowercosta.com
Michael Oliver maintains his massive silver prediction. “Silver is breaking into a new reality. Think $300 to $500.”
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Adding to Mining Shares in the "Late Spring Fire Sale" could be a wise move? NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE - DYODD. Perhaps on those where you are still underweight and missed out when the #HUI rose to #ATH on 2nd March 2026 at 986? Today, the HUI is at 725. Back 15 years ago in 2011 - the HUI ATH was 638 .... .... See what I mean? EG: #AYA - to be added in the rebalancing of #GDX from Mon June 2nd 2026. Lowercosta.com
A lot of people missed out on a huge move for Gold & Silver last summer waiting for prices to pullback to a certain level. Buying on a schedule eliminates the risk of missing out and allows you to lower your cost basis if prices pull back. This is what I advocate.
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In our opinion, the pullback on 29th Jan 2026, in #Gold and #Silver from $5,599 Au and $121.65 Ag, was a RESET from 0.646 GSPX Ratio - same level as 1929 RESET. But, was it in Q2/26 just a counter-trend rebound in the Precious Metals, or the start of a new big rally? Last week's note from UBS said: "Gold at $4,024 oz may continue to gravitate toward the $3,850-$4,000/oz range in the near term." See our thoughts below - the Gold Bull Era will re-commence from it's RESET - once the Key Ratio (Gold:SPX) rises again from it's current 0.575 and heads north from the 0.994-1.000 Zone. Lowercosta.com
Just a small reminder - compared to the M2 money supply, #silver is still very cheap. Last January it briefly touched its 2011 high of $120 an ounce, and it has a long way to go in order to match its 1980 high of $738 an ounce. Given that the fiscal situation is so much worse that 1980, I don't see why it can't surpass its 1980 high.
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At a push, you can see 7 Cup and Handles in your chart - with them getting increasingly large over the last 40 years! Capital Rotation from Risk ON to Risk OFF hedging incoming. The "Smart Money" has been positioning since April 2025 for SPX downturn ....watch the #Gold/#SPX Ratio rocket towards 5:1 (ATH 5.53:1 in Aug 2000) before the end of the Commodity SuperCycle - currently only 1.73:1! Invesco S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETF (#PHDG) .... Lowercosta.com
Game on for gold miners. From weak hands to strong hands. This is what a bottoming process looks like. tavicosta.substack.com/p/mac…
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One of the most important Charts to keep in the back of your mind! Risk ON to Risk OFF incoming - the Stage 3 Topping Phase with Capital Rotation is weeks away - not years! This Commodity SuperCycle we see running until circa 2038 when #Gold could be around $14,000 oz and #Silver $1,750 (#GSR circa 8:1). Lowercosta.com
This is a storm, not the end of a cycle. I’m staying firm. The hard asset cycle likely has much further to run. For perspective: Previous commodity supercycles unfolded during periods when the dollar was tied to gold, debt burdens were far lower, and globalization was accelerating. Those were fundamentally different environments. This cycle is being driven by monetary debasement, record leverage, fiscal excess, and the most significant wave of geopolitical fragmentation since the WWII. Not the time to be shaken out of one of the most important macro theses of this decade. tavicosta.substack.com/p/the…
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100% correct JRB - Capital Rotation is imminent from Risk ON to Risk OFF. If you look at the #GSR chart, you can see the 13 year average, range and trend. In a #Gold and #Siver Bull Era, it is important to note that Little Sis Silver will gradually "outperform" Big Bro Gold. We expect this to accelerate H2/2026 - with an end of year target at 43:1. In 2027, our target is 32:1 and in 2028 circa 16:1. The "out of ground" ratio is something like 8:1 and we see this around 2029 when the Gold:SPX ratio will be approaching 5.53:1 (last reached Aug 2000) - currently 1.72:1; hence Gold 3 X from here circa $14,000 oz Gold and Silver $1,750 oz.... eventually!? Lowercosta.com
No 2008 repeat is coming from precious metals. Here’s why. Every Gold secular bull market truly begins and accelerates with massive outperformance vs Stocks, as capital moves out of equities and into Gold. That only happens during major bear markets in the S&P 500. The yellow shows the period of those bear markets. Logistically, you cannot have a true secular bull in Gold and PMs without that flip: a bear market in the S&P 500 while Gold and PMs are moving higher. And it happens early in the cycle.
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Indeed TGM. Our 2026 model for SPX/NASDAQ suggests a 33%-44% pullback, although timings are still subjective. Q4/26 and Q1/27 are favourite odds currently, with a Stage 3 Topping Phase imminent. Lowercosta.com
Nasdaq Update The end game approaches. In the best-case scenario, the index shall overshoot its broadening pattern, swelling with false pride, before it is led to the abattoir. There is no version of this where equities emerge unscathed. The market delights in gathering the cattle en masse. For the tuition fee of historical lessons not learned shall be exacted in full and those lessons shall be relearned in biblical fashion: as it was in the days of Noah, as it was with the towers of Babel, so shall it be again. Yours truly, The Great Martis She's beautiful.
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We see similar #Silver levels Kevin. Turbulent week with #FED Meeting Tues/Weds 16/17 June 2026. We are holding off until the end of this week decision wise - NO low risk entry points sub $81 in our opinion. $61-$64 level must hold. Lowercosta.com
SILVER - Long term very bullish. Short-term there are 3 levels to become progressively more bullish if the evidence grows. Caution is still warranted 👇
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#VIX is back at "Really Levels?" low again. At 16.52 currently, it is reflecting PEACE. However, Black Swans are everywhere but hidden, ready to appear at any moment! See chart below. Back soon below 13 or up to 36? Got #Gold? #Silver? Lowercosta.com
🚨 Gold back above $4,300. Silver back above $70. 🥇🥈 The US and Iran have reached a peace deal, with the Strait of Hormuz set to reopen. Peace usually pulls safe-haven demand lower. Instead, physical gold and silver are holding these levels. That's structural demand, not a crisis trade: 🏦 Central banks buying gold at a record pace ⛏️ Silver in its 6th straight year of supply deficit 💵 Fiat purchasing power quietly eroding in the background Crises come and go. Money with no counterparty risk endures. 🔒
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Agree 100%. Stage 3 Topping phase NOW COMMENCED. Our targets on Chart below. Lowercosta.com
🚨 S&P 500 CORRECTION HAS ONLY JUST BEGUN 🚨 Most people think market crashes are random Nah, only 5% of them The other 95% follow the exact same script: 1. Price peaks 2. Smart money exits 3. Retail holds the bag Then the market finds the floor at one specific level - Fibonacci 0.5 Here is why this level works every time: When a crash happens, two groups form One bought the top and just wants out The second has been sitting in cash, waiting for the midpoint of the entire move That midpoint is always 0.5 Fibonacci - and when those two groups meet, the crash stops The dotcom collapse in 2000 respected this level on every major bounce After that - 2020, 2022, and 2025 followed the same pattern Five crashes across two completely different market eras Every time - same level, same result In 2026 that level sits at $5,500-5,600 on the SPX It's already in play If you've been following me closely you knew when and why S&P 500 would start correcting Many of my followers also took profit from the GOLD pump The next stock market updates will be the most important ones The reason is simple - we're entering a correction phase Turn on notifications and you'll realize how much valuable info you've been missing by not doing it sooner
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#Silver back to new #ATH Q4/2026. #Gold ditto. Lowercosta.com
The peace deal is welcome, and oil has fallen on it. But a lower oil price is not lower inflation. The 1970s showed the shape of it: inflation came in two waves, and the gap between them, when the first shock faded, was when the second took hold. The all-clear and the next wave tend to be the same moment.
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Expect a Roller-Coaster Week for PMs #Gold and #Silver. Dot Plot from the FED expected Weds 18.06.2026 - watch those stops! Lowercosta.com
As the market opens, #silver blasts through its 200 day moving average. It is now quite clear that it is consolidating in a falling wedge formation, albeit not as steep as some (including me) have suspected. This confusion is due to the very long wicks of its prior bottoms, which allow you to draw the line in several ways. This is a good example why technical analysis is not a sure thing. Silver still has a long way to go until it breaks out of this pennant, at about $78 an ounce. But at the current rate it can do that rather quickly. I will conclude by saying that gold and silver are again rallying for the wrong reason, this time the apparent agreement with Iran. Precious metals are first and foremost inflation hedges, and due to the rising price of oil, the conflict in the Persian Gulf should have been beneficial to them. I don't mind seeing their prices rising, but I wonder when will Wall Street get the memo.
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