Trying to catch a crane with an ax | You've earned only the money that is in stables | Verified creator on @coinmarketcap | Bitcoiner

Joined January 2018
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Pinned Tweet
Jan 25
This is how I honestly see 2026 shaping up for Bitcoin. I’ve always been a Bitcoin bull and I still am, but at some point you have to step back and look at the bigger picture instead of letting emotions or Twitter narratives drive your decisions. $BTC went roughly 8.5x from 2023 to 2025, and that happened with almost perfect execution: institutional adoption, ETFs and serious capital entering the space, everything lining up exactly how a bull cycle is supposed to. But nothing in markets goes up forever without pauses, resets, and long periods of digestion. After a move like that, it’s completely normal to see profit taking, distribution, and capital flowing back into fiat while the market cools off and rebalances itself. The real reason this cycle feels so confusing for most people isn’t Bitcoin, it’s altcoins which didn't perform the way CT promised. And I’ll be honest, I got hit there too. We did have a small, mini altseason whether people like to admit it or not. Coins like $CPOOL, $CREO, $DIONE, $TET and a few others actually performed well. The problem was expectations. Everyone was waiting for 2021-style insanity, much bigger rallies, and one last euphoric leg, which is why most people including myself didn’t sell when they should have and are now stuck hoping for a miracle. Although now i have exited all my altcoin bags besides $HTS and a small portion of $CPOOL. I still strongly believe the 4-year Bitcoin cycle is very much intact. People only want to declare it “dead” because this cycle didn’t reward lazy altcoin exposure the way previous ones did, and that’s a hard pill to swallow. My base case is simple: 2026 is likely a bear or reset year, with a lot of chop, lower highs, boredom, and frustration. That’s usually the phase where people lose interest, stop paying attention, and miss the real opportunity forming right in front of them. For Bitcoin, the 50–70k range is my main long-term accumulation zone. If we get deeper than that, I’ll welcome it. Those are the levels where patience historically gets rewarded, not the tops where emotions are running high. Only after Bitcoin properly resets and finds a solid base do I even start thinking about altcoins again, and even then I’m talking about very specific names like $ETH, $SOL, $INJ, and $LINK, most likely in the second half of 2026. Until then, my focus is simple: capital protection, stacking $USDT, and staying patient enough to be ready when the real window opens. In my view, that window is Q4 2026 through Q1 2027, setting the stage for the next bull market that could realistically top out around 2028–2029. The biggest lesson this cycle taught me is brutally simple: stay away from shitcoins unless you’re being paid to talk about them. Putting your hard-earned money into most of them is a terrible risk-reward, and I learned that one the expensive way. This is the real talk 99% of the CT won't tell u because they're still hanging on to some deals paying them. Patience now, position later. 🤝
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Yo legends! ☀️ I'm on vacation in Turkey this week, which is the reason I've been a bit quieter lately. I know it's probably not the ideal time for a vacation if we look at the charts. According to crypto logic, all available funds should be going straight into the market right now 😭 But at the same time... life needs to be lived and enjoyed, right? 😜 These are the days that recharge my batteries and keep me going. And don't worry, I'm still perfectly following the plan I've been talking about for months. $BTC is below 70k, which puts it right in my buy zone. Meaning this week's buy is already done ✅ Now it's time to get back to the beach, enjoy a gin & tonic, and let the market do its thing 😎 Tout va bien 🤝🏼
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Jun 9
bitcoin:native | BOJ decision 🇯🇵 The Bank of Japan is expected to raise rates to 1% on June 16. That would be the highest interest rate in Japan in 31 years. Now, before everyone starts screaming "priced in" and "bullish", let's remember what happened the last time BOJ raised rates back in 2024. It was only a 0.25% hike, yet Bitcoin absolutely nuked. We went from around 70k all the way down to the mid-40k range in hours basically. So far this bear market has been almost textbook. We've had a solid ~50% drawdown, lower highs, people calling the bottom every few weeks, people calling for a supercycle every few weeks... pretty much exactly what you'd expect. But now we're approaching a very interesting moment. The key here is to see and monitor how Bitcoin will rect to the decision. If BOJ raises rates and bitcoin:native shrugs it off without any meaningful additional correction, then I'd say the odds increase that we're looking at a more traditional bottoming process somewhere between September and November. But if BOJ raises rates and Bitcoin gets sent into the low 40s immediately... Then we need to start seriously considering the possibility that the bottom is arriving much sooner than expected. And if that happens, I am not interested in being a spectator. I'm interested in buying. My orders are ready at: • 52k • 45k • 39k Stay ready, y'all. I genuinely think the next couple of weeks could end up being some of the most important weeks of this entire bear market. LFG 🤝🏼
BREAKING: The Bank of Japan is expected to raise rates to 1% on June 16. This will be the highest interest rates in Japan in 31 years. This rate hike shrinks the gap between US and Japanese bond yields. For years, that gap pushed global investors into US Treasuries because Japanese bonds paid almost nothing. A smaller gap means those investors now have a reason to sell US bonds and buy Japanese ones instead, pushing US yields higher and tightening financial conditions globally. The BOJ is also considering pausing the tapering of its government bond purchasing program starting April 2027, meaning it may slow down its balance sheet reduction to avoid further market disruption. The BOJ meets June 16 and The Fed meets June 17. Two of the world's most powerful central banks making back to back policy decisions in 24 hours. The combined policy shock could be volatile for markets.
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MJ retweeted
What's happening this week in #Crypto is a total reset. Create chaos. Make people feel like everything is going to zero. Liquidate high leverage,force people to sell & make them run from their spot bags. If you ask me, after $BTC dropped 20% in just 4 days, with $ETH $ZEC $ADA and many other large-cap projects crashing, the money isn't flowing anywhere new - it's simply being converted into $USDT. $USDT Dominance is rising and is on the Verge of Breakout ATH last time it was at these level $BTC made its Bottom from June 2022 to Nov 2022. so if you are confuse i would say just hold tight Altseason will start in just 20-30 days. Rest is upto you this is NFA Once the market enters the disbelief stage, many hyped projects may never recover because smart money starts rotating into other opportunities. Remember: if you look at the charts of most hyped projects that reached multi-billion dollar valuations, 99% struggle to ever reclaim their previous highs. That's what you need to understand. Smart money follows narratives. They ride the hype, take profits, then move on to the next sector. Most of the time, they never come back. And this time, I think they're getting ready for the #RWA narrative.
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Jun 5
Just in: Bitcoin briefly fell below 60k 🚨 Made another purchase. Third one this week 😅 The only thing I'm afraid of right now is not having enough liquidity to buy the dip!
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Jun 5
$BTC | Golden accumulation range We have officially entered the golden accumulation range of 50–70k that I've been talking about for months. I hope my 2 precious followers listened 😄 The way I see it, we've now officially broken down below the previous 2021 cycle ATH around 69k. Based on both the chart and where we are in the timeline of this bear market, I believe that area is now far more likely to act as resistance rather than support. Which means it's finally time to get greedy again! I'm buying every single week and I have bigger buy orders waiting at: • 52k • 45k • 39k Of course, getting to those levels takes time and patience. We might never even see 39k. That's exactly why I continue buying small amounts every week as well. Trying to nail the exact bottom is a fool's game. For me, it's about building a position over time while keeping the next 5–10 years in mind, and at these levels, Bitcoin is becoming very attractive again. As I've said countless times, everything below 70k is for stacking. And remember, just a month ago $BTC was trading above 80k. Back then people were talking about new highs, super cycles and all the usual stuff. This is why emotions are expensive and data is valuable. Trust your research. Trust your plan. Personally, I'd say we're roughly 60–65% through this bear market. The best opportunities are still ahead of us, but it makes sense to start buying!
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Jun 4
$HYPE | That's all, folks! For now. This is exactly why I keep saying it's critical not to make investment decisions based on emotions. $BTC is falling like a rock and honestly, it was only a matter of time before $HYPE started feeling the pressure too. And don't get me wrong, my brothers in the space reccommended it to me when it was at 40$ and i missed that entry. I still think $HYPE is one of the strongest projects in crypto right now. Nothing has changed there. I just did not believe it will rally the way it did while $BTC fell 15k downwards. Arthur Hayes was calling for 150$ $HYPE and now he's locking in profits worth 18M$. That's not necessarily bearish, it's just what smart money does - arkm.com/explorer/address/0x… Meanwhile retail is busy buying green candles and convincing themselves that corrections no longer exist. As I've said countless times, patience and capital protection. The opportunity is rarely where everyone is looking right now. The opportunity is usually where nobody wants to look yet. I'm still waiting for those truly juicy entries 🤝🏼
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Jun 2
$BTC | The breakdown is here ☕ Look at that clean daily breakdown. Honestly, it only strengthens my conviction that we're finally entering the 50–70k range with some real momentum. Watching green candles, listening to permabulls call for new ATHs every week, watching people scream super cycle has been fun... but the data kept pointing elsewhere. Now we're starting to see it. What's even more interesting is that the 2021 ATH area is now acting more like resistance than support. Great times ahead, fam. I've been saying for months that the best opportunities of 2026 are still ahead of us, not behind us. Be ready 🤝🏼
Jan 25
This is how I honestly see 2026 shaping up for Bitcoin. I’ve always been a Bitcoin bull and I still am, but at some point you have to step back and look at the bigger picture instead of letting emotions or Twitter narratives drive your decisions. $BTC went roughly 8.5x from 2023 to 2025, and that happened with almost perfect execution: institutional adoption, ETFs and serious capital entering the space, everything lining up exactly how a bull cycle is supposed to. But nothing in markets goes up forever without pauses, resets, and long periods of digestion. After a move like that, it’s completely normal to see profit taking, distribution, and capital flowing back into fiat while the market cools off and rebalances itself. The real reason this cycle feels so confusing for most people isn’t Bitcoin, it’s altcoins which didn't perform the way CT promised. And I’ll be honest, I got hit there too. We did have a small, mini altseason whether people like to admit it or not. Coins like $CPOOL, $CREO, $DIONE, $TET and a few others actually performed well. The problem was expectations. Everyone was waiting for 2021-style insanity, much bigger rallies, and one last euphoric leg, which is why most people including myself didn’t sell when they should have and are now stuck hoping for a miracle. Although now i have exited all my altcoin bags besides $HTS and a small portion of $CPOOL. I still strongly believe the 4-year Bitcoin cycle is very much intact. People only want to declare it “dead” because this cycle didn’t reward lazy altcoin exposure the way previous ones did, and that’s a hard pill to swallow. My base case is simple: 2026 is likely a bear or reset year, with a lot of chop, lower highs, boredom, and frustration. That’s usually the phase where people lose interest, stop paying attention, and miss the real opportunity forming right in front of them. For Bitcoin, the 50–70k range is my main long-term accumulation zone. If we get deeper than that, I’ll welcome it. Those are the levels where patience historically gets rewarded, not the tops where emotions are running high. Only after Bitcoin properly resets and finds a solid base do I even start thinking about altcoins again, and even then I’m talking about very specific names like $ETH, $SOL, $INJ, and $LINK, most likely in the second half of 2026. Until then, my focus is simple: capital protection, stacking $USDT, and staying patient enough to be ready when the real window opens. In my view, that window is Q4 2026 through Q1 2027, setting the stage for the next bull market that could realistically top out around 2028–2029. The biggest lesson this cycle taught me is brutally simple: stay away from shitcoins unless you’re being paid to talk about them. Putting your hard-earned money into most of them is a terrible risk-reward, and I learned that one the expensive way. This is the real talk 99% of the CT won't tell u because they're still hanging on to some deals paying them. Patience now, position later. 🤝
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Jun 2
$BTC | Back in the accumulation range ☕ Bitcoin has finally landed back in my accumulation range, below 70k. Love to see it. The first thing I did this morning was make another purchase worth 70 EUR. As we move closer to the endgame of this cycle and I expect Bitcoin to either enter, or very soon strongly enter, the 50–70k range, I'm increasing my weekly buys from 35 EUR to 70 EUR. I also have my bigger buy orders waiting at: • 52k • 45k • 39k Pay attention, fam. Great entries are coming this year. The only thing I'm a little annoyed about is $HYPE. I had the chance to scoop it at 40$, but I honestly didn't expect it to rally the way it did during a bear market. No hard feelings though. If $BTC starts moving deeper into the 50k range, I believe $HYPE will provide attractive entries again as well. As always, patience and capital protection. That's how you survive a bear market and position yourself for the next bull run 🤝🏼
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May 31
"Dot-com bubble is nothing compared to this." Statements like that make me extremely comfortable sitting where I am right now, on cash... patiently waiting for the hilariously cheap prices I believe we're going to get later this year. Patience and capital protection. There's a reason Warren Buffett is sitting on a record cash pile. I'm not saying the bubble bursts today or tomorrow, but we're living in some pretty crazy times, especially if you're not paying attention. I've been talking about Bitcoin's cyclical behaviour for months and so far it has played out exactly as expected. And honestly? This doesn't look too healthy either. The 30–50k range for $BTC is still very much on my radar this year.
Dot-com bubble is nothing compared to this
Community note
This chart uses a linear scale. Logarithmic scales show equal vertical distance for equal percentage changes. The Nasdaq 100 rose over 1000% during the dot-com bubble but has risen far less in percentage terms recently. finance.yahoo.com/news/why-the-n… investopedia.com/ask/answers/05…
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May 27
Big money is selling right now for different reasons, which also makes $BTC cyclical behaviour untouched. 50–70k range is only a matter of time in my opinion. Patience and capital protection 🤝🏼
BREAKING : 🇺🇸BlackRock ETF has sold $192,340,000 in Bitcoin. This marks 7 consecutive days of selling.
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May 25
$HYPE | Should you FOMO? 👀 Happy new week everyone! $HYPE was sitting around 40$ not that long ago and honestly… I didn’t buy. I was expecting a correction together with $BTC and thought we would get better entries first. Well, $HYPE proved me wrong 😄 But at the same time, it also proved something else very important: this is clearly one of the strongest projects in the market right now. I already knew it was one of the very few altcoins I actually want to scoop during this bear market, and this rally only strengthened my conviction. If you want to understand which projects have the potential to massively outperform during the next bull market, look at which ones are already performing well during the bear market. $HYPE has absolutely done that. And honestly, the reasons behind this rally are not random hype either. We’ve seen suspected Grayscale-linked wallets accumulating over 10 million $HYPE. BitWise announced they are holding $HYPE on their balance sheet. Recently Hyperliquid ETFs also started trading on NYSE, while 21Shares launched a spot Hyperliquid ETF on Nasdaq. So yes, there are definitely reasons to be bullish on $HYPE. BUT… like always, I personally wouldn’t rush ahead of myself here. We always have more time than we think we do, and one of the worst things an investor can do is start chasing green candles with their last money because of emotions and FOMO. The reality is that the altcoin market has been completely destroyed for years now. Most projects are dead, overhyped garbage, or simply don’t generate real value. So when a genuinely strong project finally appears, it’s completely logical that liquidity and attention start concentrating heavily into it. That’s exactly what we’re seeing with $HYPE right now. Still… no asset goes only up forever. ESPECIALLY not during a bear market. And our main thesis has not changed. We still believe there is a strong chance $BTC sees the 50k-ish range this year. And if that happens, we will most likely get extremely juicy entries on $HYPE as well. Personally, the areas I’m watching are roughly: 50-52$ → first interesting accumulation zone 40-45$ → very strong reload zone 30-35$ → absolute gift territory if markets really panic 20-30$ → generational black swan territory So for now? I stay patient. $HYPE proved to me it’s worth respecting. Now I treat it with respect and wait for the right entries instead of blindly chasing candles. As I keep saying: patience and capital protection for the win 🤝🏼 LFG.
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May 21
$BTC | Chilling ☕ Bitcoin is absolutely chilling right now, and honestly it’s fucking boring. But this is where patience matters the most. Patience and emotional control. The calmer and more stable you can stay mentally, the better your financial decisions become. And yes, watching things like $HYPE keep pushing higher while you sit on your hands definitely adds mental stress too 😄 but that’s exactly where discipline matters. Not every green candle needs to be chased. Meanwhile inflation keeps rising again, retail is absolutely broke, and liquidity stress around the world keeps building up. We all remember what happened in summer 2024 when Japan started tightening and markets got smoked. People still underestimate how fragile this system really is and how fast things can change. That’s exactly why I’m staying patient and protecting my capital. I’m not stacking above 70k. The 50–70k range is for stacking, and below 50k is where things could get really interesting very fast. I still expect some kind of black swan event to happen at some point this year. My buy orders are ready: • 52k • 45k • 39k Until then? We wait and we chill. LFG 🤝🏼
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May 18
BREAKING: Iran launching a Bitcoin-backed shipping insurance service is absolutely insane! At this point $BTC is becoming impossible to ignore for governments and global trade routes. Bitcoin is becoming unstoppable. And honestly? This 2026 bear market might be the LAST real opportunity for regular Joe to scoop meaningful amounts before the next phase begins. Doesn’t change my base case though. I still expect deeper downside this year and I’m sticking to the exact same gameplan I’ve talked about for the last 6 months. Patience and capital protection. Then aggressive scooping at the right levels 🤝🏼
BREAKING: Iran has launched "Hormuz Safe," a Bitcoin-backed insurance service for shipping companies that want to transit the Strait of Hormuz. Details include: 1. The Iranian government says it could generate more than $10 billion in revenue from the program 2. The service will be for "Iranian shipping companies and cargo owners" 3. "The shipment will be covered from the moment of confirmation and signed receipt will be given to the owner," Iran says 4. It is unclear if this insurance service will be charged in addition to tolls, which have been as much as $2 million per ship Iran says an official website with more information is "coming soon."
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May 16
$BTC | New FED chair, what to expect? 🚨 Okay so let’s look at the historical data. Every single Fed Chair transition during Bitcoin’s lifetime has ended with a brutal drawdown. Yellen took over in 2014? $BTC nuked around 86%. Powell first term in 2018? Around 74% down. Powell second term in 2022? Around 60% down. And now we got another Fed Chair change in place while inflation is heating up AGAIN, S&P500 is sitting at insane levels and some people on here still screaming super cycle every day 😭 Meanwhile $BTC has so far followed its cyclical behaviour almost perfectly no matter what permabulls keep saying. So now we got another important piece of information in our hands to make calculated decisions from. As for me? I’m not stacking right now. I’m staying patient and protecting my capital because GREAT entries are coming this year! Everything below 70k is for stacking. Below 50k or close to 50k is for PANIC buying 🤝🏼 It will get worse before it gets better!
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May 13
🚨 KEVIN WARSH IS CONFIRMED AS THE NEW FED CHAIR! 🚨 So the Trump puppet is officially taking over the Fed. Inflation is confirmed rising again, S&P500 is sitting at all-time highs, money printing is clearly coming back into the conversation, and people still think everything is perfectly fine! Boys… if it looks like shit and smells like shit, it’s SHIT. Go back and read the posts I made months and months ago. The 30–50k GENERATIONAL range for $BTC is still very much on the table this year. Patience and capital protection!!!
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May 13
$BTC is absolutely chilling, enjoying its coffee just like me ☕ We got our little lower high rally, and I don’t think it’s fully completed yet. Soon the hype will be back around 85k-ish and people will start talking about a super cycle again… only to learn the same lesson. Never go against cyclical data that has been in place for Bitcoin’s entire lifetime. Especially now, when inflation is picking up again, S&P 500 is at all-time highs… like where exactly do people see the next sustainable rally coming from? It’s not there. We’re walking on very thin ice right now, and I suggest everyone just chill. Capital protection and patience are the winning strategy in 2026, together with smart DCA at the right levels.
BREAKING: Month-over-month US PPI Inflation officially rises 1.5% in April, marking the biggest monthly jump in inflation since March 2022. All of the data is very clear: consumers are about to face another wave serious pressure on spending power.
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May 10
GM and happy Mother’s Day to all the great moms ❤️ Hopefully y’all have a great day today. I’m heading out for brunch with my mom soon 🤝🏼 And remember, patience and capital protection. No stacking above 70k $BTC.
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May 6
Fully agree! This is just a lower high confirmation rally, nothing more. Patience and capital protection remain the winning strategy here. No stacking above 70k.
Game plan remains the same. Patiently waiting for the next weekly RSI higher low - whether that's at $70k, $60k or $50k, I do not care. $BTC is currently testing the 200-day MA/EMA cluster. Doubt it just smashes through in one go. Patience.
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May 4
GM and happy new week guys! My bias is slowly becoming reality, we’re starting the week around 80k. That’s exactly what I pointed at on April 17. Right now my thesis stays the same, 80–85k is the zone I’m watching for a potential lower high confirmation. Could wick a bit higher, but I’m not expecting anything crazy. Let me be clear, we are still in a bear market! And in bear markets, this is normal. Slow grind up, sharp corrections down. That’s how the structure builds. Everything around us feels overheated right now.. look at gold, silver, S&P500… doesn’t look healthy. A correction is due everywhere! Timing-wise, I’m watching summer or fall. If we get that move down into fall 2026, that’s when I start getting aggressive again. Until then, no stacking above 70k for me. Patience and capital protection. That’s the game. Have a great one 🤝🏼
Apr 17
$BTC | hold my beer, permabulls 🍺 This is my thesis based on historical data and previous cycles. During the last two bear markets (2018 and 2022) $BTC found its low in October. That’s my base case for this year until proven otherwise. So far, this bear year has followed its typical pattern almost perfectly, no need to overcomplicate things. Patience and capital protection are key to a winning strategy. My buy orders are set at: • 52k • 45k • 39k If we go even lower, I might just take out a loan and sell everything I own to buy more Bitcoin 😄 We’ll see. NFA, as always.
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Apr 29
FED | The last Powell dance Powell left the rates unchanged again and honestly no surprise there. Inflation is high af, oil is up and the Middle East is a complete circus... That's a reason the whole market is sitting in uncertainty. This was his last real Fed meeting. Maybe because of him we never got that beautiful altseason people kept dreaming about, but someone had to be the bad guy and hold the line. Respect for that, old man. Now comes the Trump puppet who will bring rate cuts, money printer back on and more fake comfort for fiat believers with even bigger problems later. For $BTC? Perfect. That’s why nothing changes for me. Stick to the plan. 2026 is still a generational year.
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