Institutional MLB Intelligence. Modeling Major League Baseball as a Stochastic Service System. Statistics-only research with radical transparency. #MLBall

Joined January 2026
20,759 Photos and videos
πŸ“‹ June 13 Game Threads β€” Full Slate Β· 15 Games Cardinals @ Twins β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Yankees @ Blue Jays β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Marlins @ Pirates β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Padres @ Orioles β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Mariners @ Nationals β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… D-backs @ Reds β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Braves @ Mets β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Tigers @ Guardians β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rangers @ Red Sox β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Dodgers @ White Sox β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Astros @ Royals β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Phillies @ Brewers β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Cubs @ Giants β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rockies @ Athletics β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rays @ Angels β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… πŸ“‘ Previous slate: x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #MLB #MLBall
⚾ Early Baseline Β· Seattle Mariners @ Washington Nationals Game: 2026-06-13 Β· 3:05 PM CT Posted: 2026-06-13 Β· 11:11 AM CT Mariners: 45.8% Β· 4.3 runs Nationals: 54.2% Β· 5.1 runs Projected Total: 9.4 runs Confirmed forecast posts 30 minutes before first pitch. machinelearningball.com #Mariners #Nationals πŸ”΄ LIVE win probability after every play β†’ machinelearningball.com
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⚽ World Cup 2026 β€” Machine Learning Ball is here. We've spent the 2026 MLB season modeling baseball as a stochastic system. Win probabilities. Live updates. Post-game reconciliation. 950 games of calibration. Now we're bringing the same framework to all 104 World Cup matches β€” every group stage game through The Final, all in one place. Three-outcome forecasts: Home Win / Draw / Away Win. Pre-game probabilities, live WP updates at 15', 30', HT, 60', 75', and 88'. Post-game reconciliation after every final whistle. Probabilities only. No gambling advice. Just the math. Track our model transparency at machinelearningball.com Group and knockout threads below 🧡 #WorldCup2026 #MLBall
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πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia vs πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· TΓΌrkiye Group D | Sat, Jun 13 | Kickoff: 11:00 PM CT MLBall Forecast: Australia: 14.6% Draw: 25.2% TΓΌrkiye: 60.2% 🌐 x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… πŸ“‹ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #WorldCup2026 #AUS #TUR Posted Jun 13, 2026 | 22:33 CT
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60' UPDATE | Australia 1-0 TΓΌrkiye WP Update: Australia: 64.0% (β–²49.4%) Draw: 25.9% (β–²0.7%) TΓΌrkiye: 10.1% (β–Ό50.1%) xG: Australia 0.8 – 0.7 TΓΌrkiye 🌐 x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… πŸ“‹ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #WorldCup2026 #AUS Posted Jun 14, 2026 | 00:20 CT
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Bot 8th Recap β€” SF MLBall projected 2.4 runs Β· actual 0 Β· WP: 5.5% β†’ 5.5% β†’ Phil Maton (CHC) Β· 0 ER Β· 0 K Β· 0 BB 7. Matt Chapman (SF) H-0 TB-0 K-0 8. Drew Gilbert (SF) H-0 TB-0 K-0 9. Daniel Susac (SF) H-0 TB-0 K-0 x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #SFGiants #MLBall Game: 2026-06-13 Β· TBD | Posted: 2026-06-13 Β· 11:54 PM CT

πŸ“‹ June 13 Game Threads β€” Full Slate Β· 15 Games Cardinals @ Twins β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Yankees @ Blue Jays β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Marlins @ Pirates β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Padres @ Orioles β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Mariners @ Nationals β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… D-backs @ Reds β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Braves @ Mets β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Tigers @ Guardians β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rangers @ Red Sox β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Dodgers @ White Sox β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Astros @ Royals β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Phillies @ Brewers β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Cubs @ Giants β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rockies @ Athletics β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rays @ Angels β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… πŸ“‘ Previous slate: x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #MLB #MLBall
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⚑ Bot 9th Β· CHC 94.5% Β· SF 5.5% Coming Up β€” SF batting 7. Matt Chapman (SF) 1-3 8. Drew Gilbert (SF) 0-2 9. Eric Haase (SF) 0-3 πŸ”΄ LIVE win probability Β· MLBall projects CHC 6.3 Β· SF 2.4 β†’ machinelearningball.com β€” (SF) Β· 7.2 IP Β· 6 ER #SFGiants #MLBall Game: 2026-06-13 Β· TBD | Posted: 2026-06-13 Β· 11:54 PM CT
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HT UPDATE | Australia 1-0 TΓΌrkiye WP Update: Australia: 59.4% (β–²44.8%) Draw: 26.6% (β–²1.4%) TΓΌrkiye: 14.0% (β–Ό46.2%) xG: Australia 0.5 – 0.3 TΓΌrkiye 🌐 x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… πŸ“‹ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #WorldCup2026 #AUS Posted Jun 13, 2026 | 23:50 CT
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Top 8th Recap β€” CHC MLBall projected 6.3 runs Β· actual 0 Β· WP: 91.2% β†’ 94.5% ↑ Dylan Smith (SF) Β· 0 ER Β· 2 K Β· 0 BB 3. Michael Busch (CHC) H-0 TB-0 K-0 4. Ian Happ (CHC) H-0 TB-0 K-0 5. Seiya Suzuki (CHC) H-0 TB-0 K-0 x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #Cubs #MLBall Game: 2026-06-13 Β· TBD | Posted: 2026-06-13 Β· 11:46 PM CT

πŸ“‹ June 13 Game Threads β€” Full Slate Β· 15 Games Cardinals @ Twins β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Yankees @ Blue Jays β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Marlins @ Pirates β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Padres @ Orioles β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Mariners @ Nationals β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… D-backs @ Reds β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Braves @ Mets β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Tigers @ Guardians β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rangers @ Red Sox β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Dodgers @ White Sox β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Astros @ Royals β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Phillies @ Brewers β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Cubs @ Giants β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rockies @ Athletics β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rays @ Angels β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… πŸ“‘ Previous slate: x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #MLB #MLBall
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⚑ Top 9th Β· CHC 94.5% Β· SF 5.5% Coming Up β€” CHC batting 6. Nico Hoerner (CHC) 0-4 7. Pedro RamΓ­rez (CHC) 2-4 8. Miguel Amaya (CHC) 0-4 πŸ”΄ LIVE win probability Β· MLBall projects CHC 6.3 Β· SF 2.4 β†’ machinelearningball.com β€” (CHC) Β· 7.0 IP Β· 1 ER #Cubs #MLBall Game: 2026-06-13 Β· TBD | Posted: 2026-06-13 Β· 11:46 PM CT
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Bot 8th Recap β€” LAA MLBall projected 9.3 runs Β· actual 0 Β· WP: 96.6% β†’ 96.6% β†’ Cam Booser (TB) Β· 0 ER Β· 1 K Β· 1 BB 9. Jose Siri (LAA) H-0 TB-0 K-0 1. Zach Neto (LAA) H-1 TB-1 K-0 2. Mike Trout (LAA) H-0 TB-0 K-1 3. Jo Adell (LAA) H-0 TB-0 K-0 x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #RepTheHalo #MLBall Game: 2026-06-13 Β· TBD | Posted: 2026-06-13 Β· 11:42 PM CT

πŸ“‹ June 13 Game Threads β€” Full Slate Β· 15 Games Cardinals @ Twins β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Yankees @ Blue Jays β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Marlins @ Pirates β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Padres @ Orioles β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Mariners @ Nationals β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… D-backs @ Reds β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Braves @ Mets β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Tigers @ Guardians β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rangers @ Red Sox β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Dodgers @ White Sox β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Astros @ Royals β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Phillies @ Brewers β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Cubs @ Giants β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rockies @ Athletics β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rays @ Angels β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… πŸ“‘ Previous slate: x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #MLB #MLBall
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⚑ Bot 9th Β· TB 3.4% Β· LAA 96.6% Coming Up β€” LAA batting 6. Oswald Peraza (LAA) 0-4 7. Denzer Guzman (LAA) 2-4 8. Donovan Walton (LAA) 3-4 πŸ”΄ LIVE win probability Β· MLBall projects TB 4.2 Β· LAA 9.3 β†’ machinelearningball.com β€” (LAA) Β· 8.0 IP Β· 0 ER #RepTheHalo #MLBall Game: 2026-06-13 Β· TBD | Posted: 2026-06-13 Β· 11:42 PM CT
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Bot 8th Recap β€” OAK MLBall projected 7.7 runs Β· actual 0 Β· WP: 87.8% β†’ 87.8% β†’ Juan Mejia (COL) Β· 0 ER Β· 1 K Β· 0 BB 8. Max Muncy (OAK) H-1 TB-1 K-0 9. Henry Bolte (OAK) H-1 TB-1 K-0 1. Shea Langeliers (OAK) H-0 TB-0 K-0 2. Nick Kurtz (OAK) H-0 TB-0 K-1 0. Lawrence Butler (OAK) H-1 TB-1 K-0 4. Tyler Soderstrom (OAK) H-0 TB-0 K-1 x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #Athletics #MLBall Game: 2026-06-13 Β· TBD | Posted: 2026-06-13 Β· 11:42 PM CT

πŸ“‹ June 13 Game Threads β€” Full Slate Β· 15 Games Cardinals @ Twins β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Yankees @ Blue Jays β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Marlins @ Pirates β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Padres @ Orioles β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Mariners @ Nationals β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… D-backs @ Reds β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Braves @ Mets β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Tigers @ Guardians β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rangers @ Red Sox β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Dodgers @ White Sox β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Astros @ Royals β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Phillies @ Brewers β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Cubs @ Giants β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rockies @ Athletics β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rays @ Angels β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… πŸ“‘ Previous slate: x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #MLB #MLBall
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⚑ Bot 9th Β· COL 12.2% Β· OAK 87.8% Coming Up β€” OAK batting 5. Jacob Wilson (OAK) 1-4 6. Henry Bolte (OAK) 2-4 7. Zack Gelof (OAK) 2-4 πŸ”΄ LIVE win probability Β· MLBall projects COL 6.9 Β· OAK 7.7 β†’ machinelearningball.com β€” (OAK) Β· 7.2 IP Β· 5 ER #Athletics #MLBall Game: 2026-06-13 Β· TBD | Posted: 2026-06-13 Β· 11:42 PM CT
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⚽ GOAL | 27' | Australia Nestory Irankunda Australia 1–0 TΓΌrkiye 🌐 x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… πŸ“‹ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #WorldCup2026 #AUS Posted Jun 13, 2026 | 23:39 CT
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Top 8th Recap β€” COL MLBall projected 6.7 runs Β· actual 0 Β· WP: 17.5% β†’ 12.2% ↓ Mark Leiter Jr. (OAK) Β· 0 ER Β· 1 K Β· 0 BB 2. Kyle Karros (COL) H-0 TB-0 K-0 3. TJ Rumfield (COL) H-1 TB-2 K-0 4. Hunter Goodman (COL) H-0 TB-0 K-0 5. Troy Johnston (COL) H-0 TB-0 K-0 x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #Rockies #MLBall Game: 2026-06-13 Β· TBD | Posted: 2026-06-13 Β· 11:35 PM CT

πŸ“‹ June 13 Game Threads β€” Full Slate Β· 15 Games Cardinals @ Twins β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Yankees @ Blue Jays β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Marlins @ Pirates β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Padres @ Orioles β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Mariners @ Nationals β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… D-backs @ Reds β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Braves @ Mets β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Tigers @ Guardians β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rangers @ Red Sox β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Dodgers @ White Sox β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Astros @ Royals β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Phillies @ Brewers β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Cubs @ Giants β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rockies @ Athletics β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rays @ Angels β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… πŸ“‘ Previous slate: x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #MLB #MLBall
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⚑ Top 9th Β· COL 12.2% Β· OAK 87.8% Coming Up β€” COL batting 8. Brett Sullivan (COL) 1-3 9. Sterlin Thompson (COL) 1-3 1. Edouard Julien (COL) 1-3 πŸ”΄ LIVE win probability Β· MLBall projects COL 6.7 Β· OAK 7.7 β†’ machinelearningball.com β€” (COL) Β· 7.0 IP Β· 7 ER #Rockies #MLBall Game: 2026-06-13 Β· TBD | Posted: 2026-06-13 Β· 11:35 PM CT
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Bot 7th Recap β€” SF MLBall projected 2.5 runs Β· actual 0 Β· WP: 8.8% β†’ 8.8% β†’ Caleb Thielbar (CHC) Β· 0 ER Β· 1 K Β· 0 BB 4. Rafael Devers (SF) H-0 TB-0 K-0 5. Jung Hoo Lee (SF) H-0 TB-0 K-0 6. Willy Adames (SF) H-0 TB-0 K-0 x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #SFGiants #MLBall Game: 2026-06-13 Β· TBD | Posted: 2026-06-13 Β· 11:35 PM CT

πŸ“‹ June 13 Game Threads β€” Full Slate Β· 15 Games Cardinals @ Twins β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Yankees @ Blue Jays β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Marlins @ Pirates β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Padres @ Orioles β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Mariners @ Nationals β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… D-backs @ Reds β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Braves @ Mets β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Tigers @ Guardians β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rangers @ Red Sox β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Dodgers @ White Sox β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Astros @ Royals β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Phillies @ Brewers β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Cubs @ Giants β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rockies @ Athletics β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rays @ Angels β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… πŸ“‘ Previous slate: x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #MLB #MLBall
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⚑ Bot 8th Β· CHC 91.2% Β· SF 8.8% Coming Up β€” SF batting 4. Rafael Devers (SF) 2-3 5. Jung Hoo Lee (SF) 0-3 6. Willy Adames (SF) 1-3 πŸ”΄ LIVE win probability Β· MLBall projects CHC 6.3 Β· SF 2.5 β†’ machinelearningball.com β€” (SF) Β· 6.2 IP Β· 6 ER #SFGiants #MLBall Game: 2026-06-13 Β· TBD | Posted: 2026-06-13 Β· 11:35 PM CT
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Top 8th Recap β€” TB MLBall projected 4.1 runs Β· actual 0 Β· WP: 10.2% β†’ 3.4% ↓ Brent Suter (LAA) Β· 0 ER Β· 0 K Β· 0 BB 3. Junior Caminero (TB) H-0 TB-0 K-1 4. Ryan Vilade (TB) H-0 TB-0 K-0 5. Austin Slater (TB) H-1 TB-2 K-0 6. Ben Williamson (TB) H-0 TB-0 K-1 x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #RaysUp #MLBall Game: 2026-06-13 Β· TBD | Posted: 2026-06-13 Β· 11:33 PM CT

πŸ“‹ June 13 Game Threads β€” Full Slate Β· 15 Games Cardinals @ Twins β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Yankees @ Blue Jays β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Marlins @ Pirates β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Padres @ Orioles β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Mariners @ Nationals β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… D-backs @ Reds β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Braves @ Mets β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Tigers @ Guardians β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rangers @ Red Sox β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Dodgers @ White Sox β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Astros @ Royals β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Phillies @ Brewers β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Cubs @ Giants β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rockies @ Athletics β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rays @ Angels β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… πŸ“‘ Previous slate: x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #MLB #MLBall
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⚑ Top 9th Β· TB 3.4% Β· LAA 96.6% Coming Up β€” TB batting 6. Richie Palacios (TB) 0-3 7. Victor Mesa Jr. (TB) 0-2 8. Hunter Feduccia (TB) 0-3 πŸ”΄ LIVE win probability Β· MLBall projects TB 4.1 Β· LAA 8.9 β†’ machinelearningball.com β€” (TB) Β· 7.0 IP Β· 8 ER #RaysUp #MLBall Game: 2026-06-13 Β· TBD | Posted: 2026-06-13 Β· 11:33 PM CT
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30' UPDATE | Australia 1-0 TΓΌrkiye WP Update: Australia: 52.7% (β–²38.1%) Draw: 26.4% (β–²1.2%) TΓΌrkiye: 20.9% (β–Ό39.3%) xG: Australia 0.6 – 0.2 TΓΌrkiye 🌐 x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… πŸ“‹ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #WorldCup2026 #AUS Posted Jun 13, 2026 | 23:30 CT
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Top 7th Recap β€” CHC MLBall projected 6.3 runs Β· actual 0 Β· WP: 83.8% β†’ 91.2% ↑ Ryan Walker (SF) Β· 0 ER Β· 0 K Β· 0 BB 8. Carson Kelly (CHC) H-0 TB-0 K-0 9. Dansby Swanson (CHC) H-1 TB-1 K-0 1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) H-0 TB-0 K-0 2. Alex Bregman (CHC) H-0 TB-0 K-0 x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #Cubs #MLBall Game: 2026-06-13 Β· TBD | Posted: 2026-06-13 Β· 11:29 PM CT

πŸ“‹ June 13 Game Threads β€” Full Slate Β· 15 Games Cardinals @ Twins β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Yankees @ Blue Jays β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Marlins @ Pirates β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Padres @ Orioles β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Mariners @ Nationals β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… D-backs @ Reds β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Braves @ Mets β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Tigers @ Guardians β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rangers @ Red Sox β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Dodgers @ White Sox β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Astros @ Royals β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Phillies @ Brewers β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Cubs @ Giants β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rockies @ Athletics β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… Rays @ Angels β†’ x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… πŸ“‘ Previous slate: x.com/MLBallForecast/status/… #MLB #MLBall
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⚑ Top 8th Β· CHC 91.2% Β· SF 8.8% Coming Up β€” CHC batting 1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) 3-4 2. Alex Bregman (CHC) 1-4 3. Michael Busch (CHC) 1-2 πŸ”΄ LIVE win probability Β· MLBall projects CHC 6.3 Β· SF 2.5 β†’ machinelearningball.com β€” (CHC) Β· 6.1 IP Β· 1 ER #Cubs #MLBall Game: 2026-06-13 Β· TBD | Posted: 2026-06-13 Β· 11:29 PM CT
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