Fractional GC HoagLaw.ai | Chair, @BHBA AI & Law | husband, dad | opinions != legal advice | @SkyrivenAI @FloodrouteApp @GetOribal_dev @Scribefully @AskNonna

Joined April 2009
14,093 Photos and videos
Pinned Tweet
27 Feb 2025
Bookmark this for later and let's see if I'm right about where AI is headed. For better or worse, by 2040: ✅ Learning will be replaced by simply doing: Traditional education will shift to teaching AI direction and evaluation rather than content mastery. You'll use AI to handle most tasks with minimal preparation. ✅ Any company not fully embracing AI will be dead. ✅ AI will become mandatory in every profession — law, medicine, engineering — with human override potentially seen as introducing unnecessary bias or error. Avoiding AI assistance will be considered negligent. ✅ Human oversight for ethical decisions will persist, but as a socially imposed requirement rather than a technological limitation — AI could make these choices, but we'll keep humans involved for accountability and comfort. ✅ Copyright and patent laws will fundamentally restructure: either AI outputs gain full protection, or the economic value will shift to prompts and directions, creating new intellectual property categories. ✅ Human economic value will migrate to the "input layer" — your ability to direct AI systems will outweigh your ability to produce final work. ✅ Decision offloading will accelerate: People will delegate increasing numbers of daily decisions to AI, from meal planning to relationship advice, raising questions about autonomy and agency. ✅ Today's technical skills will become recreational: coding, data analysis, writing, and design will be appreciated hobbies rather than career necessities — similar to calligraphy or manual transmission driving today. ✅ Physical world integration: AI systems will increasingly control physical infrastructure, manufacturing, and transportation networks with minimal human supervision. ✅ Status hierarchies will invert: "human-only" work will become either a luxury statement or viewed as unnecessarily error-prone, while the most prestigious positions will involve orchestrating multiple AI systems. ✅ Cultural AI tensions will emerge: Without global standardization, AI systems will embody different cultural values and priorities, creating new forms of ideological and practical conflicts. ✅ Public vs. personal AI divide: Tension will grow between shared/public AI systems and personalized ones tailored to individual preferences, creating new forms of information bubbles and governance challenges. ✅ World superpowers will be defined by their AI capabilities. And finally, ✅ AGI will be achieved in 2026-2028, with ASI following by 2035-2040 in line with these predictions above.
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American metro / subway stations need to normalize playing classical music over the intercom. Such a lovely relaxing experience in Amsterdam. Cleaner metros would be nice, too.
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Here’s their official post
The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees. The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance. Access to all other Claude models is not affected. We apologize for this disruption to our customers. We believe this is a misunderstanding and are working to restore access as soon as possible. Read our full statement: anthropic.com/news/fable-myt…
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Since at least 2023 I’ve been warning that governments would soon restrict civilian use of advanced AI; but I didn’t think my concerns would materialize until at least the 2030s. I wrote then that “…we must temper AI before we lose it forever, before our own governments lock it down, forever depriving us of the extraordinary, beautiful potential it offers not just civilization as a whole, but individual people like you.” Yet here we are already. marchoag.medium.com/future-i…
The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees. The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance. Access to all other Claude models is not affected. We apologize for this disruption to our customers. We believe this is a misunderstanding and are working to restore access as soon as possible. Read our full statement: anthropic.com/news/fable-myt…
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Absolutely insane. I prompted Claude Fable 5 Max the following: let's build a three.js simcity clone that runs in browser but give it an isometric view similar to simcity 3000 or simcity 4 And this was the result:
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Ugh. I shouldn't have captured in HDR. My mistake.
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MYTHOS IS... NO LONGER JUSTA MYTH!!!!!!!
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iPhone 17 Pro Max (The Orange One) is the first iPhone I’ve ever gone sans case. It’s been 3/4 of a year now and my theory has proven accurate: the more banged up it gets, the more of a Star Wars-style patina it develops: the scratches and dents on the gorgeous orange metal just feel so lived in and rugged while also looking otherworldly. Most importantly, eliminating my paranoid obsession with protecting my phone has been an unlock for peace of mind.
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If this isn’t AI — and I don’t think it is — I’m utterly speechless. x.com/theSciTechGuy/status/2…

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X should mandate ID verification for everyone and the use of full (first/last) names, too. Agreed? Cc: @elonmusk @X @grok
0% Yes
0% No
0 votes • Final results
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Fascinating
Republicans don't just admire different people from Democrats. They have lower opinions of almost everyone.
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This is pretty genius; never occurred to me.
What was this referring to
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This is undeniably stunning.
How can anyone see this and think AI art isn't real. Credit: trisock
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🎉My MacOS disk/swap menubar utility is done! Free and open source, shout out again to @davepl1968 for inspiring me to try to build this. Funny enough, it took longer to learn how to package it up with a pretty DMG folder than to actually build the app itself! Free download and link to my GitHub in the link below 👇
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Starlink LiveATC FlightAware AirPods is AWESOME
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I was inspired by @davepl1968's MacOS disk read/write menubar applet, so I decided to build my own during a 3-hour flight just now. I think we built fundamentally the same thing, but I expanded mine to include a secondary LED for showing swap file read/writes too, and also have a few other features planned. Just need to tweak a few things, but it's otherwise basically done; will share soon!
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When I was a kid growing up, if I gave too much attention to any aches or pains, my mom would admonish me not to be a hypochondriac; my dad, a US Marine, would tell me to tough it out unless it was something truly dangerous. At this point I’m starting to think this guy’s social media antics are nothing more than medical parody. To be clear, I don’t discount the medical data from his experiments; but suggesting others pay such clinical attention to their health and follow such discipline, while perhaps physically healthy, is undoubtedly psychologically harmful (which in turn can cause physical damage). Reminds me of yet another joke my mom used to tell me: Guy goes to see his doctor for an annual physical: Doc: So how much alcohol do you drink? Guy: Nothing at all. Doc: Do you smoke? Guy: No. Doc: How many sexual partners do you have? Guy: None. Doc: What was your question again? Guy: What’s my life expectancy at this point? Doc: Why the hell do you care?!
Replying to @bryan_johnson
Modern life has tricked us into thinking travel is good. It's kind of barbaric for the body. Last time I went to Asia we measured my biomarkers. The data was bad… 9 days for blood glucose stability 9 days to re-entrain my circadian rhythm 18 days for sleep architecture recovery The research: people who travel constantly for work (3 wks a month) have measurably more anxiety, depression, and drinking problems than people who don’t repeated jet lag is linked to memory-region shrinkage in flight crews your immune system takes a hit. Dry cabin air dries out mucous membranes that block infection which can leave you more exposed to getting sick This is intuitive because the body runs on a clock. Biological processes kicked off by another, with sleep sun running the show. Cabin altitude is ~7,000 ft. Hypoxia alone disrupts cortisol and suppresses nocturnal melatonin for hours after you land. Cabin humidity drops as low as 5% (drier than the Sahara). If you’re budgeting your international trips: I’d suggest no more than once every 3 months. Evidence shows you need ~1 day per time zone to re-entrain, and east is worse than west. Once Kate gets back she’s starting the female protocol. This also means she can’t travel internationally for at least a few months while we collect baseline measurement. The body understands time zone changes as trauma. I hope that this is my last international trip for a very long time.
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