A warning for Switzerland🇨🇭(not incl. in sample) which is planning multi-year fiscal austerity⬇️
With inflation at 0.1% and an uncertain export market, the authorities should tell citizens to plan for lower output/income, higher unemployment and higher inequality.
We have a new paper on the effects of fiscal consolidation in EU countries. Fiscal consolidations lower real output, raise the unemployment rate, increase income inequality, and reduce inflation. Contractionary effects are stronger during recessions than in non-recession periods.