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3/ Prior to the banking and economic fixes put into place during the Great Depression,1930 was the worst Mid term July starting period ( maybe not SO bad for the "40/60" ). Yet, even going back to the 5 periods starting July 1910, decent forward 24 month returns were produced !
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Over the past century, major market manias have tended to trace out strikingly similar price‑path analogues — and Bitcoin appears to be following that same analogue. After the big decline in February/March, has it consolidated within and be breaking down out of the red circle ?
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The price path for $BTC may be following the generic price path of typical manias that have occurred over the last 100 years.
It appears that a decisive break of the 11/21/25 price of $84k would mirror past mania price action. Is BTC breaking out of the red circle ?
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1/ In July 2026, the market enters it's best 24 month period of the "4 year Presidential term cycle". Since 1942, starting July of "Mid term" years, forward 24 month S&P 500 returns have been positive 21 consecutive times. And since 1986, Nasdaq 100/QQQ returns 10 consecutive.
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1/ In July 2026, the market enters it's best 24 month period of the "4 year Presidential term cycle".
Since 1942, starting July of "Mid term" years, forward 24 month S&P 500 returns have been positive 21 consecutive times. And since 1986, Nasdaq 100/QQQ returns 10 consecutive.
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2/ Since 1986, a portfolio of small & large "value" stocks (via ETFs) and the Nasdaq100/QQQ has produced almost 2X the returns of the S&P500 and 4X the returns of the Total World Market Index, with equivalent risk, over ten rolling 30 yr periods Chart 1 tinyurl.com/5h9fvw3n .
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2/ Since 1931, after the advent of double-digit decline years and intra-year periods produced by the S&P 500 ( most recent 2022 ), forward 5 & 20 year stock returns, especially "value" stocks, were substantial Tables 1 & 3 tinyurl.com/4x3wn7sd .
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5/ Whereas income produced via a sale of shares (and qualified dividends) process can exploit a 0% tax rate applied to an allotment of $ above the standard deduction - this being $94K for married couples.
( taxation must be considered with "high yielding" vehicles )
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