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Joined July 2009
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**NEW** Europe Summer 2026 Forecast markvoganweather.com/2026/05…
Photo/Graphic credit: Ian Manning/Richard Traut
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Could June do a May?
A frustratingly cool, wet miserable period driving the month below average followed by strong heatwave flipping the anomaly the other way? (Unlikely to be as extreme!) Focus SE UK/Nr Cont
Here's past 7-days & June thru 13th vs upcoming Day 4-11 period.
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MarkVoganWeather.com retweeted
🚨🏴 Rangers have agreed deal to appoint Derek McInnes as new head coach. 🔵⚪️
Formal steps to follow but deal done.
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**SATURDAY LIVE** #GlobalWeatherReportLIVE🔴Ed 188: Heat/Humidity/Storms Hit Parts of Asia/Cent America/Europe MORE! youtube.com/live/nqe53QawEho
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Jun 12
Night and day difference between Atlantic SST Anomalies this year and our prior el nino in 2023, and we are nearly cooler everywhere compared to last June
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Jun 13
OMG! This is the craziest earthquake video I've seen from the M7.8 earthquake that hit the Philippines a few days ago 👀
📍 Glan, Sarangani, Philippines
📹 Jonard Pacres Abrasado/fb
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Jun 11
Historically when a (very) strong El Niño has been developing, already reaching the moderate threshold in June, that month has tended to be notably prone to unsettled, wet weather in northern Europe, especially the northwest.
June 2026 looks to be following that template.
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This would nicely fit my summer idea.
Jun 12
The latest seasonal forecast model blend suggests a notably hot & extended summer for central & western Europe including southern UK.
Bearing in mind that the location of peak anomalies varies between contributing models, seeing such a large area of at least 1°C is noteworthy.
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**FRIDAY VIDEO** EL NINO HAS ARRIVED!!! INTERESTING MULTI SYSTEM JUNE UPDATE FOR JULY & BEYOND? (End cut short!) youtube.com/watch?v=fLVNZNkJ…
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Jun 11
7 out of 10 models now predict a record-breaking El Niño this year.
El Niño's exact intensity will influence the magnitude of the global temperature spike and water vapor levels in 2026-27, both key indicators of the potential for weather extremes. Fractions of a degree matter.
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Jun 11
El Niño is officially here.
NOAA just announced its arrival.
"There is a 63% chance of a very strong El Niño during November-January that would rank among the largest El Niño events in the historical record going back to 1950," they wrote.
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**THURSDAY VIDEO** Gradually Turning WARMER & DRIER Through Weekend! Sneak Peek At July! youtube.com/watch?v=iav-D7O3…
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First 11 days of summer for UK/Ireland has seen an increasingly cool & wet trend. In part poss down to MJO!
This shall continue into weekend but this pattern could begin to reverse starting next week.
Likely staying wetter W & N but drier/warmer S & E.
See tonight's video...
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**2nd WEDNESDAY VIDEO** June Behaving As Expected So Far? youtube.com/watch?v=1AvkgMee…
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**1st WEDNESDAY VIDEO** #TropicalOutlook: #Christina Generates Big Waves, Heavy Rains to Cent America, 1st Watch Area in Atl youtube.com/watch?v=Ci1BRuwj…
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**TUESDAY VIDEO** From Autumn-like Cool, Wet, Windy To Something More Resembling Summer This Weekend! youtube.com/watch?v=mvKIN_lN…
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From Autumn back to Summer for Western Europe!
850mb anomaly this aft vs Sunday according to latest EPS run.
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First seasonal value below -80°C on June 5 at Concordia (Antarctica). The final low reached -80.3°C
The minimum temperature of 2026 was recorded on June 5 at Concordia (Antarctica) at -79.0°C. This value is provisional
Data from climantartide.it @ItaliAntartide @ENEAOfficial
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**MONDAY VIDEO** A Cool Week With Further Outbreaks of Rain But Sharp Temp Rise Into Weekend? youtube.com/watch?v=4qv-t4JE…
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Jun 7
A lot of talk about the 'mysterious' cold blob SE of Greenland = possible slow-down of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) - which is a massive ocean current that keeps western Europe warm in winter, an interesting recent article below👇 agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.…
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MarkVoganWeather.com retweeted
Jun 8
June is already wetter than average now in Dublin. 67.4mm of rain in the first 7 days compared to 1991-2020 full month average of 64.0mm (105%).
Have to go back to 1958 (79.7mm) to find a wetter first 7 days of June and 1955 (83.0mm) was the only other one wetter.
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