Brexit Fears
In early 2019, I crowdsourced a long list of top Brexit fears from 100s of Twitter responses. (This was before the final deal was signed, and long before we actually left.)
See how many still look valid today. You may be shocked.
THE ECONOMY
- Short-term economic shock
- Long-term economic damage
- Job losses
- Loss of existing trade deals
- Collapse of the pound
- Lower direct investment
- Destruction of UK manufacturing sector
- Rising cost of living
- Increasing national debt
- Loss of single market benefits
- Complex customs procedures
- Higher tariffs
- VAT and customs charges on shipments from the EU
- Burden of extra customs clearances
- Additional red tape for companies dealing with the EU
- Departure of large foreign firms
- Erosion of service sector following loss of financial passporting and transferable qualifications
- Collapse of UK agriculture
- Rise in bankruptcies
PRIVATIONS AND SHORTAGES
- Food shortages
- Disrupted medical supplies
- Rationing and substitution of pharmaceutical products
- No money to reverse cuts in public services
- Return to austerity
EROSION OF FREEDOMS AND PROTECTIONS
- Loss of freedom of movement (in both directions)
- Loss of rights for UK citizens living in the EU
- Loss of rights for citizens of EU countries living in the UK
- Loss of EU citizenship (which we all have by default as UK citizens now)
- Lower environmental standards
- Loss of worker protections
- Erosion of human rights
- Possible NHS privatisation
- Lower food hygiene standards (especially, but not exclusively, vs the USA)
- Families counting both UK and EU citizens torn apart
- No ECJ oversight
SOCIAL CHANGES
- Rise of fascism and the far right
- Increasing fear of the “other”
- Normalisation of racism
- Rise in hatred and division
- Legitimisation of nationalism
- Xenophobia, homophobia and intolerance becoming more mainstream
- Marginalisation of minorities
- Widening gap between rich and poor, as the well-off ride out Brexit, while everyone else suffers
- Deepening inequality between London/SE England and the rest of the UK.
- Permanent lack of respect for experts
- Diminution of the rule of law
- Increasing anti-intellectualism
- Permanent Leave/Remain antagonism
NORTHERN IRELAND AND IRELAND
- Hard border between NI and Ireland
- Collapse of the Good Friday Agreement
- Return to violence in Northern Ireland
- Calls for Irish reunification
- Reawakening of anti-Irish rhetoric
THE UNION
- Huge increase in support for independence in Scotland
- Calls for Welsh independence
- Breakup of the UK
INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION
- Isolation from medical research
- Loss of the Erasmus student exchange programme
- Collapse of our world-leading higher education sector
POLITICS
- Power vacuum replaces the normal functions of the British state
- Focus on Brexit continues to sideline vital legislation and initiatives
- Extreme tactics (prorogation of Parliament, etc.) become the norm
- Erosion of democracy
- Slide towards autocracy
- Deeper entrenchment of partisan politics over the national interest
- Increasing corruption in politics (dark money, foreign power interference etc.)
- “Remain purge” at all levels of politics i.e. only Leave politicians have a role in shaping our future
OUR PLACE IN THE WORLD
- Weakening of European alliances that have helped keep the peace
- UK turning into a global outcast
- Becoming a puppet of the USA
- Loss of influence in Europe
- Destabilisation of Europe
- Little influence over world affairs
- Isolation in an increasingly global world
- World will see us as a racist country
- Irrelevance on the global stage
- Loss of our European identity
- Less national security cooperation
- Cultural isolation
EVERYTHING ELSE
- Fear of the unknown: what happens after Brexit day?
- Rise in mental health issues
- Increasing suicide rate
- Inability to recognise or admit to Brexit being the key contributor to all the problems listed above
As you can see, a few concerns were overblown, but most feel eerily accurate.
That's the real tragedy of Brexit: the problems it has and is causing were both predictable, and predicted. And yet we shot ourselves in both feet anyway.