Joined September 2024
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Best yprr by a rookie RB since 2006 (min 30 targets): Alvin Kamara 2.62 (25.2 best season ppr/g) Darren McFadden 2.30 (20.6) Austin Ekeler 2.29 (22.7) Lorenzo Booker 2.24 (61 career carries) DeAngelo Williams 2.22 (19.3) Reggie Bush 2.18 (18.6) Ray Rice 2.01 (22.6) Breece Hall 2.00 (16.4) David Johnson 1.97 (26.7) Dylan Sampson 1.86 (ADP 170) Maurice Jones-Drew 1.84 (20.9) Joe Mixon 1.83 (18.2) Devonta Freeman 1.80 (21.5) Tarik Cohen 1.78 (14.6) Giovani Bernard 1.72 (14.5)
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Max Adam retweeted
what do you win when you win is an extremely important question in this space, this is sick
Replying to @MaxAdamFF
With that in mind, the following graph gives a visualization of the highest synergy, highest overlap stacks in 2026. With all of this being said, the single best stack in 2026 is Dak Prescott and Ryan Flournoy. The best double stack is Goff ARSB and Jamo. The best triple stack is Stroud Nico Tank and Schultz (that is attainable, Dak CD GP RF is actually best but not practical based on ADP). The stack is greater than the sum of the players.
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Max Adam retweeted
If you’re not following @MaxAdamFF you are #ngmi
GESTALT PSYCHOLOGY & THE BEST STACKS OF 2026
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GESTALT PSYCHOLOGY & THE BEST STACKS OF 2026
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The other aspect to consider when comparing stacks to other stacks is overlap. Basically, whenever the QB or WR score fantasy points, how likely is it that the other player scored simultaneously. I defined scoring overlap as the % of total PPR fantasy points that the stack scores that are directly connected between the two. This means we consider passing/receiving yards and touchdowns while excluding all points from rushing and receptions. NOTE: Stack linkage is not limited to only the time a QB and pass catcher played together, rather considering what levels did different elements contribute to scoring fantasy points.
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With that in mind, the following graph gives a visualization of the highest synergy, highest overlap stacks in 2026. With all of this being said, the single best stack in 2026 is Dak Prescott and Ryan Flournoy. The best double stack is Goff ARSB and Jamo. The best triple stack is Stroud Nico Tank and Schultz (that is attainable, Dak CD GP RF is actually best but not practical based on ADP). The stack is greater than the sum of the players.
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Jahmyr Gibbs XFP per game (via @FantasyPtsData): In 6 career games without Dmo: 19.1 Weeks 11-18 without LaPorta: 19.6 Bijan in 43 career games (removed 2023 illness game) with Allgeier London and Pitts: 17.7
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IN DEFENSE OF DEVON ACHANE🐬🧵 The general consensus among Big Fantasy and your favorite niche analyst alike (unless im your fav <3) is Devon Achane is the worst pick in the first two rounds, or possibly on the whole board. That’s generally agreeable. His team is horrible and he goes from playing with a screen merchant statue to a mobile gunslinger. However, Devon Achane is one of my favorite players so I wanted to do some research to see if these claims actually hold up analytically. TLDR: Perception is overstated in reality the range of outcomes is just expanded. This contrarian Achane bull case was my inspiration (shoutout Quent).
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Among QBs on bad teams that started at least 8 games for their bad team and averaged north of 40 rushing yards per start we have a 93 games sample since 1999 of RBs playing on bad teams with mobile QBs. The 20 Achane comps (269 games): 21.4 RB XFP per game Bad team rushing QB sample (93 games): 19.8 RB XFP per game If you’re more privy to viewing Achane as an offensive weapon rather than just an RB, the mobile QB aspect is actually positive: Achane comps total skill position XFP per game: 54.3 Mobile QB Games: 57.0
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Basically the last hurdle is convincing yourself that Malik Willis is good. If you think the offense can be 25th in the league and not 32nd, Achane is probably a pick worth making, but a good or bad pick is really in the eye of the drafter. At the bottom line, relying on consolidating volume to a heliocentric degree basically just widens the range of outcomes. If the critical event happens you will uber mega smash beyond the situation level expectations but if it doesn’t happen you have an rb1 on a bad team.
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Checkdown reliance (basically role luxury) vs non checkdown fpts/rr since 2021. -Please stop comparing Hendo receiving to Gibbs -Is Dylan Sampson actually just the goat? -Surprising Steelers RB room runout -Random Braelon bagwork -Are Willis's checkdown rate concerns overblown (more on this soon in the 'Contrarian defense of Devon Achane')
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