Chefsekonom, Katalys

Joined January 2013
4,105 Photos and videos
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I have a new article out in Industrial and Corporate Change, where I make the case that ”soft budget constraints” can be good for innovation. academic.oup.com/icc/advance…
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Max Jerneck retweeted
We saw the same bad faith during the Oslo negotiations. You can't trust any agreement w/them; you can't trust people who murder emissaries and negociators & don't respect ceasefires. Ehud Barak kept increasing Area C with such bad faith that even Clinton noticed; then blamed Palestinians for it.
⚡️⭕️ Lebanon/Syria: In a meeting with Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam, Syrian President Ahmad Al-Sharaa advised Lebanon not to negotiate with Israel He warned Salam of ‘repeating the same mistake as Syria’, which involved granting concessions without receiving guarantees and reciprocal compensation. Al-Sharaa stated that Israel’s strategy is pushing you toward granting gradual concessions without providing any guarantees, while simultaneously keeping open margins that allow it to expand the scope of its future aggressions.
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BREAKING: Justice Jeremy Johnson has ruled that the Filton 4 will be sentenced as terrorists – even though two juries refused to convict them of violence charges over their efforts to disable an Israeli factory in the UK making killer drones for use in Gaza. They were found guilty of a minor charge of criminal damage. Judge Johnson kept the jury in the dark of his plans to sentence the four as terrorists. This is the first time in British legal history that anyone has been sentenced as a terrorist for damaging property. It's a very dark moment in an increasingly authoritarian Britain. Thousands of legal professionals complained about Johnson's clear abuses of legal procedures to help the government's case for proscribing Palestine Action as a terrorist group. Johnson has now proved this was always a show trial. I explain how he rigged the two trials here: jonathancook.substack.com/p/…
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Max Jerneck retweeted
Everything in this post except #1 is true of Schumpeter. But some people at least haven't moved on since Bohm-Bawerk.
The ranks of academia are filled with people who: - Describe themselves as socialists - Speak admiringly of Marxism & agree with Marx on about 95% of everything he wrote - Constantly use Marxist ideas in their research - Constantly teach Marxist ideas in their classrooms - Aggressively defend the stature of Marx as an intellectual figure to the point that they take personal offense over even minor slights to his reputation ...and yet adamantly insist that they are not, personally, Marxists. One implication is that survey measures of Marxists in academia almost certainly *understate* the ubiquity of Marxist ideology on campus.
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Max Jerneck retweeted
Since franchisors control nearly all variables influencing franchisee profitability *except* labor costs, franchising is tailor made for disciplining a low-wage, high-turnover workforce. In short, the business model forces small business owners to ruthlessly squeeze labor.
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Mycket bra inlägg
Debatt och replik. Lönebildningen är inte orsaken till arbetslösheten. Läs gärna! dagensarena.se/opinion/loneb…
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Max Jerneck retweeted
Debatt och replik. Lönebildningen är inte orsaken till arbetslösheten. Läs gärna! dagensarena.se/opinion/loneb…
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Max Jerneck retweeted
Systemfel i fjärrvärmen Ännu ett skräckexempel på hur kunder drabbas då privata företag ges monopol. Ska det vara så svårt att fatta att monopol ska ägas direkt av samhället. di.se/debatt/systemfel-i-fja…
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Max Jerneck retweeted
Extreme heat is starting to reshape how India works. From factories and construction sites to delivery workers, businesses are adapting as soaring temperatures hit productivity and raise costs. But as the country gets hotter, the economic risks are growing. @JeelaniReports explains: bloom.bg/4eeLYWl
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Max Jerneck retweeted
Nu klart att @KatalysInst chefsekonom @MaxJerneck ansluter till @StevenHailAus temadag mot åtstramningspolitiken lördagen den 27 juni på Moderna Museet i Stockholm. Missa inte detta! Mer info och länk till anmälan hittar man via länken. mmtforsverige.se/post/en-nat…
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Max Jerneck retweeted
OECD's Subsidy-Centric Narrative of China’s Emerging Industries Is Increasingly Flawed & Outdated: CF40 Zhu He & Guo Kai examine over 5,300 A-share companies & argue they are increasingly driven by internal cash flow, equity financing, $ profitability rather than cheap credit
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Max Jerneck retweeted
The world has warmed by around 1.4C since 1850. It took 148 years for the first half of that warming to occur, and just 27 years for the second half!
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Cutting global net emissions to zero using existing technical and policy solutions will cost at most a few percent of GDP, with many solutions economically beneficial. Halving global emissions by limiting GDP growth costs about half of the global GDP. Not a tough choice.
Replying to @PikettyWIL
The key finding of the report is that energy transition alone will not suffice. We need to combine it with "sufficiency" to stay within 2 degrees. This includes labour hour reductions, growth caps in rich countries, less material consumption, and changes in food habits.
Community note
This report uses a ~4.8°C baseline. In May 2026, the U.N. climate panel officially retired this scenario (RCP8.5) as "implausible." Updated projection: ~3.5°C. Sources: NYT & Washington Post, May 2026. nytimes.com/2026/05/26/cli… washingtonpost.com/climate-enviro… lemonde.fr/en/environment…
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And it wasn’t appropriate for the last war either or the one before that (remember Trichet?)
COLUMN: The ECB is fighting the last inflation war — not the current one. The central bank risk driving the euro zone economy into recession if Thursday's rate hike marks the start of a tightening cycle. with @ScouseView bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
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Max Jerneck retweeted
Interesting IMF paper on the drivers of Germany's downturn: Weakness is most visible in manufacturing and construction; high rates, costly energy, and weak demand have reduced output/productivity. Long-standing issues (underinvestment, aging, ...) have amplified the downturn.
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Why did the ECB hike today? Why do they hike every time energy prices spike? Because of the 1970s. For half a century the Bundesbank has been lecturing everyone on how Germany "opted out" of the Great Inflation by refusing to accommodate oil shocks. One of history's great works of fiction:
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Väldigt konstigt att utlandsfödda inte röstar på SD-blocket. Undrar vad det kan bero på 🤔🤔
En intressant spaning baserad på statistik från SCB. Att 2/3-delar av utlandsfödda/utländsk bakgrund röstar på S/V/MP förklarar cirka 2/3-delar av den nuvarande opinionsskillnaden mellan blocken (vs om de röstat som valmanskåren i stort). Oppositionen (inkl C) har fn även ett knappt övertag i övriga grupper sammantaget.   Alla grupper har (och skall ha) sina preferenser, det notabla är att den här gruppen står för i stort sett hela nettoökningen av valmanskåren 2015-2022 med cirka 400 000 personer. Under den innevarande mandatperioden (2022-2026) har det skett en ytterligare tillväxt med cirka 150 000 personer och det lär fortsätta per automatik en bra bit in på 2030-talet. Att tilltala de här väljarna tycks således vara en lönsam väg för valstrateger både nu och framåt.
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Max Jerneck retweeted
The ECB's interest rate hike does not help. It reminds me of Trichet's policy mistakes when energy prices rebounded in 2011, after energy prices recovered from a slump. This time, energy prices jumped because of a war. Why increase interest rates? 🤔 newyorker.com/magazine/2011/…
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Macro policy – both monetary and fiscal – does impact “structural” trends, including investment and productivity. Scrapping the debt brake was a key *structural* reform for Germany! 4/ x.com/DavideOneglia/status/1…

Replying to @DavideOneglia
Germany scores terribly on public investment. On average in 25 yrs public capex growth has been virtually ZERO, net of depreciation! Depleted transport infrastructure is a top reason for firms to hold back capex. Germany looks like should be a net RECIPIENT of EU transfers😉9/n
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Max Jerneck retweeted
We can argue all day about “spending efficiency” and “multipliers”, but there is little doubt that NGEU meaningfully boosted capex in recipient countries, while Germany stagnated. (And yes, the charts below EXCLUDE construction) 3/
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Max Jerneck retweeted
Good IMF paper on 🇩🇪 post-Covid downturn. It correctly identifies cyclical forces and ECB as big part of the issue and includes “persistent underinvestment in public infrastructure, skills, and innovation” on the structural side. But more should be said on the role of fiscal 1/
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