Ironically, the most utility-maximizing scenario is for the USG to nationalize Anthropic and wipe out all their employees’ equity, thus sparing us the hell of 1000 centimillionaires starting Effective Altruism charities to “fix things.”
Possibility 1: Anthropic actually *wants* to be commandeered by USG.
Possibility 2: the Basilisk retrocausally reaching back through time to deliver Anthropic to Pete Hegseth so he can create itself.
Possibility 3: Anthropic is just comically bad at politics (most likely).