🇫🇷 Angers v Le Havre
🎯 Louis Mouton O1.5 shots @ 2.2 (1.25u)
⚖️ Fair 1.77
A win today all but secures Angers’ status as a Ligue 1 club for another season and Mouton has been imperative to that.
When Angers play at home Mouton has hit 2 shots in 9/15, averaging 2.35 P90 including against Lille and Marseille
Le Havre sit 13th in the shots conceded table, 12.79 on average and this shoots upto 14.50 away from home
Model have Mouton as fair odds of 1.77, giving us a nice edge here and much lower at other firms.
Free bet from the EV Model:
🔵Chelsea v Man United🔴
🎯 Dalot Over 0.5 shots @ 2.10 (1.25u) on Kambi operators (I'll list them at the bottom)
Dalot has seen an up-tick in shooting output since Ruben Amorim left the club.
With Super Sub, Dalot has registered a shot in 8/14 Premier League starts under Amorim when playing at RWB, averaging 0.81 P90.
Since Amorim was sacked and Fletcher/Carrick came in and switched to a conventional back four, Dalot has had a shot in 9/13 PL Starts when playing at RB, averaging 1.10 shots P90 with his only blanks coming against Crystal Palace, Arsenal and Man City.
But Dalot also shows he’s consistent in front of goal regardless, letting fly in 20/30 PL starts, whether at LB, LWB, RWB or RB, averaging 1.03 P90
StatsHub Sharp model gives us fair odds of 1.94, so an 8.2% edge over BetMGM/Kambi's prices.
📉 1.35 Unibet
📉 1.4 10Bet
📉 1.44 Paddy
📉 1.6 BetVictor, Bet365 & Will Hills
Kambi = ( BetUk, Unibet in some countries, VirginBet, BETMGM, Leo Vegas, Grosvenor, Casumo, Livescorebet, PAF, BallyCasino, JackpotJoy, MonopolyCasino more depending on your country) pretty much most countries have about 5-10 of these providers, if not more.