I will be leaving Twitter permanently later this week, after today's Canadian COVID Forecast.
I'm now on Bluesky. My handle is the same as here. My profile image says "Product of Canada".
If you need help moving to Bluesky please reply here, and we'll get you that help.
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : JUN 28-JUL 11, 2025
GRAVE : aucun
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : aucun
ÉLEVÉ : ON
MODÉRÉ : CAN, AB, CB, MB, NB, TNL, Nord, NÉ, ÎPÉ, QC, SK
Environ 1 personne sur 120 est actuellement infectée au Canada.
La prochaine prévision sera disponible le 9 août 2025. Veuillez vous joindre à nous virtuellement le 12 août à 20 h (HE) pour une discussion sur les données des derniers changements apportés au modèle de prévision, car les sources de données disponibles continuent de diminuer.
Inscrivez-vous à l'avance à cette réunion :
(Sélectionnez le 12 août 2025 dans la liste déroulante)
us06web.zoom.us/meeting/regi…
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : JUN 28-JUL 11, 2025
CANADA
MODÉRÉ (stable)
Environ 1 personne sur 120 est infectée
Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :
-Infections ~5X 🔺
-COVID longue ~7X 🔺
-Hospitalisations ~5X 🔺
-Décès ~4X 🔺
Canadian COVID Forecast: Jun 28-Jul 11, 2025
SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: none
HIGH: ON
MODERATE: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NB, NL, North, NS, PEI, QC, SK
About 1 in 120 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
ALT This image shows a series of gauges with the Jun 28-Jul, 2025 COVID Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, and territories. Read from left to right:
Canada: 4.8 - MODERATE
Alberta: 5.0 - MODERATE
British Columbia: 4.4 - MODERATE
Manitoba: 4.2 - MODERATE
New Brunswick: 4.2 - Bloody Hell
Newfoundland and Labrador: 4.3 - MODERATE
North: 4.5 - MODERATE
Nova Scotia: 4.5 - MODERATE
Ontario: 5.2 - HIGH
Prince Edward Island: 4.4 - MODERATE
Quebec: 4.8 - MODERATE
Saskatchewan: 4.3 - MODERATE
All COVID Forecast input data and sources are available here:
(https://covid19resources.ca/covid-hazard-index/)
Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red)."
To access the past scores table, please visit https://covid19resources.ca/covid-hazard-index
NEXT FORECAST DATE: August 9, 2025.
Please join us virtually on August 12 at 8 p.m. ET for a Data Discussion of the latest changes to the Forecast model as the sources of data available to us continue to dwindle.
Canadian COVID Forecast Jun 28-Jul 11, 2025
CANADA
MODERATE (no change)
About 1 in every 120 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~5X higher
-Long COVID ~7X higher
-Hospitalizations ~5X higher
-Deaths ~4X higher
ALT This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for Jun 28-Jul 11, 2025 by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Canada’s COVID Forecast outlook is MODERATE (no change) with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 4.8
About 1 of every 120 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 230,675-301,825
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: HIGH; 5.1X higher
Long COVID estimate: HIGH; 6.5X higher
Hospitalizations, ICU: HIGH; 5.1X higher
Deaths: MODERATE; 4.4X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca
COVID-19 Resources Canada is having a Data Discussion at 8pm Eastern tonight, hosted by the wonderful @Wikisteff!
You can register here: covid19resources.ca/discussi…