Joined October 2021
- Tweets 6,612
- Following 457
- Followers 3,129
- Likes 17,765
2,026 Photos and videos
Pinned Tweet
22 Oct 2025
Crypto Is Now a Stablecoin Industry!
22 Oct 2025
2
1
20
2,521
France 🇫🇷 vs Senegal 🇸🇳
Polymarket traders price France as clear favorites:
• France win: ~66-67%
• Draw: ~21-22%
• Senegal win: ~12-13%
In this thread, I wanna share my technical analysis and why I think the market may be slightly underestimating Senegal!
🧵👇
2
1
5
221
6) Conclusion
The market is right about France being favorites! but I think it slightly underprices:
🔸Senegal’s defensive stability
🔸Senegal’s transition efficiency
🔸Overall “low margin game state” probability
This is not a 70–30 type mismatch in game dynamics!
1
2
79
Prediction:
France win, but not comfortably!
Most likely (in order):
• 2–1 France
• 1–0 France
• 1–1 (higher probability than market implies)
Senegal are live longer into this match than most pricing models suggest!
Let's see what will happen!
2
116
May 29
Thanks for easy money 🤑
@Polymarket
May 27
Easy profit?!
According to reports from inside Iran, as well as from News agencies, internet access has reportedly returned to the way it was before February 28th...
However, on Polymarket it’s still around 60–70% for "by the end of this month"
1
4
284
May 27
Easy profit?!
According to reports from inside Iran, as well as from News agencies, internet access has reportedly returned to the way it was before February 28th...
However, on Polymarket it’s still around 60–70% for "by the end of this month"
2
1
4
508
May 27
Maybe users are waiting 24 hours for the criteria to be fulfilled, but with knowledge of the Iranian regime, the possibility of another shutdown, at least in the coming days, seems very low!
1
106
Apr 29
Easy profit?!
While in Iran’s domestic markets and across local sources, USD has reached around 178000 tomans (1.78 million rials), @Polymarket still hasn’t caught up to it!
(Interestingly, even Bonbast, the reference for this market، has quoted prices above 170,000 tomans!)
1
5
224
Mrfti retweeted
Jan 27
Iran, Unchained
w/ @ameensol and @_Injaneb96.
Some will object to using Bankless to cover a subject far outside crypto. I’ve reflected on this - this is an issue where I cannot stay silent.
I consider this a personal moral obligation, and I’m ready to own the consequences.
Over the past week, I used rhetoric that blurred radical Islamist ideology with Islam more broadly, for which I apologize. For most Muslims, the crimes of the Iranian regime are as foreign and horrifying as they are to anyone else.
======
Now, onto the content:
The Islamic Republic has killed an estimated 30k–60k Iranians - one of the fastest state-run mass killings in modern history.
But we will never know the true number, since the Regime is actively working to cover it up
This regime survives on ignorance of its brutality
I produced this episode with @__Injaneb96 and @ameensol in order to educate on how the Islamic Regime of Iran retains and expands its power
Regime change in Iran would be the single greatest improvement for humanity
Watch this to learn why:
157
232
996
208,353