Caucasus (Armenia, Georgia, Chechnya), Russia, Ukraine, Syria, heavy metal. Stories @CNN, @CBC, @NYMag, @guardian etc. 🇨🇦 neil.hauer@gmail.com. Eng/рус/հայ.

Joined April 2014
3,242 Photos and videos
Pinned Tweet
20 Sep 2025
Dear followers, I have a request for you. I'm presently back in Ukraine again, and looking to make a reporting trip out to Donbas soon. The costs of this are not low, though, and keep growing as media budgets shrink. That's why I'm asking for your help to make this trip work. /1
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I've never seen a foreign political lobby as counterproductive as ANCA is for Armenia in the US. They spend more time lobbying against the Republic of Armenia than they do for it.
Jun 8
“Declaring victory (and his plans to jail his political opponents) — with just 11% of the votes counted — is peak Pashinyan.” - Aram Suren Hamparian, ANCA
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The only groups I've seen reject the results of Armenia's election are Russia and ANCA/ARF, which says it all
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Sorry, there's one other group: Ken Roth and his fellow lobbyists, who defy the OSCE and all other non-Russian election observers to try and claim a 26-point victory was rigged x.com/i/status/2064005271253…

From one man who "wins" elections through dirty tricks to another. x.com/narendramodi/status/20…
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OSCE says Armenia's election was largely free and fair. "Armenia’s voters were given – and took – the opportunity to make a genuine choice in a professionally managed election process and a vibrant and pluralistic, if often highly polarized campaign." odihr.osce.org/odihr/665473

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Pashinyan has handily won reelection in Armenia, with 49.81% of the vote. Samvel Karapetyan's party secured 23.29%, with Kocharyan's bloc in third at 9.94%. All in all, a decent result for the opposition, although obviously still a loss. dashboards.elections.am/Elec…

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The question now: what happens with the proposed constitutional referendum? Pashinyan did not secure the 2/3s majority needed to initiate it. Azerbaijan has demanded it for the peace process, but it's essentially off the table now.
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Pashinyan has claimed victory in Armenia's election. Majority of voting stations still to report, but highly likely this will be the result.
Nikol Pashinyan has claimed victory, stating that Civil Contract will unilaterally form the next government. Only 10% of the vote has been counted so far. 🔴 Live updates: oc-media.org/live-updates-po…
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With about 12% of votes counted, Pashinyan in a massive lead - 32%
Armenia election results / 45,000 votes counted: Pashinyan: 54.8% Karapetyan: 22.6% Kocharyan: 9.2% Tsarukyan: 4.6% Tatoyan: 2.4%
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Correction: about 7% have been counted until now, margins pretty similar x.com/i/status/2063736294556…

Armenia election: almost 7% of votes counted Pashinyan: 55% Karapetyan: 22% Kocharyan 8% Tsarukyan: 5%
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Polling stations in Armenia closed an hour and a half ago. Exit polling is not reliable here and only a handful of results have been released - we won't know the real picture for a few hours at minimum.
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Seen in Yerevan one day before Armenia's election
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Samvel Karapetyan's party having their final pre-election rally in Yerevan. Main theme: 'vote for us or you'll have to live here with Azeris.' Pretty mid-sized turnout, a lot of empty space on the square.
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The difference between this election in Armenia and the last one (in 2021) is hard to overstate. 2021 was heavily contested: rallies everywhere in Yerevan, election day itself felt uncertain. 2026? A few billboards and gatherings, but no opposition momentum at all.
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The real contest this Sunday will be whether Pashinyan gets his supermajority needed for a constitutional referendum (as Azerbaijan demands), not whether he'll be unseated
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Feels like the past week or so have seen us approach the final stage of Armenia-Russia rupture. Import bans, election interference schemes, threats of EAEU expulsion and even the 'Ukraine scenario.' Maybe things will calm down a bit post-election, but feels like a watershed.
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Ken Roth's sudden turn to anti-Pashinyan campaigner is very curious. There are certainly valid complaints about the PM, but Roth decidedly shies away from criticism of his two main opponents, describing Russia-backed oligarch Samvel Karapetyan as merely a 'philanthropist.'
Armenia’s democracy is at risk because Western governments are more interested in pulling the country out of the pro-Russia camp than opposing prime minister Nikol Pashinyan’s autocratic efforts to unfairly tilt the electoral playing field in his favor. trib.al/TPtS64c
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His talk about the 'suppression of opposition voices' is equally strange. Yerevan is covered with Karapetyan and Kocharyan billboards. Moreover, Pashinyan doesn't even need to 'oppress' them: they are deeply unpopular and currently polling at 6% (Karapetyan) and 3% (Kocharyan).
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The fact of the matter is that campaigning on a platform of 'we need better ties with Russia' was already unpopular in 2021, when Kocharyan lost by 33%. It's far more unpopular now that Russia has stood by as Armenia (2022) and then Karabakh (2023) were attacked. Who really thinks a Russian oligarch is a winning choice of candidate in 2026?
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Armenia is holding its first military parade since 2016 (and the first since the 2020 Karabakh War) today. Just ten days before the election, Nikol Pashinyan and his government are looking to show off newly acquired tech in the years since.
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